The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - October 07, 2022

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PEN-1   10/07/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
:222 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPENDOLINI 1 4 23 2   1nk 1¾ (beattie m)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 16% 5.30 3.40 W
MY BLUE EYES 2 1 13 1   2nk 2¾ (o'callahan carl)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 11% 7.70 4.30 P
ON THE CHILL 5 7 55 3   339 (crook-demasi kathlee)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00 32% 2.20 4.70 S
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL 6 2 34 4   47 4(graci a)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 16% 5.30 9.00  
SMART AND FAST 7 3 44 5   5510¼ (gonzalez a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 2.00  
SPELLED WELL 4 6 6 6   610¼ 618½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 5.40  
MR. JEKYLL 3 5 7 7   712¼ 722½ (geist w)BAKER J 120 12.00 27.20  
 
PEN-2   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:24 :481 1:133 1:262   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 4 3 1 1 1 14 1(salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 2.60  
SWEEPIN HARD 3 4 4 36 3 35 2(jacklin s)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 1.30  
THE LITTLE SPROUT 1 2 35 2 2 24 3(ferreira fernando)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 2.50 2.00 S
VIBE SETTER 2 1 2 48 425½ 436 453¾ (dukes j)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 4.50  
SCR  I AM THE CASH MAN               (progno christopher)WHITNEY G 120 2.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 3.00    
 
PEN-3   10/07/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:224 :464 1:121 1:383   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACTING 2 4 1½ 11 12 11 1(carrascojr victor)OCASIO M 123 8.00 13% 6.90 4.70 W
COWBOY MALICE 7 3 7 5 4 21 2(stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00 1.50  
CHAIN REACTION 6 7 42 4 22 35 38 (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 19% 4.30 3.90 S
COMBATING 8 9 910¾ 9 8 811¾ 4(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 43.10  
HE CAME TRUE 1 8 8 8 9 711¼ 59 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 121 20.00 43.30  
MONEYONTHELINE 4 2 5 7 54 410 612¾ (cooper stacey)CORA D 123 10.00 5% 19.00 28.20  
MEAN JOE BRO 3 5 2½ 31 32 511 717 (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 17% 4.80 4.10  
10  MAGNETIC CHARM 9 6 63 6 7 611 820½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 29.70  
LTL BEAR SALOON 5 1 32 21 6 913¾ 928¾ (graci a)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 20% 3.90 6.70  
SCR  SAINT MARCO               (mcmahon i)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00    
 
PEN-4   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:234 :464 1:114 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIGHT RISK 2 5 44 36 21 11(brennan regina)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 27% 2.80 2.50 W
GALLINIPPER 3 4 55 5 43 34 2(mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00 7.80  
THE ROBERT 4 6 68 68 66 53(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 16% 5.20 0.90 S
BAVARIA 5 1 1 1 11 246 (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 8.70  
CRYPT 6 2 34 47 54 6511¼ (beattie m)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 10.00 9.10  
MONDAY'S WITH MIKE 1 3 2 2 32 45 612¾ (mercedes pedro)PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00 8.40  
SCR  ILOVECHARLYBROWN               (soto- elliott)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES               (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-5   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:223 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 7 4 2½ 4   21½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 29.80  
ZILLION 1 7 7 6   62½ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 47% 1.10 6.40 P
KHAKI JACK 6 1 1½ 11   131 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 8.90  
PENSAMIENTO 3 2 5 21   34(mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.00 1.30  
PRIME TIME PLAYER 4 5 6 5   55(synnefias a)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 16% 5.40 1.40  
ALPHA SIXTY SIX 5 6 31 31   46(crook-demasi kathlee)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 11% 8.50 17.30  
SPOOKY ONE 2 3 41 7   77(albright r)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 25.40  
 
PEN-6   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:22 :454 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO EBO 6 2 1nk 11   12 1(reid e)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 10.00 2.30  
BAZINGA C 1 5 7 7   35 2(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 119 3.00 40% 1.50 2.60 P
STAND UP COMIC 7 1 33 21   22 3(reid e)RODRIGUEZ R 114 2.00 2.60 S
CARTOUCHE 3 6 54 6   58 4(dominguez a)CASTILLO A 122 4.00 14% 6.20 4.40  
TIMELY TRADITION 2 4 4 54   45(kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 11% 8.30 9.20  
INCLUDE THE BEAST 4 3 2nk 33   612½ 620¼ (garrido raul)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 6.00 14% 6.10 20.60  
MINDING MILLIE 5 7 6 44   715 723½ (bennett juanita)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 30.90  
 
PEN-7   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:221 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEROKEE PARTY 5 1 2 12   14 1(allard t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 39% 1.60 0.70 W
CAPE COD SALLY 2 3 3 22   24 2(kirby t)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.00 4.40 P
LOOP THE LOOP 4 2 48 4   39 312¾ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 5.00 8.20 S
ZIPPY JO 3 4 1 32   410 421¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 8.80  
GRAPE THERAPY 1 5 511 515½   5100 5100 (brennan regina)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 34% 2.00 3.20  
SCR  SMOKE AND MIRRORS               (kravets m)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 8.00    
 
PEN-8   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
:221 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO RHYTHM 2 1 1nk 2½   2nk 1¼ (graci a)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 16% 5.30 11.90 W
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 5 3 2nk 1½   1nk 2¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 6.40  
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS 1 4 31 32   33(zerpa gilberto)CHIAPPE R 123 4.00 20% 3.90 0.50 S
NECCO 7 7 712 710   54(murtough b)WHITNEY G 124 10.00 8.10  
MISTER ARANGUIZ 3 5 6 69   65(bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 55.60  
VINDICATO 4 6 5 56   469 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 13% 6.80 29.80  
ASK THE UMPIRE 6 2 4 44   7713¼ (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 29% 2.50 4.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.