Handicappers' Racing Form
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Penn National
Friday - October 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
PEN-1   10/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPENDOLINI         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 16% 5.30    
2  MY BLUE EYES         (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 11% 7.70    
3  MR. JEKYLL Sep06 Aug22 Aug01     (geist w)BAKER J 120 12.00    
4  SPELLED WELL Sep22         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
5  ON THE CHILL         (crook-dema)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
6  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Sep15 Jun11 May07     (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A null      
7  SMART AND FAST Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 Jul01 Jun03 (gonzalez a)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LITTLE SPROUT Aug17 Jul08 Jun16 May12 Apr27 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 2.50 ★    
2  VIBE SETTER Sep22 Sep08 Aug10 Jul20 Jul05 (dukes j)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 ★    
3  SWEEPIN HARD Sep22 Aug17 Jun22 May27 Mar29 (jacklin theodo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 Jun23 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 ★    
5  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Sep16 Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 Jul06 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 ★    
SCR  I AM THE CASH MAN Jul15 Jun27 May30 Apr03 Feb20 (progno christophe)WHITNEY G 120 2.00 66% 0.50    
 
PEN-3   10/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE CAME TRUE Sep15 Aug25 Aug17 Jul20 Jul08 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 121 20.00    
SCR  SAINT MARCO Sep10 Aug12 Jul17 Jul04 Jun07 (mcmahon i)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00    
3  EXACTING Sep24 Sep03 Jun17 Apr30   (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 123 8.00 13% 6.90    
4  MEAN JOE BRO Sep22 Jul01 May22 Apr30 Apr10 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  MONEYONTHELINE Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 (cooper stacey)CORA D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LTL BEAR SALOON Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 Jul07 Jun11 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 20% 3.90    
7  CHAIN REACTION Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  COWBOY MALICE Sep01 Aug03 Jul14 May27 May11 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00    
9  COMBATING Sep15 Aug24 Jan07     (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
10  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jun29 Jun02 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00    
 
PEN-4   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONDAY'S WITH MIKE Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 Aug03 Jul26 (mercedes pedro)PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00 ★    
2  FLIGHT RISK Aug25 Jul19 Jun15 May25 May09 (brennan re)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
3  GALLINIPPER Sep02 Jul29 Jul01 Jun22 Jun02 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00    
4  THE ROBERT Sep09 Aug11 Jul27 Jun30 Jun07 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  ILOVECHARLYBROWN Sep23 Sep10 Jul25 Jun07 May16 (soto- martinez )OCASIO M 122 8.00    
6  BAVARIA Sep22 Sep07 Aug10 Jul29 Jul13 (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
7  CRYPT Sep07 Aug12 Jul28 Jun23 May12 (beattie m)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 10.00 ★    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES Jun24 Jun15 May19 Mar30 Mar09 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-5   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZILLION Sep14 Sep02 Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  SPOOKY ONE Jun29 Jun03 May13 Apr28 Apr08 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 ★    
3  PENSAMIENTO Aug26 Jul08 Apr22     (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.00 ★    
4  PRIME TIME PLAYER Jun16 Jun02 May06 Apr07 Mar15 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
5  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Sep09 Aug24 Jul21 Jun19 Apr11 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
6  KHAKI JACK Sep07 Aug26 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 122 6.00    
7  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Sep02 Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 May26 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAZINGA C Aug02 Jul18 Jun03 Apr29 Mar25 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  TIMELY TRADITION Sep07 Aug19 Jun22 May25 Apr21 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
3  CARTOUCHE Aug25 Jul20 Jun11 May09 Mar21 (dominguez a)CASTILLO A 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
4  INCLUDE THE BEAST Sep08 Jul28 Jul02 Jun11 Apr13 (garrido r)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 6.00 14% 6.10    
5  MINDING MILLIE Sep08 Aug19 Jul25 Jun30 Apr25 (bennett juanita)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
6  DISCO EBO Aug22 Jul16 Mar08 Feb05   (reid e)PENNINGTON F 119 10.00    
7  STAND UP COMIC Sep05 Aug02 Jul09 Jun12   (reid rober)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPE THERAPY Sep16 Aug25 Aug10 Jun06 May17 (brennan re)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 34% 2.00    
2  CAPE COD SALLY Sep23 Sep08 Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 (kirby t)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.00 ★    
3  ZIPPY JO Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Sep28 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 (kravets bruce )VILLEGAS JERRY 119 8.00    
5  LOOP THE LOOP Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 5.00 ★    
6  CHEROKEE PARTY Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 Jul01 Jun16 (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
PEN-8   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Sep05 Aug19 Aug04 Jul01 Apr28 (zerpa gilberto)CHIAPPE R 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  NO RHYTHM Sep08 Aug18 Jul08     (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  MISTER ARANGUIZ Sep16 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 ★    
4  VINDICATO         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
5  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Sep16 Aug31 Jul28 Jul08 Jun29 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00    
6  ASK THE UMPIRE Apr08         (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 29% 2.50    
7  NECCO Sep10 Aug04 Jun11 May01   (murtough stephen )WHITNEY G 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.