Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   10/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY TREAT 1 4 3 34   33 12 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 4.40  
NEON SIGN 3 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 22 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 13% 6.80 4.90 P
SIR SMOAK 2 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 33 (lingenfelter th)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.50 49% 1.10 1.10 S
DR GREENTHUMB 4 3 44 46   4 4 (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 3.30  
CHIEF BULLET 5 5 5 5   510 514½ (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 13% 6.80 5.80  
SCR  NEW JERSEY HEIST               (margotta anthony)MOYA F 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR REX 2 3 4 32   2nk 1 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.00 13% 6.90 0.40 W
DEBIT CARD 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 8.40 P
BOBBY'S CANDY 1 5 2nk 2nk   3.2 3 (margotta anthony)MOYA F 123 3.50 6.20 S
KAZ MUNNINGS 5 4 52 44   4 410½ (synnefias d)VARGAS L 123 6.00 8.00  
KAZTHAROS 4 1 3½ 5   5 511¼ (synnefias dim)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 5.00 15% 5.60 5.70  
SCR  ENFORCER               (pino v)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-3   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:141 1:391   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS STRONG HEART 6 1 1 1 11 1 1 (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 6.20  
SWAN POINT 2 4 54 53 53 3 2 (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 57% 0.80 0.60 P
FAIRY DREAMS 4 3 2 2 21 2 3 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00 26.30  
QUEEN ROSEMARY 1 2 32 3 32 4 4 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 9% 10.30 2.10  
MELODIA 7 7 7 77 7 6 511¾ (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 67.90  
OUR JESSICA JOAN 3 5 4 4 43 5 613¼ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00 15.60  
GLOSSY MADRINA 5 6 6 6 6 711¾ 722½ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 5% 19.00 59.50  
SCR  HEYBACKATCHA               (bennett jua)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00    
 
PEN-4   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNS 2 4 43 22   2 1¼ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 1.80 25% 3.00 1.20 W
NO RHYTHM 5 2 31 12   1 2¼ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 123 1.60 25% 3.00 1.80 P
FREEDOM'S START 3 3 2½ 4   33 3 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.00 2.80 S
COMMUNICATION FAIL 1 5 5 5   4 4 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 9% 9.70 18.00  
KNOCKDOWN KID 4 1 1½ 32   5 517¾ (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50 8.80  
 
PEN-5   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAB THE GOLD 5 1 1½ 1½   13 1 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 1.20  
COAST TO COAST 1 5 5 33   33 2 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 11% 8.50 7.90 P
EQUAL JUSTICE 2 2 2½ 2½   23 36 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 2.70  
THE BEST CANDY 3 7 712 712   712¼ 4 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 14% 6.10 3.40  
CLASSY SOLUTION 6 4 31 4   411 511¼ (castro jerem)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 15.00 25.10  
CALCULATED THINKIN 4 6 64 67   612 612½ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 8% 11.40 29.70  
BINKSTER 7 3 4 54   511½ 715 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 43% 1.30 10.50  
 
PEN-6   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLLARIZATION 2 4 31 2½   1nk 1¾ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.70 W
UNCLE BUDDY 4 1 11 1½   2nk 2¾ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 17% 4.90 2.70 P
TRIBAL NOTION 6 3 5 54   45 38 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 4.60 S
JUMPMASTER 5 2 21 31   3 48 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 14% 6.40 2.20  
BEYOND THE BEND 3 5 4 4   5 5 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 11% 8.10 9.90  
SCR  MANAHAWKIN               (thompson mar)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
SCR  NICE WEATHER               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
 
PEN-7   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTRAFLOW 2 3 3 42 3½ 1nk 1¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 0.50  
CHARGING LION 6 1 2½ 21 1nk 2nk 2¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 17.00 P
FLAT OUT FLASHY 4 5 4 32 4 33 3 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 26% 2.90 2.40 S
PEPE TONO 1 2 65 6 5 4 4 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 19.40  
O K GAME ON 5 6 5 5 64 5 516 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 45% 1.20 5.00  
ALL TACKED UP 3 4 1½ 11 2nk 6 622 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 48.70  
 
PEN-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 6 1 1½ 12   17 111½ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 123 1.20 74% 0.40 0.20 W
ASGATA 7 2 2½ 22   27 211½ (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 123 5.00 15.60 P
MISCHIEF MELODY 2 3 5 3   310 314 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 15.00 72.20  
MARIMBA 1 7 6 5   514 415½ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 4.70  
CHA CHA CHIQUITA 5 5 4 4   414 516¼ (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 4.50 12.70  
MORE TO FOLLOW 3 6 7 714¾   728 635¼ (harigeorgiou k)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 30.00 47.40  
NUMERATOR 4 4 3 6   624 735¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 4.00 17.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.