Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Sep01 Aug11       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  I CAME TO DANCE         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
3  SIDESWIPED Sep01         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
4  AFRICAN ANGEL         (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOXY JUNIOR         (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAIRO SUGAR         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
SCR  WON EYE WOMAN         (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 ★    
8  IOANNA Sep21 Sep01 Aug11     (sinnefia )VARGAS L 120 2.00 36% 1.70    
 
PEN-2   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN ROCKY Sep17 Jul29 Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 8.00    
2  U U STAR Apr06 Mar20 Feb11 Jan27   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  MR DUBAI Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 Jun02 May05 (martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 ★    
4  NOTORIOUS REY Sep21 Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 Jun16 (o'hearn h)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 ★    
5  BUFF AND SHINE Sep07 Aug24 Jul21 Jun17 May27 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  WICKED IRISHMAN Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 Jul01 Mar16 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 4.00 9% 10.00    
 
PEN-3   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Oct05 Sep19 Aug26 Aug12 Jul13 (santaella-cal)REQUENA PEDRO 122 15.00 ★    
2  ABHAILE Sep26 Aug31 Jul11 Jun29 May26 (romero alex)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 5.00 ★    
3  BARISTA VIXEN Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 May24 Apr22 (johnston rob)CORA D 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  MIA ANGELINA May19 Apr21 Apr06 Mar04 Feb08 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
5  TAYLOR'S BELLE Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 May30 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 115 12.00    
6  SMOKIN CLASS Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 Jul08 Jun30 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00    
7  HOLMDEL PARK Sep19 Aug20 Aug06 Jul27 Jul13 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 4.00 ★    
8  MIKEY'S JEWEL Oct05 Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 15.00    
9  WICKED SOLUTION Sep14 Aug26 Aug12 Jul06 Jun02 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.40    
 
PEN-4   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELEVATED FOREVER Aug30 Aug03 Jun25 May21 Mar25 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 6.00    
2  KNOCKOUT KICK Sep05 Jul05 Jun15     (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Jul14 Jun01 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 ★    
4  MY MAGICAL MAN Sep22 Aug31 Aug04 Jun29 May27 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
5  KEIKO KRAHE Sep22 Aug26 Jul27 Jun24 May27 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 119 1.80 68% 0.50    
SCR  COLOUR GUARD Sep23 Aug11 Jul13 Jun22 May21 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 10% 9.40    
7  SIR ROCKPORT Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jun03 May05 (synnefias panag)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  PECOS BILL Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 30.00    
 
PEN-5   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTEWORTHY Sep21 Aug31 Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 (moreno-barban)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 1.50 26% 2.90    
2  KEEPING IT COUNTRY         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
3  D'STORM         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00 26% 2.90    
4  RAY OF LIGHT Sep21 Aug31       (bracho sherene)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
5  BAILEY COFFEE Oct05 Aug31       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  SIR STEELE Sep21 Aug18 Jul27     (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   10/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S MAN Sep16 Aug26 Jul21 Apr08 Mar04 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 12.00    
2  BORSA VENTO Sep16 Aug25 Aug03 Jul15 Jul05 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 9% 9.60    
3  AWESOME LAUNCH Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 Aug01 Jul23 (huston rory)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 15.00    
4  TRIPLE A. PLUS May27 May06 Apr07 Mar23 Feb22 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  EVENT PARTY Sep29 Sep07 Aug06 Jul06 Jun04 (allard t)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  HARD LIGHTING Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 12% 7.70    
7  COLONEL MOORHEAD Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Apr27 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
8  YES IT'S ROO Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jun09 May25 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-7   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Jun01 May11 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
2  SPIKES SHIRL Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 6.00    
3  WOLFINBARGER Sep23 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun01 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 ★    
4  VOUCH Sep08 Aug18 Jul22 Jun23 Jun11 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  VENOMOUS STATE Sep23 Sep14 Aug19 Jul06 Jun09 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 39% 1.50    
6  NICK THE CARDSHARK Oct05 Sep05 Aug26 Aug01 Jul16 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN LAW Sep21 Aug10 Jul01 Jun17 May25 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 12.00    
2  QUEEN'S DREAM Sep01 Aug10 Jul08 May26 Apr29 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 15.00 8% 11.30    
3  TAPIT'S GIRL Aug30 Aug21 Jul03 Jan05   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  LA CIENEGA Sep16 Aug22 Jul14     (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  POLISHED GEM Oct01 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul08 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00    
6  NAIL POLISH Sep01 Jul18 Jun16 Jun01   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 18% 4.70    
7  POSITIVE FORCE Sep21 Sep01 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 (rozell ron)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.50 ★    
8  SONG SAVER Sep10 Aug12 Jul13 Jun16   (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.