The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
PEN-1   10/18/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
:222 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAWBERRY TREAT 1 4 32½ 34   33 12 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 ★ 4.40  
3  NEON SIGN 3 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 22 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 13% 6.80 4.90 P
2  SIR SMOAK 2 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 33 (lingenfelter thomas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.50 49% 1.10 1.10 S
4  DR GREENTHUMB 4 3 44 46   46½ 48¼ (farrior anthony)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 ★ 3.30  
5  CHIEF BULLET 5 5 56½ 58½   510 514½ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 13% 6.80 5.80  
SCR  NEW JERSEY HEIST               (margotta jr)MOYA F 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:221 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SIR REX 2 3 41½ 32   2nk 13½ (o'callahan carl)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.00 13% 6.90 0.40 W
3  DEBIT CARD 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 23½ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 ★ 8.40 P
1  BOBBY'S CANDY 1 5 2nk 2nk   3.2 35¾ (margotta jr)MOYA F 123 3.50 ★ 6.20 S
5  KAZ MUNNINGS 5 4 52 44   45¼ 410½ (synnefias dimitrios)VARGAS L 123 6.00 8.00  
4  KAZTHAROS 4 1 3½ 55½   55¼ 511¼ (synnefias dimitrios)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 5.00 15% 5.60 5.70  
SCR  ENFORCER               (pino v)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-3   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:244 :492 1:141 1:391   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MS STRONG HEART 6 1 11½ 11½ 11 11½ 12½ (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 ★ 6.20  
2  SWAN POINT 2 4 54 53 53 31½ 22½ (houghton thomas)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 57% 0.80 0.60 P
5  FAIRY DREAMS 4 3 21½ 21½ 21 21½ 32¾ (kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00 26.30  
1  QUEEN ROSEMARY 1 2 32 31½ 32 41¾ 43¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 9% 10.30 2.10  
8  MELODIA 7 7 79½ 77 76½ 67¾ 511¾ (zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 67.90  
3  OUR JESSICA JOAN 3 5 43½ 42½ 43 57¾ 613¼ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00 ★ 15.60  
6  GLOSSY MADRINA 5 6 64½ 63½ 63½ 711¾ 722½ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 5% 19.00 59.50  
SCR  HEYBACKATCHA               (bennett juanita)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00    
 
PEN-4   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:23 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TURNS 2 4 43 22   22½ 1¼ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 1.80 25% 3.00 1.20 W
5  NO RHYTHM 5 2 31 12   12½ 2¼ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 123 1.60 25% 3.00 1.80 P
3  FREEDOM'S START 3 3 2½ 42¼   33 33¾ (albright r)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.00 ★ 2.80 S
1  COMMUNICATION FAIL 1 5 54½ 52¾   44½ 48¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 9% 9.70 18.00  
4  KNOCKDOWN KID 4 1 1½ 32   56½ 517¾ (houghton thomas)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50 ★ 8.80  
 
PEN-5   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:223 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GRAB THE GOLD 5 1 1½ 1½   13 14¾ (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 ★ 1.20  
1  COAST TO COAST 1 5 52½ 33   33 24¾ (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 11% 8.50 7.90 P
2  EQUAL JUSTICE 2 2 2½ 2½   23 36 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 2.70  
3  THE BEST CANDY 3 7 712 712   712¼ 48¾ (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 14% 6.10 3.40  
6  CLASSY SOLUTION 6 4 31 43½   411 511¼ (castro jeremias)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 15.00 25.10  
4  CALCULATED THINKIN 4 6 64 67   612 612½ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 8% 11.40 29.70  
7  BINKSTER 7 3 41½ 54   511½ 715 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 43% 1.30 10.50  
 
PEN-6   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:22 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOLLARIZATION 2 4 31 2½   1nk 1¾ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.70 W
5  UNCLE BUDDY 4 1 11 1½   2nk 2¾ (kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 17% 4.90 2.70 P
7  TRIBAL NOTION 6 3 52¾ 54   45 38 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 ★ 4.60 S
6  JUMPMASTER 5 2 21 31   33½ 48 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 14% 6.40 2.20  
3  BEYOND THE BEND 3 5 41¼ 42½   55¼ 59¾ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 11% 8.10 9.90  
SCR  MANAHAWKIN               (thompson martin)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
SCR  NICE WEATHER               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
 
PEN-7   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:241 :48 1:122 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONTRAFLOW 2 3 31½ 42 3½ 1nk 1¾ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 ★ 0.50  
6  CHARGING LION 6 1 2½ 21 1nk 2nk 2¾ (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★ 17.00 P
4  FLAT OUT FLASHY 4 5 41½ 32 41½ 33 35¾ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 26% 2.90 2.40 S
1  PEPE TONO 1 2 65 65½ 53½ 44½ 46¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 ★ 19.40  
5  O K GAME ON 5 6 53½ 54½ 64 57½ 516 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 45% 1.20 5.00  
3  ALL TACKED UP 3 4 1½ 11 2nk 67¾ 622 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 48.70  
 
PEN-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:222 :46 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 6 1 1½ 12   17 111½ (crook-demasi kathlee)HERNANDEZ A 123 1.20 74% 0.40 0.20 W
7  ASGATA 7 2 2½ 22   27 211½ (sinnefia paulina)VARGAS L 123 5.00 ★ 15.60 P
2  MISCHIEF MELODY 2 3 54¾ 37½   310 314 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 15.00 72.20  
1  MARIMBA 1 7 67¾ 57¾   514 415½ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 ★ 4.70  
5  CHA CHA CHIQUITA 5 5 44½ 47½   414 516¼ (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 4.50 ★ 12.70  
3  MORE TO FOLLOW 3 6 79¾ 714¾   728 635¼ (harigeorgiou konstan)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 30.00 47.40  
4  NUMERATOR 4 4 34½ 68¾   624 735¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 4.00 ★ 17.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.