Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:143 1:412   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUSTIN'S QUEST 2 5 44½ 53½ 21½ 2½ 11½ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 53% 0.90 1.33 W
6  IMPROBABLE STORY 6 1 12 12½ 11½ 1½ 21½ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 ★ 6.17 P
4  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 4 7 67 65 41¾ 32 33¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 ★ 2.29 S
7  MASON A. P. 7 2 77½ 78½ 65¼ 45 45¼ (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00 21.79  
3  RYE HUMOR 3 6 55 43 54¼ 612½ 517¾ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 6.50  
5  DR. FORMAN 5 4 22 33 31½ 59½ 619 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121 3.50 17% 4.90 6.28  
1  WHEREWEGOIN 1 3 33 22½ 77¾ 716½ 728¼ (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00 ★ 36.65  
 
CD-2   11/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KNOCKER DOWN 4 2 11 1nk   14 16¼ (garcia genar)JORDAN R 118 6.00 8.15  
6  STROBE 6 1 21 2nk   24 26¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 0.60 42% 1.40 0.23 P
7  SURFER DUDE 7 6 74¾ 67   47½ 39 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 ★ 13.98 S
1  SPANKSTER 1 5 31 32½   36 49½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 9% 10.30 12.82  
8  TEXAS RED HOT 8 8 86¾ 812   713½ 512¼ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 39.58  
3  MOWINS 3 4 54 710   813½ 613½ (lauer mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 54.48  
5  HIGHER STANDARD 5 3 64¼ 54   59½ 714¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 25% 3.00 10.67  
2  STEINBECK 2 7 42 43½   612½ 819½ (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 42.93  
 
CD-3   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:133 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ALEXA LOU 6 3 3½ 31½ 63½ 22 1¼ (stewart dall)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 10.00 ★ 7.14  
3  MISS PEABODY 2 8 95 85 2nk 12 2¼ (newton troy)PARKER L 119 4.00 27% 2.80 7.79 P
11  GUNS N' LILIES 9 6 2nk 2nk 1nk 32½ 37 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 11.90  
6  HER LADYSHIP 5 2 52 42 41 54½ 49 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 8.71  
4  GHOSTLY GIRL 3 5 63½ 63½ 52½ 44½ 510 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 49% 1.00 2.68  
1  MO DIVINE 1 7 105¼ 74½ 74 67 616 (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 73.48  
8  AISHA R N 7 4 1nk 1nk 3½ 77½ 724½ (asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119 15.00 17.46  
5  VOGELSANG 4 1 41½ 53 87 810½ 828¼ (ewing michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 58.60  
14  LEXA (FR) 11 9 74 108¼ 1014 920½ 934½ (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 17.07  
12  UNDOUBTEDLY 10 11 84½ 98 913 1021½ 1037 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 2.30  
10  INSIDE GIRL 8 10 115¼ 1113¼ 1122 1129½ 1149¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 11.27  
SCR  BOLT FOR ALLISON               (hartman ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL UNION               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  MADLY DANCING               (ortiz alexand)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  MEDAGLIA FOREVER               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   11/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PETIT VERDOT 3 3 43 31½   1nk 1nk (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00 5% 18.50 2.21 W
11  TOWING 5 4 21 2½   2nk 2nk (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 6.45  
9  SEVEN SCENTS 4 2 53½ 43   42½ 34½ (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 126 5.00 1.82  
1  SPYCRAFT 1 5 11 1½   31½ 45¼ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 5.00 9% 9.70 1.79  
5  C C'S KITTEN 2 1 32½ 56   510½ 518 (meah m)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00 17.20  
SCR  MY PAL MATTIE               (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
SCR  CREATIVE CREDIT               (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 15.00    
SCR  CHASING ARTIE               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00 ★    
SCR  BOAT'S A ROCKIN               (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SHELLY ISLAND               (cooney susan )ALVELO C 120 30.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
CD-5   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:121 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  INVALUABLE 9 1 2nk 2nk 12 13½ 11½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 11% 8.50 3.09 W
5  MAOILIN 5 6 62¾ 53 54 23½ 21½ (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124 6.00 ★ 12.88 P
2  TELLER TO SING 2 8 99¾ 97¾ 86¼ 35 32¼ (brownfield claud)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 6.47  
4  LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE 4 9 88¼ 87¾ 75¼ 57½ 47¾ (richardville)RAMOS D 120 4.50 10.07  
1  FOREIGN EXCHANGE 1 3 75¼ 76¼ 65 69 514½ (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 120 10.00 29.39  
7  DESTINY'S DARLING 7 5 31 31½ 22 46 614½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00 ★ 45.02  
3  NO MORE MASK 3 2 52½ 63¼ 98¾ 711 718¾ (shankle joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00 22.85  
8  HASHTAG LUCKY 8 7 1nk 1nk 43½ 912½ 823½ (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 124 8.00 ★ 8.80  
6  SHES ALL WOMAN 6 4 42 42 32 812½ 927¾ (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 124 1.80 59% 0.70 1.11  
 
