Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   10/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFRICAN ANGEL 4 4 31 2nk   1nk 1 (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70 W
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 1 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 35% 1.80 2.70 P
SIDESWIPED 3 3 41 41   32 3 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 4.30  
CAIRO SUGAR 6 6 6 6   6 4 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 14.50  
I CAME TO DANCE 2 7 75 7   5 5 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5.20  
FOXY JUNIOR 5 5 5 5   4 6 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
IOANNA 7 2 2½ 3½   7 7 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 120 2.00 36% 1.70 2.30  
SCR  WON EYE WOMAN               (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U U STAR 2 5 4 1½   1 1 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 32% 2.10 1.10 W
BUFF AND SHINE 5 3 1nk 2½   2 2 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 33% 2.00 3.50 P
MR DUBAI 3 4 5 42   35 3 (martinez jose)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 21.90 S
WICKED IRISHMAN 6 2 2nk 31   48 4 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 4.00 9% 10.00 4.10  
AMERICAN ROCKY 1 6 6 66   612 511 (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 8.00 6.90  
NOTORIOUS REY 4 1 3.2 54   510½ 611¼ (o'hearn hea)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 5.80  
 
PEN-3   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:132 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARISTA VIXEN 2 4 4 3 2½ 1 110½ (johnston rob)CORA D 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.50 W
TAYLOR'S BELLE 4 7 6 6 4 35 210½ (rodriguez mig)RAMOS C 115 12.00 18.50  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 7 8 87 8 7 6 312¾ (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 16.00  
MIA ANGELINA 3 6 76 7 6 7 414¾ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 19.50  
HOLMDEL PARK 6 1 1½ 1½ 32 4 515 (brown howar)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 5.00  
ABHAILE 1 5 3 4 5 56 615¼ (romero alexis)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 5.00 5.80  
SMOKIN CLASS 5 2 5 5 8 8 717¾ (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 34.50  
WICKED SOLUTION 8 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 2 823½ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.40 15.20  
SCR  GALILEO'S AFFAIR               (santaella-calde)REQUENA PEDRO 122 15.00    
 
PEN-4   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:212 :441 :563     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ROCKPORT 5 3 4 21   1½ 1 (synnefias panagio)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 5.30  
KEIKO KRAHE 4 2 1nk 11   2½ 2 (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 119 1.80 68% 0.50 0.80 P
MY MAGICAL MAN 3 1 3 45   3 3 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5.90  
ELEVATED FOREVER 1 5 5 5   58 47 (garrido r)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 6.00 10.20  
KNOCKOUT KICK 2 4 2nk 31   47 512¼ (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 2.80  
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ               (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00    
SCR  COLOUR GUARD               (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni wayne )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 30.00    
 
PEN-5   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 2 2 11 2nk   1½ 1¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00 14% 6.00 2.40 W
RAY OF LIGHT 4 4 48 46   42 2¾ (bracho sherene)BRACHO A 123 8.00 7.80  
BAILEY COFFEE 5 1 21 1nk   3½ 31 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 4.10 S
NOTEWORTHY 1 3 31 3   2½ 41 (moreno-barban l)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 1.50 26% 2.90 2.80  
D'STORM 3 5 511½ 513   510½ 511½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00 26% 2.90 1.80  
SCR  SIR STEELE               (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 2.00    
 
PEN-6   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME LAUNCH 3 6 53 5 3½ 2½ 1 (huston k)CORA D 120 15.00 4.80 DH
YES IT'S ROO 7 2 21 2nk 1nk 1½ 1 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 4.50 DH
TRIPLE A. PLUS 4 3 11 1nk 2nk 3½ 3 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 48% 1.10 2.30 S
BORSA VENTO 2 5 42 4 5 5 4 (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 9% 9.60 21.40  
COLONEL MOORHEAD 6 1 3 3 4 41 52 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 4.00  
EVENT PARTY 5 7 7 6 6 6 6 (allard t)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 3.10  
KITTEN'S MAN 1 4 6 7 7 7 79 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 12.00 12.80  
SCR  HARD LIGHTING               (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 12% 7.70    
 
PEN-7   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAHOOWA WAHOOWA 1 2 1 1½   1nk 1¼ (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 5.00  
SPIKES SHIRL 2 1 2 2½   2nk 2¼ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 6.00 8.80  
NICK THE CARDSHARK 5 5 43 3   3 3 (simone v)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.00 2.10 S
VOUCH 4 3 3 4   4 4 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 35% 1.80 1.50  
WOLFINBARGER 3 4 53 55   5 5 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 3.40  
SCR  VENOMOUS STATE               (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
PEN-8   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG SAVER 7 2 31 1   14 13 (crook-demasi kathle)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 5.70  
QUEEN'S DREAM 2 7 7 5   34 23 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 15.00 8% 11.30 7.80 P
TAPIT'S GIRL 3 3 4 6   4 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.30 3.00 S
NAIL POLISH 5 6 6 2   24 4 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 18% 4.70 2.50  
GOLDEN LAW 1 5 52 7   7 5 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 12.00 15.80  
POSITIVE FORCE 6 4 2½ 32   57 6 (rozell ron)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.50 5.00  
POLISHED GEM 4 1 1½ 42   6 711¼ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 4.10  
SCR  LA CIENEGA               (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.