Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - October 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONEY SPARKLE Sep11 Jul31       (spina charles)MOYA F 120 10.00 ★    
2  NOT LIKE MY ROAD Aug30         (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00 ★    
3  LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  NANASQUAN Sep11 Jul31       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
5  ECENIA Sep21         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
6  WE'LL SEE         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
PEN-2   10/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL'S INVASION Oct12 Jul28 Jul15 Jun10 Jun01 (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 6% 14.60    
2  BOSSY CAT Aug17 Jul28 Jun10 May11 Apr22 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 ★    
3  TOUCH OF PRINCE Oct04 Sep07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul15 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 124 1.40 ★    
4  STONE SCULPTOR Oct12 Sep23 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  GREY QUEST Sep22 Sep02 Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
 
PEN-3   10/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAL CAL Jul27 Jul15 May07 Apr07 Mar16 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 20.00    
2  CORT'N ASONG Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 May20 Mar09 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  CLOSER LOOK Sep30 Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 Mar06 (mcmahon d)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  DICK THE BRUISER Aug17 Jul19 Jul04 Jun14 May31 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00    
5  TERRY'S CHARM Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (geist d)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 20.00    
SCR  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jun15 (martin r)LLOYD W 124 30.00    
7  AUTOMATE May26 May11 Apr20 Jan19   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
8  ESPRESSO CALIENTE Oct05 Aug11 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00    
9  DEVOTED KITTEN Oct05 Sep01 Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  EDICT (ARG) Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug11 Apr08 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINISE Sep23 Jul06 Jun11 May20 Apr27 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  MIZ CHAPLIN Jul08 Jun17 May05     (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 9% 10.30    
3  SEEKING THE DREAM Sep15 Aug25 Apr12 Mar09 Feb18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  CONFIRMED GENIUS Oct04 Sep15 Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
5  POLISHED GEM Oct14 Oct01 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.00    
6  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Sep23 Aug19 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
PEN-5   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH CLASS DIVA         (o'callahan )CORUJO LEONARDO 123 10.00    
2  DUST BUNNY Sep14 Sep01       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
3  MIMI'S GOLD         (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I'M GETTIN LUCKY         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 10.00    
5  RAIN LILLY Sep27 Sep01 Aug12     (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 12% 7.50    
6  SOULSTONE Sep22 Aug27 Aug15 Aug06 Jul20 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  SUNSHINE LINDA         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY Oct05 Sep16 Aug18 Jul20   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
PEN-6   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TODO SOLA Oct06 Sep07 Aug19 Jul20 May15 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 121 6.00    
2  CANADIAN GINGER Oct02 Aug16 Jul27 Apr10 Mar20 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  TARA'S TALENT Mar04 Feb04       (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 6.00    
4  SHERO Oct03 Sep02 Jul30 Jul13 Jun06 (smith everto)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  TIMELY TRADITION Oct07 Sep07 Aug19 Jun22 May25 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
6  MOONSAFE Sep25 Aug19 Jul10 Jun18 May26 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
7  BOURBON REBELLION Oct05 Sep10 Aug29 Aug01 Jul02 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-7   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR THOMAS Feb01         (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  TIKI TOO         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 5.00 12% 7.10    
3  VINDICATO Oct07         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 4.50 ★    
4  SUNSHINE JACK         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
5  NECCO Oct07 Sep10 Aug04 Jun11 May01 (murtough stephe)WHITNEY G 122 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-8   10/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Aug31 Aug04 Jul06 Jun09   (shea lydee)CORA D 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Jul14 Jun01 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  BASTIEN LE BROWN Sep02 Aug03 May04 Mar02 Feb02 (barboza v)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Oct07 Sep16 Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 5.00    
5  NAUTICAL NATURE Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 (o'hearn hea)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 ★    
6  BEN COPENHAGEN Sep22 Aug20 Jul01 May28 Jan08 (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.