CD-6   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:123 1:393   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TIME FOR TROUBLE 6 2 33 32½ 2nk 1½ 13¼ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00 ★ 8.04  
1  BLESS THE KITTEN 1 4 11 11 1nk 2½ 23¼ (grubbs l)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 3.09  
2  MOMENT 2 3 21 21 31½ 34 37¾ (lopez elias)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 4.95  
5  MALIBU STAR 4 1 75 74¾ 54½ 46½ 410½ (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 124 4.50 17% 4.90 4.55  
10  IYWAAN 8 5 64½ 53 44 58½ 512¾ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 35% 1.90 4.75  
9  MOTI 7 8 87½ 86¾ 812¼ 612½ 613½ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 20.00 14.30  
7  SOUPER CATCH 5 6 43 63¼ 710¾ 718 741½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 16% 5.10 4.92  
4  PEEKACHO 3 7 53½ 43 610½ 818½ 845½ (vance r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 8.85  
SCR  BLUE STEEL               (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  HE TAKES CHARGE               (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
 
CD-7   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:144 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OUT OF SORTS 5 3 21 21 1nk 15 110 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 12.00 ★ 6.04  
1  MISTY VEIL 1 7 74¾ 63 63¾ 35½ 210 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 1.43  
14  WORLD OF WONDER 8 1 11 11 2nk 25 313 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 25% 3.00 5.41 S
2  CHEROKEE SONG 2 6 52¾ 52½ 52¼ 47 413¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 50.00 43.18  
3  GOOD FIGHT 3 5 31 31½ 41¾ 57 517 (hiles jeff)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 12.25  
9  BYE BYE BERTIE 6 4 42½ 42 31½ 610 623¾ (powell le)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 ★ 4.12  
10  CANDY RAID 7 8 89¾ 87 84¼ 814¼ 725¼ (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 124 12.00 5.83  
5  JUDY'S WAY 4 2 64¾ 74 73¾ 714 830 (silva h)BEJARANO R 120 50.00 14.43  
SCR  KIMBERLEY DREAM               (winston f)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BELLA               (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 12.00    
SCR  PEACE WITH HONOR               (mcmahon hu)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
SCR  STARSHIP MALLOMAR               (abrams ron)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  SUNNY ONE               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  WICKED GROOVE               (atras rob)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 6% 16.20    
 
CD-8   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:213 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HERO TIGER 7 5 52 3½   1nk 11¼ (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 4.16  
4  JOYFUL HEART 3 3 41½ 74¼   53¼ 21¼ (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00 9.98  
13  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 11 2 73¾ 1½   2nk 33½ (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 39.79  
7  BEVERLY PARK 6 6 3½ 2½   31 44¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 53% 0.90 2.22  
12  DON'T FORGET 10 4 107¾ 96¼   85¾ 56¼ (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 9.14  
2  THE WOLFMAN 1 7 1½ 51¾   65¼ 69½ (shankle joann)ALVELO C 126 6.00 ★ 3.18  
6  NIMBLE BEAST 5 1 2½ 41½   75¼ 79½ (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00 23.36  
5  HONORARY DEGREE 4 9 85¾ 63¾   43 89½ (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 15.00 36.09  
9  THIRSTY BETRAYAL 8 10 97¼ 106¼   96¼ 910¾ (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00 ★ 8.13  
11  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 9 11 1115¾ 1116¼   1112¼ 1012¾ (davidson sarah )LANERIE J 122 20.00 19.01  
3  GAME BOY BENNY 2 8 63½ 85¾   108¼ 1113¾ (winebau)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 33.89  
SCR  POWERFULLY BUILT               (abrams ron)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SILVER MOON ROAD               (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.00 ★    
 
