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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National

Wednesday - October 19, 2022

Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr

Pick

Tot

Bet

Winning

Pay

Type

Numbers

Tkts

Unit

Amt

Numbers

Amt

Profit

ROI

Simulator Race results

PEN-1

10/19/2022

3960ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Claiming ($4K)

Purse ($10.8K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 6:00

See original race card.

:22²

:45⁴

:58³

1:11⁴

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

SPIN CYCLE

1^nk

3^1½

1^1½

1^¾

(mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122

2.50

24%

3.20

2.90

KUDURO

5^2½

5³

5⁴

2^¾

(kreiser t)VARGAS L 122

6.00

8.00

DROSSELMOON

4²

4^2½

3^¾

(rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122

5.00

★

4.20

I SEE THE STARS

3¹

2¹

2^1½

4^1¼

(graci a)CORA D 122

3.00

19%

4.30

2.20

AGAINST THE ODDS

6⁴

6⁶

5^3¼

(zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122

4.50

19%

4.20

5.80

WONDER IN

2^nk

1¹

3²

6^4¼

(beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122

3.50

★

4.20

PEN-2

10/19/2022

5280ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Claiming ($8K)

Purse ($18.1K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 6:27

See original race card.

:24¹

:48

1:12⁴

1:26

1:39³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

HOT N SPICY LOVE

4⁴

3²

1^1½

1³

1⁵

(synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120

2.00

16%

5.30

3.40

WILD UNION

3³

4^3½

4^4½

4^5½

2⁵

(santaella-cal)PANAIJO JORGE 120

4.00

★

10.00

JOJOMAR

2²

2¹

3^1½

3^3½

3^5¼

(kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120

1.80

55%

0.80

0.30

ROLLING PALISADES

1²

1¹

2^1½

2³

4⁷

(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120

3.00

★

5.80

SCR

SHOWER THE PEOPLE

(salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113

10.00

★

PEN-3

10/19/2022

3960ft

DIRT

RC3

FAST

Alw Opt Clm ($25K)

Purse ($31.6K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 6:54

See original race card.

:21⁴

:44¹

:56³

1:09²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

BAZINGA C

3⁵

2^4½

2^1½

1^2¼

(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 119

1.80

52%

0.90

1.10

EMPRESS DEONA

1^3½

1^4½

1^1½

2^2¼

(lake a)WHITNEY G 120

5.00

★

7.90

MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE

4^5½

3^7½

3^5½

3^4¾

(spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122

2.50

16.90

1.20

LEAKY CAULDRON

2^3½

4¹⁰

4^13½

4^22¼

(mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120

3.00

16%

5.40

GLOWING STAR

5^13½

5²⁵

5^29½

5^31¼

(gallimore tr)BURKE JERMAINE 120

12.00

★

29.10

SCR

SEVEN YEARS LATER

(gonzalez-mili)PEREZ M 119

8.00

PEN-4

10/19/2022

5490ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($11.8K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 7:22

See original race card.

:25¹

:50¹

1:15²

1:41⁴

1:46¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

YOURINDENIAL

2¹

2^½

1^½

1^4½

1^6¾

(nicholson junior )CHIAPPE R 119

3.50

★

11.60

WENDY'S FINE WINE

5^2½

4^2½

2^½

2^4½

2^6¾

(velazquez dani)TORRES JOMAR 120

2.50

★

0.40

SMART TART

6⁹

6⁸

6⁵

3¹¹

3^15½

(kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120

10.00

★

40.30

GINGERONMYMIND

4^2½

5³

4^11½

4^16½

(hayes kirsten)WHITNEY G 120

4.00

29%

2.40

3.10

PEACEARELLA

3^1½

3¹

4³

5^12½

5^19¼

(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 121

2.00

45%

1.20

5.90

ESTA CHUCK

1¹

1^½

3¹

6¹⁴

6²⁵

(crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 119

8.00

27.20

PEN-5

10/19/2022

5490ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($10.8K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 7:49

See original race card.

