Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND ESCAPE Oct14 Sep10 Aug09 Jul13   (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 2.50 28% 2.50    
2  STRAWBERRY TREAT Oct18 Sep22       (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 ★    
3  RUN HAPPY PAPPY Aug27 Jul30 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.00 ★    
4  UPSTATE AND BACK Sep24 Aug22 Jul28 Jul13   (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 3.50 13% 6.40    
5  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Oct19 Sep20 Sep09 Sep03 Jun28 (brooks ge)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.50    
SCR  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Oct19 Sep02 Jul28     (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-2   11/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER AND THUNDER Oct12         (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 121 1.80 12% 7.50    
2  DOUBLE TIME BAY Oct04 Sep21 Aug18 Jul13 Jun17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  LTL BEAR SALOON Oct19 Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  SIMILAR TASTE Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Aug24 Aug08 (gladden damon)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 ★    
5  SCYNTZ Oct19 Sep02 Aug17 Jul27   (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DWELLER Oct12 Sep08 Aug05 Apr27 Apr07 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 12.00 7% 14.30    
2  KNICKERSINATWIST Oct12 Sep16       (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 10.00    
3  MEMPHIS MAFIA Oct10 Sep21 Aug31 Jul11 Jun25 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 ★    
4  HEAVENLY PRAISE Sep28 Aug24 Jul20 Jun14   (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00 8% 11.30    
5  GLOSSY MADRINA Oct18 Sep02 Aug10 Jul08 Jun24 (ferreira )VARGAS L 120 50.00    
6  PRINCESS RUNAWAY Sep07 Jul20 Jun16     (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
7  RUNNIN REDBIRD Oct12 Sep01 Aug12     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
8  RAIN LILLY Oct21 Sep27 Sep01 Aug12   (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.50    
9  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Oct12 Sep27       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-4   11/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART TART Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 Aug19 Jul28 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 4.50 ★    
2  GINGERONMYMIND Oct19 Aug26 Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 (hayes kirsten)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  WHO U GONNA CALL Sep02         (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  SEEKING THE THRONE Oct04 Aug26 Jul28 Jun24 May19 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00    
5  OH SO JAZZY Sep21 Sep14 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 ★    
6  DOUBLE DOT Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Aug09 Jul21 (boyer jr)CORA D 120 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   11/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISH FOR PEACE Oct12 Sep14 Aug27 Aug04 May21 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  MASON MANIA Sep15 Sep02 Aug03 Jul21 Mar25 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  P JS SILVER DUKE Aug25 Jul29 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
4  SEICHE Oct16 Sep25 Sep13 Aug25 Jul12 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 ★    
5  PIT BOSS Oct27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug19 Aug06 (cash norman)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00    
6  CRUSH IT Oct06 Jul15 Jun24 May07 Apr01 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-6   11/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT N SPICY LOVE Oct19 Sep24 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 ★    
2  A T M AWESOME Oct11 Sep15 Sep07 Aug05 Jun15 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00 ★    
3  AXXERATOR Oct19 Sep23 Sep05 Aug20 Aug12 (maldonado j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 6.00    
4  COLONEL MOORHEAD Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
5  TRIPLE A. PLUS Oct14 May27 May06 Apr07 Mar23 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  THIS ILL DEFEND Sep30 Mar08 Feb08 Jan19   (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
7  NORTHERN THUNDER Sep22 Aug17 Jun30 May21 Apr28 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 6% 16.50    
 
PEN-7   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWSER Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 Aug02   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 ★    
2  SAW THE LIGHT Oct11 Jul09 May25     (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00 ★    
3  HAPPY TAPPY TIM         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 ★    
4  RUN LAURA RUN Jan28 Jan07       (king lawrence)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 ★    
5  HEAVENLY HEART Oct12 Sep16 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 1.80 58% 0.70    
 
PEN-8   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUFF AND SHINE Oct14 Sep07 Aug24 Jul21 Jun17 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
2  LAST MINUTE MARIO Oct15 Sep19 Sep07 Jul19 Jun01 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.00 ★    
3  FREEDOM'S START Oct18 Oct04 Sep09 Aug24 Jul21 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.50 ★    
4  MR DUBAI Oct14 Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 Jun02 (martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
5  WHISTLE PLAYER Jul13 Jun22       (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 15% 5.50    
6  AGGRANDIZE Oct19 Sep30 Sep08 Aug22   (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 ★    
7  ORASHI Aug24 Jun30 Jun17 Jun01 May12 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.