CD-9   11/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  THE QUEENS JULES 10 2 2nk 11   12 1hd (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 8.57  
2  DIVINE LEADER 2 3 31 21   22 2hd (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 11% 7.80 6.14 P
6  FAMILY MAN 6 6 72¾ 53½   45½ 34¼ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 13% 6.70 5.83 S
10  ALEXANDROS 9 7 52¼ 31½   35 47¼ (duncan tr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 22.25  
3  FIRST GLIMPSE 3 4 105¼ 106½   710 57½ (silva h)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 11.77  
9  LT. JUNIOR GRADE 8 5 42 64½   58½ 611½ (van thomas)LANERIE J 124 6.00 4.46  
8  SO DIALED IN 7 10 83¼ 74½   610 714 (skerrett jef)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 31.73  
4  CAJUN BROTHER 4 1 1nk 43   815 824 (hess b)HERNANDEZ J 124 12.00 21.54  
1  RAGTIME BLUES 1 9 62¼ 85   923 935¾ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 7.37  
5  NO BURN 5 8 94¼ 96   1023½ 1038¼ (barrera s)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 44% 1.30 2.09  
SCR  POWELL               (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOARING BIRD               (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/12/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($35K) Purse ($175K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:131 1:392   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KEYSTONE FIELD 4 4 47 45 31½ 13 1½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 6.89  
5  INTREPID HEART 5 6 59 57 43½ 23 2½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 71% 0.40 2.36 P
1  BENEVENGO 1 5 12 11 1½ 34 37¾ (cruz jesus)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 ★ 3.26 S
7  TIZ RYE TIME 7 8 814 811 86½ 68 410 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5.20  
6  DIGITAL 6 2 611 68 54 57 516½ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 15.00 10.33  
8  DECISION MAKER 8 9 916 911½ 97½ 812 616¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 6.30  
2  FROSTED GRACE 2 1 22 21 2½ 46½ 716¾ (diodoro robe)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 20.00 16.49  
9  TWELVE VOLT MAN 9 7 711 78 64½ 711½ 817½ (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 8.00 ★ 13.98  
3  CALIBRATOR 3 3 32½ 32½ 75 920 944½ (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 21.74  
SCR  OURNATIONONPARADE               (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 4.50 ★    
 
CD-11   11/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:134 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  PALACE COUP 10 1 2nk 2nk 1½ 12 12 (sharp joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 6% 15.80 1.07 W
9  BIG AGENDA 7 9 811¼ 87¼ 42 22 22 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 ★ 6.42 P
6  BEAR OAK 5 4 31½ 31½ 2½ 35½ 310¾ (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 10.24  
5  UNDERDRESSED 4 5 54 42 31 46 411¼ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 19.98  
10  CAROM 8 3 42 54 65½ 512 518¼ (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 25.44  
2  ROGUE ELEMENT 2 6 912¼ 913¼ 913½ 614½ 618¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 20.00 38.76  
1  RED FLAG ALERT 1 2 1nk 1nk 54½ 715 724½ (winebau)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 11.75  
7  SAMUI SUNSET 6 7 75¾ 64½ 79½ 817 825¼ (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 15.00 53.64  
15  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) 9 8 65½ 74¾ 810½ 919½ 934¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 16.69  
4  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS 3 10 1017¼ 1020¼ 1028½ 1036½ 1061 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 3.12  
SCR  DRIFTWOOD               (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  FREEDOM MATTERS               (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  MAJOR WAGER               (meah m)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00    
SCR  MARKITOFF               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
SCR  MAX K. O.               (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  ON A SPREE               (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.