Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWSER Sep16 Aug26 Aug02     (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Sep16 Jul28 Jul07     (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 ★    
3  BO RUNKLE Sep23 Aug24 Aug10     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEAVENLY HEART Sep16 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 Jun23 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  EXTRA CRUNCHY Sep18 Aug19 Aug13 Jul28 Jun23 (mcmahon de)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 3.50    
6  PHANCY PHILLY Sep07 Aug02 Jul12 May25 May10 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  SHOYYOOKH Aug31 Aug18       (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00    
 
PEN-2   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATY THE CAT Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 Jul29 Jul06 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 ★    
2  LOVE IS STRONG Sep15 Aug10 Jul26 Jul10 Jun03 (vera migu)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
3  EARLY FROST Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 Jul14 Jun15 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00 ★    
4  BIRD TRAFFIC Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 May26 (nichol kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 ★    
5  BONITA LASSIE Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
6  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Sep23 Aug31 Aug12 Jul21 Jun23 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAKOTA OUTLAW Sep22 Aug24       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  WINNERS WIN Sep21 Aug24 Aug17 Aug03 Jul15 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00    
3  ACT OF VALOR Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Jul15 Jul01 (mick r)AGUILAR M 119 12.00    
4  LAST INVESTMENT Sep14 Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 (dominguez ma)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 4.00 43% 1.30    
5  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Sep08 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 (jacavone john)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 8.00    
6  I SAW IT ALL Sep22 Aug17 Aug02 Jul25 Jul13 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 6.00    
7  KIKKERLAND Sep06 Aug14 Aug01 Jun21 Jun13 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 113 6.00 ★    
SCR  DREAMERS REWARD Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 Jul08 Jun09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 ★    
9  ROYAL'S INVASION Jul28 Jul15 Jun10 Jun01 Apr22 (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 30.00    
SCR  FRANK N DUCKY Sep26 Sep14 Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 120 30.00    
SCR  J WASS Sep05         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARANOIA Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jul27 Jul06 (moreno-ba)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
2  LONG DISTANCE LOVE Aug26 Aug01 Jul03 Jun03 Apr30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
3  SUSIKIN Sep21 Sep01 Aug19 Jun02 May06 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 ★    
4  PARTY AT PAGE'S Sep02 Feb01 Jan02     (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
5  RAECHEL'S RISK Aug31 Aug05 Jul13 Jun16   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  ELITE SPEED Aug11 Jul14       (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 ★    
7  HIPNOTIZADA Aug25 Jul27 Jun27 May25 May05 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-5   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE SCULPTOR Sep23 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00    
2  HESASMOKIN Sep01 Aug18 Jul22 Jul06 Jun10 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 3.50 ★    
3  MEROCKETMAN Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 May25 (shuchman alla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 6% 15.10    
4  MOON MEISTER Sep07 Aug12 Jul07 May19 Apr28 (ferreira )VARGAS L 124 10.00    
5  MY DEVILS CHILD Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 Jun10   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 22% 3.70    
6  DEFIBRILLATOR Sep27 Sep05 Aug01 Jul12 Jul04 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 10.00    
7  HERE WEGO Sep15 Aug19 Jun29 Jun18 May30 (mcmahon de)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  DIAMOND SETTER Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 10% 9.20    
 
PEN-6   10/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN POTS N PANS Sep29 Jun15 May25 May13 Mar15 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00 ★    
2  NIMITZ CLASS Sep10 Jul26 Jul02 Jun03 Apr21 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  LORD WINSALOT Sep07 Aug03 Jul04 May27 Apr25 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
4  TRENDING UP Sep07 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30 May21 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  WISH FOR PEACE Sep14 Aug27 Aug04 May21 May07 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 6.00 ★    
6  MR HOOVER Sep10 Aug27 Aug03 Jul16 Jun25 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  D'LUCCI BOY Sep27         (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00    
2  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Sep11 Aug30 Jun25 May28 May15 (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 4.00 ★    
3  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 (albright )VARGAS L 123 2.50 ★    
4  MARC WELLS Aug25 Jul20 Jun10 May06   (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 14% 6.10    
5  RUN AWAY EMPIRE Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 Jul01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 1.60 31% 2.30    
6  FIFTH ELEMENT Sep07 Aug25 Jul20 Jul08 Jun07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-8   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR SMILE Sep01 Jul13       (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 119 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  KNOCK OUT KID Sep21 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 Jul09 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
3  RUNNIN REDBIRD Sep01 Aug12       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
4  NO EASY ANSWER Sep16 Sep01 Aug03 Jul07 Jun15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 11% 7.80    
5  DWELLER Sep08 Aug05 Apr27 Apr07 Feb22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  ESPERNSITA Sep13 Aug22 Jul13 Jun16 May25 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00    
7  DENALI RAE Sep23 Sep08 Jul29 Jul06 Jun24 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00    
8  KNICKERSINATWIST Sep16         (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00 7% 12.80    
9  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Sep27         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.