The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Friday - October 14, 2022
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PEN-1   10/14/2022 3300ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
:223 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AFRICAN ANGEL 4 4 31 2nk   1nk 11¼ (houghton thomas)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70 W
1  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 1 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 21¼ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 35% 1.80 2.70 P
3  SIDESWIPED 3 3 41 41   32 32¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 4.30  
6  CAIRO SUGAR 6 6 63½ 64¼   63¾ 42¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 14.50  
2  I CAME TO DANCE 2 7 75 74¼   52¼ 52¾ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5.20  
5  FOXY JUNIOR 5 5 52½ 51¼   42¼ 63¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
8  IOANNA 7 2 2½ 3½   75¼ 79¾ (sinnefia paulina)VARGAS L 120 2.00 36% 1.70 2.30  
SCR  WON EYE WOMAN               (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  U U STAR 2 5 41¾ 1½   11½ 13½ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 32% 2.10 1.10 W
5  BUFF AND SHINE 5 3 1nk 2½   21½ 23½ (salvaggio jr)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 33% 2.00 3.50 P
3  MR DUBAI 3 4 53¼ 42   35 37½ (martinez a)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 ★ 21.90 S
6  WICKED IRISHMAN 6 2 2nk 31   48 49¼ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 4.00 9% 10.00 4.10  
1  AMERICAN ROCKY 1 6 63¾ 66   612 511 (martinez a)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 8.00 6.90  
4  NOTORIOUS REY 4 1 3.2 54   510½ 611¼ (o'hearn heather)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 ★ 5.80  
 
PEN-3   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:233 :473 1:132 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BARISTA VIXEN 2 4 43½ 33½ 2½ 14½ 110½ (johnston rob)CORA D 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.50 W
5  TAYLOR'S BELLE 4 7 65½ 66½ 43½ 35 210½ (rodriguez a)RAMOS C 115 12.00 18.50  
8  MIKEY'S JEWEL 7 8 87 87¾ 75½ 66½ 312¾ (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 16.00  
4  MIA ANGELINA 3 6 76 77½ 64½ 76½ 414¾ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 19.50  
7  HOLMDEL PARK 6 1 1½ 1½ 32 45½ 515 (brown r)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 ★ 5.00  
2  ABHAILE 1 5 31½ 43½ 54½ 56 615¼ (romero alexis)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 5.00 ★ 5.80  
6  SMOKIN CLASS 5 2 53½ 55½ 85¾ 87½ 717¾ (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 34.50  
9  WICKED SOLUTION 8 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 24½ 823½ (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.40 15.20  
SCR  GALILEO'S AFFAIR               (santaella-calderon m)REQUENA PEDRO 122 15.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:212 :441 :563     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SIR ROCKPORT 5 3 43¾ 21   1½ 12¼ (synnefias a)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 ★ 5.30  
5  KEIKO KRAHE 4 2 1nk 11   2½ 22¼ (kreiser c)VARGAS L 119 1.80 68% 0.50 0.80 P
4  MY MAGICAL MAN 3 1 33½ 45   36½ 34½ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5.90  
1  ELEVATED FOREVER 1 5 57¾ 58½   58 47 (garrido raul)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 6.00 10.20  
2  KNOCKOUT KICK 2 4 2nk 31   47 512¼ (crook-demasi kathlee)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 ★ 2.80  
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ               (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  COLOUR GUARD               (synnefias a)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni p)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 30.00    
 
PEN-5   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:222 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KEEPING IT COUNTRY 2 2 11 2nk   1½ 1¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00 14% 6.00 2.40 W
4  RAY OF LIGHT 4 4 48 46   42 2¾ (bracho sherene)BRACHO A 123 8.00 7.80  
5  BAILEY COFFEE 5 1 21 1nk   3½ 31 (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 ★ 4.10 S
1  NOTEWORTHY 1 3 31 31½   2½ 41 (moreno-barban leandro)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 1.50 26% 2.90 2.80  
3  D'STORM 3 5 511½ 513   510½ 511½ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00 26% 2.90 1.80  
SCR  SIR STEELE               (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:234 :474 1:122 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME LAUNCH 3 6 53 52¾ 3½ 2½ 11¼ (huston k)CORA D 120 15.00 4.80 DH
8  YES IT'S ROO 7 2 21 2nk 1nk 1½ 11¼ (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 ★ 4.50 DH
4  TRIPLE A. PLUS 4 3 11 1nk 2nk 3½ 31¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 48% 1.10 2.30 S
2  BORSA VENTO 2 5 42 41¾ 51¾ 51¼ 41¾ (mcclellan c)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 9% 9.60 21.40  
7  COLONEL MOORHEAD 6 1 31½ 31½ 41½ 41 52 (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 4.00  
5  EVENT PARTY 5 7 74½ 64¾ 62¾ 61¾ 62½ (allard t)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 ★ 3.10  
1  KITTEN'S MAN 1 4 64½ 76¼ 76¾ 76¾ 79 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 12.00 12.80  
SCR  HARD LIGHTING               (barboza jr)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 12% 7.70    
 
PEN-7   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:222 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA 1 2 11½ 1½   1nk 1¼ (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★ 5.00  
2  SPIKES SHIRL 2 1 21½ 2½   2nk 2¼ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 6.00 8.80  
6  NICK THE CARDSHARK 5 5 43 33½   32½ 33¾ (simone v)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.00 ★ 2.10 S
4  VOUCH 4 3 32½ 44½   43½ 44¾ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 35% 1.80 1.50  
3  WOLFINBARGER 3 4 53 55   53¾ 54¾ (rathman elisha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 ★ 3.40  
SCR  VENOMOUS STATE               (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
PEN-8   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:222 :453 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SONG SAVER 7 2 31 11½   14 13 (crook-demasi kathlee)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 5.70  
2  QUEEN'S DREAM 2 7 72½ 52¼   34 23 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 15.00 8% 11.30 7.80 P
3  TAPIT'S GIRL 3 3 41½ 63¼   45½ 33½ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.30 3.00 S
6  NAIL POLISH 5 6 62½ 21½   24 43½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 18% 4.70 2.50  
1  GOLDEN LAW 1 5 52 77¼   78¼ 58½ (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 12.00 15.80  
7  POSITIVE FORCE 6 4 2½ 32   57 68¾ (rozell ron)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.50 ★ 5.00  
5  POLISHED GEM 4 1 1½ 42   67¼ 711¼ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 4.10  
SCR  LA CIENEGA               (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.