The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Friday - October 21, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
PEN-1   10/21/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 6:00
:223 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WE'LL SEE 5 1 2nk 1½   14 114¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 13% 6.80 6.30 W
4  NANASQUAN 3 4 32 31   24 214¾ (spina charles)CORA D 120 1.60 36% 1.80 0.80 P
5  ECENIA 4 2 1nk 2½   39 325¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 3.90  
3  LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 2 3 47 415   424 430 (crook-demasi kathlee)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 28% 2.60 4.60  
2  NOT LIKE MY ROAD 1 5 516 520   524½ 531½ (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00 ★ 5.50  
SCR  HONEY SPARKLE               (spina charles)MOYA F 120 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   10/21/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:234 :472 1:124 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GREY QUEST 5 1 11½ 12 13 13½ 12½ (sinnefia paulina)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.80 30% 2.40 2.90 W
2  BOSSY CAT 2 5 55½ 54¾ 23 23½ 22½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 ★ 6.10 P
4  STONE SCULPTOR 4 2 43 44½ 33 35½ 32¾ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 4.50 26% 2.90 1.10 S
1  ROYAL'S INVASION 1 3 31½ 22 45 410½ 410¾ (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 6% 14.60 20.90  
3  TOUCH OF PRINCE 3 4 21½ 32 58 518½ 522¾ (kreiser c)VARGAS L 124 1.40 ★ 2.30  
 
PEN-3   10/21/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:232 :463 1:113 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLOSER LOOK 3 2 11½ 13 14 13½ 13¾ (mcmahon demelza)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 21% 3.80 0.70 W
10  EDICT 9 6 63½ 56 46 23½ 23¾ (graci a)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10 P
2  CORT'N ASONG 2 5 21½ 23 24 36 39½ (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 3.00 22% 3.60 6.70 S
4  DICK THE BRUISER 4 1 31½ 34½ 36 46½ 411¾ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 9.50  
9  DEVOTED KITTEN 8 8 88 812 815¾ 611½ 514¼ (maymo j)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
1  PAL CAL 1 3 42½ 44½ 57½ 58½ 615 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00 28.10  
8  ESPRESSO CALIENTE 7 7 74 79½ 615½ 713½ 716¼ (kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00 26.90  
5  TERRY'S CHARM 5 9 912 917 923¾ 928½ 841 (geist w)VARGAS L 117 20.00 49.00  
7  AUTOMATE 6 4 53 67½ 715¾ 823½ 943½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 29% 2.40 7.80  
SCR  ALWAYS FORGIVEN               (martin r)LLOYD W 124 30.00    
 
PEN-4   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:221 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CONFIRMED GENIUS 3 2 42 3½   1½ 13¼ (lake a)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★ 6.80  
5  POLISHED GEM 4 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 23¼ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.00 8.50  
1  SINISE 1 5 53½ 53½   43½ 36 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 117 5.00 ★ 4.30 S
6  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 5 3 31½ 41   53½ 411¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 30% 2.40 1.90  
3  SEEKING THE DREAM 2 4 1nk 2nk   33 511½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 36% 1.80 1.20  
SCR  MIZ CHAPLIN               (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 9% 10.30    
 
PEN-5   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RAIN LILLY 4 3 1nk 14   18 114½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 12% 7.50 0.30 W
2  DUST BUNNY 2 1 31½ 34½   28 214½ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 11.80  
1  HIGH CLASS DIVA 1 4 2nk 24   38½ 319¾ (o'callahan carl)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 10.00 3.60  
3  MIMI'S GOLD 3 5 56½ 58½   411½ 422¾ (zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
6  SOULSTONE 5 2 43 48½   512½ 524¾ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 123 5.00 ★ 7.40  
SCR  I'M GETTIN LUCKY               (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 10.00    
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY               (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  SUNSHINE LINDA               (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:221 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHERO 3 5 3.2 11   11½ 1¾ (smith everton)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.40 W
6  MOONSAFE 5 2 51¼ 21   21½ 2¾ (salvaggio jr)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 ★ 4.90 P
5  TIMELY TRADITION 4 1 4¼ 31   33 34½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 10% 9.10 12.30 S
3  TARA'S TALENT 2 4 1nk 41½   45 46 (moore m)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 6.00 4.50  
7  BOURBON REBELLION 6 3 61½ 63½   59 512 (lucas bonnie)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 24% 3.10 6.10  
2  CANADIAN GINGER 1 6 2nk 52   611 618½ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 16% 5.40 3.30  
SCR  TODO SOLA               (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 121 6.00    
 
PEN-7   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:223 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR THOMAS 1 3 12 12   13 11¼ (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 123 1.80 47% 1.10 0.30 W
4  SUNSHINE JACK 3 1 33 22   23 21¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 16% 5.20 5.00 P
5  NECCO 4 2 43 32   35 36 (murtough b)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 ★ 4.10 S
3  VINDICATO 2 4 22 43½   49½ 418 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 4.50 ★ 10.30  
SCR  TIKI TOO               (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
PEN-8   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEN COPENHAGEN 5 1 11½ 13½   12 14¾ (barboza jr)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 39% 1.60 0.50 W
1  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA 1 2 55 23½   22 24¾ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 20.00 ★ 7.70 P
3  BASTIEN LE BROWN 2 5 45 55¼   45 37 (barboza jr)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 20% 3.90 2.40 S
4  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 3 3 32 33½   56½ 47¾ (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 5.00 17.90  
5  NAUTICAL NATURE 4 4 21½ 43¾   35 57¾ (o'hearn heather)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 ★ 9.80  
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ               (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.