Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - October 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROSSELMOON Aug31 Jul22 Jun29 Jun10 May25 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 ★    
2  SPIN CYCLE Sep23 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 Jul07 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  AGAINST THE ODDS Sep23 Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  WONDER IN Sep23 Aug18 Aug04 Jun22 May12 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 3.50 ★    
5  I SEE THE STARS Sep23 Aug31 Aug04 Jul07 May12 (graci a)CORA D 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  KUDURO Sep23 Aug31 Aug11 Jun03 May20 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 122 6.00    
 
PEN-2   10/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD UNION Sep28 Sep19 Sep06 Aug27 Aug03 (santaella-cal)RIVERA D 120 4.00 ★    
2  HOT N SPICY LOVE Sep24 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 10.00 ★    
4  JOJOMAR Oct04 Sep16 Aug27 Jul29 Jul15 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
5  ROLLING PALISADES Aug25 Jul13 Jun01 Apr28 Apr06 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPRESS DEONA Sep15 Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 Apr18 (lake a)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  SEVEN YEARS LATER Oct11 Sep13 Jul25 Jul05 Jun11 (gonzalez-mili)PEREZ M 119 8.00    
3  MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE Oct03 Sep10 Aug19 Aug01 Jul08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 6% 16.90    
4  GLOWING STAR Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 May30 (gallimore tre)RIVERA D 120 12.00 ★    
5  LEAKY CAULDRON Sep15 Jun22 May13 Apr27 Mar18 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
6  BAZINGA C Oct07 Aug02 Jul18 Jun03 Apr29 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-4   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINGERONMYMIND Aug26 Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 Apr13 (hayes kirsten)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  ESTA CHUCK Sep02 Aug12 Jul06 Jun10 May25 (crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
3  WENDY'S FINE WINE Oct11 Sep07 Aug12 Jun21 Jun10 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50 ★    
4  SMART TART Oct04 Sep14 Aug19 Jul28 Jul08 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 ★    
5  PEACEARELLA Sep14 Jul28 Jun15 Apr21 Apr01 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  YOURINDENIAL Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 (nicholson j)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT TRICK Sep29 Aug24 Aug17 Jul07 Jun25 (simone michael )MUSARRO JOE 121 6.00 12% 7.70    
2  LTL BEAR SALOON Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 Jul07 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 29% 2.50    
SCR  BEDAZZLING Sep21 Sep01 Aug05 Jul30 Jul16 (martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 ★    
4  SCYNTZ Sep02 Aug17 Jul27     (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00    
5  HOWARD'S ROCK Sep21 Aug27 Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 (gonzalez claudio )CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  SIMILAR TASTE Oct06 Sep21 Aug24 Aug08 Aug01 (gladden damon)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   10/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILL TAKE ROSES Oct05 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul14 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 6% 16.30    
2  WICKED T Oct05 Sep16 Sep08 Jul06 Jun22 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 12.00    
3  LIKEUONLYPRETTIER Aug03 Jun17 May26 May05   (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
4  FAVORITE DOLL Sep15 Aug03 Jul14 Jun02 May19 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
5  MYSTERY ITEM Sep21 Aug18 Jun15 Jun02 Apr21 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  SKY OF DREAMS Sep23 Aug05 Jul01 Jun11 May27 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  CLOSET SHOPPER Sep12 Aug29 Aug03 Apr06 Mar01 (ness jamie)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
PEN-7   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Sep21 Sep02 Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Sep28 Sep09 Aug12 Apr28 Apr07 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  SWEET AND MACHA Sep16 Aug12 Jul28 Jun24 Jun09 (salvaggio mar)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun11 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 ★    
5  MELODIOUS SINGER Sep21 Jul21 Jun23 May25 Apr28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 0.80 ★    
 
PEN-8   10/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL H Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jun24   (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
2  LOOP THE LOOP Oct07 Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 Aug05 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00 ★    
3  ZIPPY JO Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
4  ONE TOUGH ROSE Sep08 Jul29 Jul11     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 2.50 ★    
5  SOUTH HOUSE Oct03 Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Jun24 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  BEAUTIFUL GEM Jul20         (kreiser t)VARGAS L 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  CAPE COD SALLY Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug24 Aug02 (kirby john )IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.