Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPMASTER 1 3 11 1   16 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 29% 2.40 1.00 W
HASHTAG WINNING 4 2 4 45   26 2 (kravets bruce )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.50 26% 2.90 3.00 P
PERUVIAN BOY 2 4 21 2   3 3 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 2.70 S
JOJOMAR 3 1 3 35   4 4 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 3.80  
SCR  VOUCH               (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
PEN-2   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:142 1:272   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCH OF PRINCE 2 1 1½ 11 11 12 1 (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 124 2.50 13% 6.50 3.20 W
HOFBURG PALACE 4 3 3 3 21 22 2 (brooks e)WHITNEY G 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.20 P
DOUBLE TIME BAY 5 4 2½ 21 34 415 322¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 15% 5.60 2.10 S
MY MAN GEORGIO 3 5 43 4 4 311 424¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 7.40  
IRON CLASH 1 2 519 520½ 519½ 523 532¾ (cifarelli fran)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 10.10  
SCR  SCYNTZ               (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00    
 
PEN-3   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M OVER U 2 2 3 1½   1 1 (margotta anthony)MOYA F 121 10.00 1.00  
TIZ HANDSOME 1 3 1nk 2½   2 2 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 10% 8.60 1.60 P
FREEDOM'S START 3 4 5 42   35 310½ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 10.00 16.00  
KNOCKDOWN KID 4 1 2nk 32   410 418¼ (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 16.90  
LOYAL TO THE GAME 5 5 42 54   510½ 526 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 5% 17.40 3.30  
SCR  ANGELUS DIAMOND               (flores-coba f)RAMOS C 114 12.00    
SCR  ANY MINUTE               (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  TURNS               (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-4   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN'S SOLUTION 5 3 3.2 2nk   2nk 1¼ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 3.10  
THE BEST CANDY 1 5 5 4   3 2¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 8.00 2.60  
BINKSTER 4 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 3 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 5.10 S
CALCULATED THINKIN 2 4 4 5   5 4 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 7% 12.40 10.50  
C C'S WARRIOR 3 1 1nk 3.2   43 514¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 51% 1.00 1.20  
SCR  CARGO SHIP               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA               (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
 
PEN-5   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE FIRE 1 2 11 1   12 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 49% 1.00 0.80 W
GANDI 4 1 42 3   22 2 (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 9% 9.90 6.30 P
BLUEBERRY MASH 5 5 515 510½   4 3 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 14% 6.00 4.10 S
FED CHAIR 3 3 21 4   510½ 4 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 12.00 2.80  
AMIGOS GUITAR 2 4 31 2   3 5 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 119 3.00 13.20  
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY               (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00    
 
PEN-6   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLO MY BUDGET 1 6 5 32   11 1¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00 18% 4.70 7.00 W
SASSY LAD 4 3 2½ 21   21 2¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 28% 2.60 6.30 P
SIBERIAN 3 5 43 53   3 32 (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 117 10.00 0.60  
NAZARENO 5 4 6 66   52 4 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 121 12.00 17.90  
YANKEE EMPIRE 2 2 1½ 11   4 5 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.00 29% 2.40 4.70  
ADY'S MUNNY 6 1 31 4   65 610¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 8.90  
SCR  WICKED IRISHMAN               (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00    
 
PEN-7   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:151 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATRUWAITINGFOR 1 2 12 11 1½ 1½ 1 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 2.50 0.80 DH
SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD 3 1 22 21 2½ 2½ 1 (wyner harold)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 1.20 36% 1.80 1.00 W
SEEKING THE THRONE 4 3 34 3 3 3 3 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 14.20 S
SMART TART 2 4 48 47 410 415½ 432½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 9% 9.80 8.20  
SCR  GINGERONMYMIND               (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
PEN-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:012     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTOMATED TELLER 5 5 5 4   2½ 1¼ (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 1.60 51% 0.90 1.80 W
CHA CHA CHIQUITA 2 4 1nk 1½   1½ 2¼ (arnold pamela)TUNON JORDANO 123 15.00 26.10  
KISS THEORY 4 6 6 6   45 31 (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 20% 4.10 1.90 S
ASGATA 6 2 3½ 2½   3 4 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 123 15.00 5.10  
PLATINUM PROMISE 7 1 42 5   5 5 (salvaggio mark )LEAHEY HANNAH 116 4.00 7% 12.90 3.60  
MORE TO FOLLOW 1 7 7 7   716 619 (harigeorgiou k)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 20.00 41.00  
MISCHIEF MELODY 3 3 2nk 3½   615½ 723½ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 6.00 11.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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