Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPMASTER Sep09 Aug19 Jun17 May11 Mar01 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  VOUCH Sep08 Aug18 Jul22 Jun23 Jun11 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
PERUVIAN BOY Sep08 Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 Jun24 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60    
JOJOMAR Sep16 Aug27 Jul29 Jul15 Jun22 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
HASHTAG WINNING Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul06 Jun24 (kravets bruce )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-2   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON CLASH Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 (cifarelli fra)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
SCR  SCYNTZ Sep02 Aug17 Jul27     (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00    
TOUCH OF PRINCE Sep07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul15 Jun16 (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
MY MAN GEORGIO Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00    
HOFBURG PALACE Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 May30 (brooks e)WHITNEY G 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
DOUBLE TIME BAY Sep21 Aug18 Jul13 Jun17 May12 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
PEN-3   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ HANDSOME Aug29 Aug08 Jul24 Jun10 May21 (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
I'M OVER U Aug29 Aug05 Jul04 May29   (margotta anthony)MOYA F 121 10.00    
FREEDOM'S START Sep09 Aug24 Jul21 Jul13 Jun24 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 10.00    
KNOCKDOWN KID Aug26 Jul27 Jun30 Jun17 May27 (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  TURNS Sep21 Aug26 Aug03 Jul13   (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
LOYAL TO THE GAME Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul23 Jun23 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 5% 17.40    
SCR  ANY MINUTE Sep08 Aug17 Jul30 Jun29 Jun19 (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  ANGELUS DIAMOND Sep08 Jul20 Jun25 Jun03 May24 (flores-coba f)RAMOS C 114 12.00    
 
PEN-4   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARGO SHIP Sep07 Aug17 Jul06 Jun09 May19 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Jun01 May11 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
THE BEST CANDY Sep07 Aug17 Jul15 Jun23 May21 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 8.00    
CALCULATED THINKIN Sep07 Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 May19 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 7% 12.40    
C C'S WARRIOR Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
BINKSTER Sep07 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00    
KITTEN'S SOLUTION Sep09 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00    
 
PEN-5   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE FIRE Sep14 Aug24 Aug11     (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
AMIGOS GUITAR Aug03 Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 May26 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 119 3.00    
FED CHAIR Aug18 Jul01 Jun03 May07 Apr06 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 12.00    
GANDI Sep20 Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 9% 9.90    
BLUEBERRY MASH Sep14 Aug18 Jul29     (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY Sep14 Aug24 Jun24 Jun11 May21 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00    
 
PEN-6   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLO MY BUDGET Jun10 May13 Apr22 Mar15 Feb16 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00 18% 4.70    
YANKEE EMPIRE Sep07 Aug12 Jul21 Jun23 Jun03 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
SIBERIAN Sep07 Aug18       (lawrence james)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 10.00    
SASSY LAD Sep07 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
NAZARENO Apr29 Apr06 Mar15 Feb08 Feb01 (carpio erin)WHITNEY G 121 12.00    
SCR  WICKED IRISHMAN Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 Jul01 Mar16 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00    
ADY'S MUNNY Sep20 Aug17 Aug05 May11 Apr08 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
 
PEN-7   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATRUWAITINGFOR Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 2.50    
SMART TART Sep14 Aug19 Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 9% 9.80    
SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Sep14 Aug24 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 (wyner harold)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 1.20 36% 1.80    
SEEKING THE THRONE Aug26 Jul28 Jun24 May19 Apr28 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
SCR  GINGERONMYMIND Aug26 Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 Apr13 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
PEN-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE TO FOLLOW Sep01 Jul01       (harigeorgiou k)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 20.00    
CHA CHA CHIQUITA Aug31 Aug17       (arnold pamela)TUNON JORDANO 123 15.00    
MISCHIEF MELODY Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 Jul27 Jul13 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 6.00    
KISS THEORY May14 Apr21 Mar19     (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 20% 4.10    
AUTOMATED TELLER Sep08 Aug31 Aug10 Jul22 Jul01 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 1.60 51% 0.90    
ASGATA Aug31 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun16 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 123 15.00    
PLATINUM PROMISE         (salvaggio mark )LEAHEY HANNAH 116 4.00 7% 12.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.