:24⁴

:49

1:13⁴

1:40³

1:44⁴

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

MIDNIGHT TRICK

5^6¼

4⁷

4⁵

3³

1^2¼

(simone michael )MUSARRO JOE 121

6.00

12%

7.70

7.10

SIMILAR TASTE

2¹

3¹

2^½

1^nk

2^2¼

(gladden damon)CONNER TYLER 121

5.00

★

2.40

LTL BEAR SALOON

4^1¼

2^nk

1^½

2^nk

3⁵

(graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 121

1.60

29%

2.50

1.10

SCYNTZ

1¹

1^nk

3^½

4⁸

4^18¾

(martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115

8.00

12.00

HOWARD'S ROCK

3¹

5^7¼

5²¹

5¹⁰⁰

(gonzalez claudio )CHIAPPE R 121

2.00

33%

2.00

2.80

SCR

BEDAZZLING

(martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 122

8.00

★

PEN-6

10/19/2022

5490ft

DIRT

RC0

FAST

Allowance

Purse ($28K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 8:16

See original race card.

:23

:46⁴

1:12¹

1:39⁴

1:44²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

LIKEUONLYPRETTIER

3^2½

3^3½

3^2½

2^½

1^1¼

(mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120

6.00

★

7.40

CLOSET SHOPPER

6⁸

5^7½

5^5½

5^4½

2^1¼

(ness jamie)CONNER TYLER 120

3.00

36%

1.80

0.70

WILL TAKE ROSES

1^½

1¹

1^1½

1^½

3^1¼

(kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120

2.50

16.30

1.80

FAVORITE DOLL

4⁶

4^5½

4³

3¹

4³

(ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120

10.00

19.80

WICKED T

5⁸

6¹²

6¹¹

6⁸

5^3¾

(bobadilla f)CORA D 120

12.00

16.10

MYSTERY ITEM

2^½

2¹

2^1½

4^4½

6^5½

(kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120

4.00

★

12.70

SCR

SKY OF DREAMS

(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120

3.50

32%

2.10

PEN-7

10/19/2022

3960ft

DIRT

RC0

FAST

Starter Allowance ($5K)

Purse ($20K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 8:43

See original race card.

:22³

:46

:58³

1:12

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

MELODIOUS SINGER

1¹

1²

1³

1^1½

(kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124

0.80

★

0.30

SWEET AND MACHA

2¹

2²

2³

2^1½

(salvaggio mar)LEAHEY HANNAH 115

4.00

19%

4.30

4.60

ROSES FROM HEAVEN

3^2½

3^4½

3⁶

3^3½

(stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122

3.50

27%

2.70

5.70

BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD

4^4½

4^5½

4⁶

4⁵

(rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120

4.50

21%

3.80

7.30

SCR

ORIGINALY FROM DOT

(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120

12.00

★

PEN-8

10/19/2022

3960ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($11.8K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 9:10

See original race card.

:22¹

:46¹

:59³

1:13³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

ONE TOUGH ROSE

1³

1⁵

1^¾

(coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120

2.50

★

1.80

LOOP THE LOOP

6^5¾

5⁹

2⁵

2^¾

(shea lydee)CORA D 120

10.00

★

10.80

LIL H

7^8¾

6^10½

3^6½

3^1¾

(lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120

6.00

10.20

SOUTH HOUSE

4^3¼

2⁵

4^6½

4⁹

(stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122

3.00

32%

2.10

1.50

CAPE COD SALLY

3³

4⁸

6⁸

5^13½

(kirby john )IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119

3.50

19%

4.20

6.70

BEAUTIFUL GEM

2³

3^6½

5^7½

6^15¼

(kreiser t)VARGAS L 120

4.00

25%

3.00

7.40

ZIPPY JO

5^3¾

7¹¹

7¹²

7^20½

(kravets m)AGUILAR M 120

12.00

28.90

Labels:

M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

Two Groups of Contenders:

Win Contenders

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

Place/Show Contenders

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

Legal:

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.