The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Wednesday - October 19, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
PEN-1   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:222 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPIN CYCLE 2 4 1nk 31½   11½ 1¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 24% 3.20 2.90 W
6  KUDURO 6 1 52½ 53   54 2¾ (kreiser c)VARGAS L 122 6.00 8.00  
1  DROSSELMOON 1 6 42 42½   42½ 3¾ (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 ★ 4.20 S
5  I SEE THE STARS 5 2 31 21   21½ 41¼ (graci a)CORA D 122 3.00 19% 4.30 2.20  
3  AGAINST THE ODDS 3 5 64 64   66 53¼ (zalalas michael)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 19% 4.20 5.80  
4  WONDER IN 4 3 2nk 11   32 64¼ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 3.50 ★ 4.20  
 
PEN-2   10/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:241 :48 1:124 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOT N SPICY LOVE 2 3 44 32 11½ 13 15 (synnefias a)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 16% 5.30 3.40 W
1  WILD UNION 1 4 33 43½ 44½ 45½ 25 (santaella-calderon m)PANAIJO JORGE 120 4.00 ★ 10.00 P
4  JOJOMAR 3 1 22 21 31½ 33½ 35¼ (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 55% 0.80 0.30 S
5  ROLLING PALISADES 4 2 12 11 21½ 23 47 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 ★ 5.80  
SCR  SHOWER THE PEOPLE               (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:214 :441 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BAZINGA C 5 3 35 24½   21½ 12¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 119 1.80 52% 0.90 1.10 W
1  EMPRESS DEONA 1 1 13½ 14½   11½ 22¼ (lake a)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 ★ 7.90 P
3  MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE 2 4 45½ 37½   35½ 34¾ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 6% 16.90 1.20 S
5  LEAKY CAULDRON 4 2 23½ 410   413½ 422¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 16% 5.40 5.40  
4  GLOWING STAR 3 5 513½ 525   529½ 531¼ (gallimore trevor)BURKE JERMAINE 120 12.00 ★ 29.10  
SCR  SEVEN YEARS LATER               (gonzalez-milian g)PEREZ M 119 8.00    
 
PEN-4   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:251 :501 1:152 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YOURINDENIAL 6 1 21 2½ 1½ 14½ 16¾ (nicholson w)CHIAPPE R 119 3.50 ★ 11.60  
3  WENDY'S FINE WINE 3 5 52½ 42½ 2½ 24½ 26¾ (velazquez daniel)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 ★ 0.40 P
4  SMART TART 4 6 69 68 65 311 315½ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 ★ 40.30 S
1  GINGERONMYMIND 1 2 42½ 53 53 411½ 416½ (hayes kirsten)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 29% 2.40 3.10  
5  PEACEARELLA 5 4 31½ 31 43 512½ 519¼ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 121 2.00 45% 1.20 5.90  
2  ESTA CHUCK 2 3 11 1½ 31 614 625 (crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00 27.20  
 
PEN-5   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:244 :49 1:134 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT TRICK 1 5 56¼ 47 45 33 12¼ (simone v)MUSARRO JOE 121 6.00 12% 7.70 7.10 W
6  SIMILAR TASTE 5 4 21 31 2½ 1nk 22¼ (gladden damon)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00 ★ 2.40 P
2  LTL BEAR SALOON 2 2 41¼ 2nk 1½ 2nk 35 (graci a)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 29% 2.50 1.10 S
4  SCYNTZ 3 3 11 1nk 3½ 48 418¾ (martinez a)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 12.00  
5  HOWARD'S ROCK 4 1 31 57¼ 521 5100 5100 (gonzalez a)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 33% 2.00 2.80  
SCR  BEDAZZLING               (martinez a)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:23 :464 1:121 1:394   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIKEUONLYPRETTIER 3 2 32½ 33½ 32½ 2½ 11¼ (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★ 7.40  
7  CLOSET SHOPPER 6 6 68 57½ 55½ 54½ 21¼ (ness jamie)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 36% 1.80 0.70 P
1  WILL TAKE ROSES 1 3 1½ 11 11½ 1½ 31¼ (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 6% 16.30 1.80 S
4  FAVORITE DOLL 4 5 46 45½ 43 31 43 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 19.80  
2  WICKED T 2 4 58 612 611 68 53¾ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 12.00 16.10  
5  MYSTERY ITEM 5 1 2½ 21 21½ 44½ 65½ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 ★ 12.70  
SCR  SKY OF DREAMS               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
PEN-7   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:223 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MELODIOUS SINGER 4 3 11 12   13 11½ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 124 0.80 ★ 0.30  
3  SWEET AND MACHA 3 2 21 22   23 21½ (salvaggio v)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 4.00 19% 4.30 4.60 P
2  ROSES FROM HEAVEN 2 1 32½ 34½   36 33½ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 27% 2.70 5.70 S
1  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD 1 4 44½ 45½   46 45 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 21% 3.80 7.30  
SCR  ORIGINALY FROM DOT               (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:221 :461 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ONE TOUGH ROSE 4 3 13 15   15 1¾ (coletti j)NUNEZ Y 120 2.50 ★ 1.80  
2  LOOP THE LOOP 2 5 65¾ 59   25 2¾ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00 ★ 10.80 P
1  LIL H 1 7 78¾ 610½   36½ 31¾ (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 10.20  
5  SOUTH HOUSE 5 6 43¼ 25   46½ 49 (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 32% 2.10 1.50  
7  CAPE COD SALLY 7 1 33 48   68 513½ (kirby t)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.50 19% 4.20 6.70  
6  BEAUTIFUL GEM 6 2 23 36½   57½ 615¼ (kreiser c)VARGAS L 120 4.00 25% 3.00 7.40  
3  ZIPPY JO 3 4 53¾ 711   712 720½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 28.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.