Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   10/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY TREAT Sep22         (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 4.00    
SIR SMOAK Sep22         (lingenfelter th)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.50 49% 1.10    
NEON SIGN         (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
DR GREENTHUMB Sep05         (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
CHIEF BULLET         (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  NEW JERSEY HEIST Sep05         (margotta anthony)MOYA F 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY'S CANDY Sep11 Aug07       (margotta anthony)MOYA F 123 3.50    
SIR REX Sep16         (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 13% 6.90    
DEBIT CARD Sep16         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00    
KAZTHAROS Sep16 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 Apr22 (synnefias dim)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 5.00 15% 5.60    
KAZ MUNNINGS Jun01         (synnefias d)VARGAS L 123 6.00    
SCR  ENFORCER Oct17 Oct05 Sep16 Jul19 Jul01 (pino v)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-3   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN ROSEMARY Sep15 Aug17 Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 9% 10.30    
SWAN POINT Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 1.80 57% 0.80    
OUR JESSICA JOAN Sep16 Aug12 Jul14 Jul01 Jun14 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00    
SCR  HEYBACKATCHA Sep22 Aug26 Jul28     (bennett jua)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00    
FAIRY DREAMS Aug12 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 May12 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00    
GLOSSY MADRINA Sep02 Aug10 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MS STRONG HEART Sep14 Sep01 Aug12 Jul13   (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
MELODIA Sep21 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 May27 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMUNICATION FAIL Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 Jan07   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 9% 9.70    
TURNS Sep21 Aug26 Aug03 Jul13   (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 1.80 25% 3.00    
FREEDOM'S START Oct04 Sep09 Aug24 Jul21 Jul13 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.00    
KNOCKDOWN KID Oct04 Aug26 Jul27 Jun30 Jun17 (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50    
NO RHYTHM Oct07 Sep08 Aug18 Jul08   (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-5   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COAST TO COAST Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Jul13 Jun10 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 11% 8.50    
EQUAL JUSTICE Sep23 Sep08 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
THE BEST CANDY Oct04 Sep07 Aug17 Jul15 Jun23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
CALCULATED THINKIN Oct04 Sep07 Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 8% 11.40    
GRAB THE GOLD Sep16 Aug05 Jul21 Jul06 May20 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
CLASSY SOLUTION Oct01 Sep16 Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 (castro jerem)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 15.00    
BINKSTER Oct04 Sep07 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-6   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NICE WEATHER Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 Jun03 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
DOLLARIZATION Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jun09 May21 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
BEYOND THE BEND Jul21 May26 May05 Mar02   (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  MANAHAWKIN Sep14 Aug02 Jul02 May24 May10 (thompson mar)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
UNCLE BUDDY Sep14 Aug24 Jul22 Jun29 Jun03 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 17% 4.90    
JUMPMASTER Oct04 Sep09 Aug19 Jun17 May11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
TRIBAL NOTION Sep09 Aug24 Jul29 Jul06 Jun09 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEPE TONO Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Jul22 Jul14 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00    
CONTRAFLOW Aug26 Aug05 Feb03     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
ALL TACKED UP Aug26 Jul15 Jun15 May20 Apr27 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
FLAT OUT FLASHY Sep22 Sep07 Aug12 Jul28 Jul14 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
O K GAME ON Sep22 Sep07 Jul10 Jun03 May21 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
CHARGING LION Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jun25 Jun04 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PEN-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIMBA Oct01 Sep16 Aug28     (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00    
MISCHIEF MELODY Oct04 Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 Jul27 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 15.00    
MORE TO FOLLOW Oct04 Sep01 Jul01     (harigeorgiou k)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 30.00    
NUMERATOR Sep23 Sep01 Jul14 Jun23   (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 4.00    
CHA CHA CHIQUITA Oct04 Aug31 Aug17     (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 4.50    
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Sep04 Jul10 Jun20 May21 Mar22 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 123 1.20 74% 0.40    
ASGATA Oct04 Aug31 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 123 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.