Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PHANCY PHILLY 5 4 31½ 1nk   1nk 12¼ (rodriguez m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 28% 2.60 2.70 W
4  HEAVENLY HEART 3 1 21 2nk   2nk 22¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.00 38% 1.60 0.90 P
1  DOWSER 1 5 53 51¼   31½ 33¾ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 ★ 6.60 S
5  EXTRA CRUNCHY 4 2 42 41¼   41¾ 44¼ (mcmahon deme)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 3.50 3.30  
7  SHOYYOOKH 6 3 11 3.2   51¾ 59¼ (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 27.40  
3  BO RUNKLE 2 6 64 65¼   68¾ 613½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00 5% 19.00 35.30  
SCR  ECLIPTICALS SARAH               (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:124 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATY THE CAT 1 1 11½ 11 12 13½ 13¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 ★ 6.20  
2  LOVE IS STRONG 2 4 31½ 21 22 23½ 23¼ (vera miguel)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 35% 1.90 1.80 P
5  BONITA LASSIE 5 3 43 43 42½ 33½ 33½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.40 42% 1.40 0.70 S
3  EARLY FROST 3 2 21½ 32½ 32 44 45¾ (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00 ★ 13.20  
6  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 6 6 54½ 57 52¾ 59½ 59½ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 50.10  
4  BIRD TRAFFIC 4 5 65½ 69½ 65¾ 621½ 641 (nichol kevin )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 ★ 18.30  
 
PEN-3   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KIKKERLAND 7 1 11 1½   12½ 11½ (bravo-estra)RODRIGUEZ R 113 6.00 ★ 2.90  
4  LAST INVESTMENT 4 5 31½ 2½   22½ 21½ (dominguez mario)MILAN GERARDO 115 4.00 43% 1.30 1.70 P
3  ACT OF VALOR 3 7 42 42½   33½ 33 (mick r)AGUILAR M 119 12.00 14.60  
6  I SAW IT ALL 6 3 62½ 54½   56½ 45¾ (gonzalez-mil)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 6.00 7.40  
1  DAKOTA OUTLAW 1 2 21 31½   44½ 58½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 27% 2.70 2.40  
5  THAT'S MY BOI TOY 5 4 52½ 66½   68½ 69½ (jacavone j)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 8.00 22.30  
9  ROYAL'S INVASION 8 6 73 77½   711½ 710¼ (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 30.00 ######  
2  WINNERS WIN 2 8 84½ 87½   811½ 810½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00 13.20  
SCR  DREAMERS REWARD               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  FRANK N DUCKY               (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 120 30.00    
SCR  J WASS               (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ELITE SPEED 6 3 42¼ 22   21½ 1½ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 ★ 6.60  
7  HIPNOTIZADA 7 1 12 12   11½ 2½ (beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 1.60 37% 1.70 1.80 P
5  RAECHEL'S RISK 5 2 22 33½   34½ 36½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 24% 3.20 6.30 S
1  PARANOIA 1 5 53¾ 58   57½ 47¼ (moreno-barb)VARGAS L 122 12.00 46.10  
4  PARTY AT PAGE'S 4 4 32 45½   46½ 57½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 9% 10.70 7.10  
2  LONG DISTANCE LOVE 2 6 68¾ 612   610½ 68¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 1.40  
3  SUSIKIN 3 7 79¼ 717   722½ 725¼ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 ★ 29.30  
 
PEN-5   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HESASMOKIN 2 6 42 21   1½ 1nk (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 3.50 ★ 5.20  
5  MY DEVILS CHILD 5 2 11 11   2½ 2nk (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 22% 3.70 1.80 P
7  HERE WEGO 7 1 21 31½   31½ 34½ (mcmahon deme)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 2.50 40% 1.50 1.40 S
1  STONE SCULPTOR 1 8 66½ 68½   59½ 48¾ (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 26.10  
6  DEFIBRILLATOR 6 3 87¾ 710½   610 59¼ (arce josue)MILAN GERARDO 124 10.00 6.80  
3  MEROCKETMAN 3 7 76¾ 46½   46½ 69¾ (shuchman allan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 6% 15.10 16.10  
8  DIAMOND SETTER 8 4 56 812½   814 715 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 10% 9.20 45.50  
4  MOON MEISTER 4 5 32 58   710 816 (ferreira fe)VARGAS L 124 10.00 23.10  
 
PEN-6   10/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102 1:361   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NIMITZ CLASS 2 2 21 21 2nk 11½ 13¾ (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 32% 2.10 1.00 W
5  WISH FOR PEACE 5 1 56 57½ 35 35½ 23¾ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 123 6.00 ★ 11.60 P
3  LORD WINSALOT 3 3 11 11 1nk 21½ 34 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 2.40  
4  TRENDING UP 4 6 67½ 610 67¾ 512½ 48 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 42% 1.40 3.80  
6  MR HOOVER 6 5 33 35 55¾ 410½ 514 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 ★ 19.50  
1  MY MAN POTS N PANS 1 4 45½ 47 45¼ 612½ 622¼ (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00 ★ 11.10  
 
PEN-7   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:132 1:403   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRANSFER THE FUNDS 1 4 33½ 34½ 23 1½ 14 (buckley r)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 4.00 ★ 1.40  
5  RUN AWAY EMPIRE 4 1 12½ 14½ 13 2½ 24 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 1.60 31% 2.30 1.20 P
3  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 2 3 44 46 46 34½ 36½ (albright ge)VARGAS L 123 2.50 ★ 5.90 S
4  MARC WELLS 3 5 57½ 59½ 510 46½ 48 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 14% 6.10 21.60  
6  FIFTH ELEMENT 5 2 22½ 24½ 34½ 57 513½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 29% 2.40 4.70  
SCR  D'LUCCI BOY               (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00    
 
PEN-8   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:213 :444 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ESPERNSITA 6 3 32 41½   1nk 11¾ (padilla-pr)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00 1.00  
9  BOWTOTHEQUEEN 9 2 42 31½   3.2 21¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 9.30  
8  KNICKERSINATWIST 8 1 21½ 2½   2nk 33½ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00 7% 12.80 16.80 S
3  RUNNIN REDBIRD 3 5 76¼ 77   67¼ 44¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 11.10  
4  NO EASY ANSWER 4 4 11½ 1½   4¼ 55¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 11% 7.80 4.10  
1  SUGAR SMILE 1 7 87¼ 87½   77¾ 66¾ (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 119 4.00 16% 5.20 8.30  
7  DENALI RAE 7 9 55 55½   55¼ 78 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00 57.70  
2  KNOCK OUT KID 2 8 97¼ 98½   89¾ 811 (perez ruperto )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00 5% 17.60 17.40  
5  DWELLER 5 6 65¼ 66½   912¾ 914½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 28% 2.60 7.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.