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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/12/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Claiming ($8K)					Purse ($26K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	JUSTIN'S QUEST									(van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						2.00		53%		0.90		1.33	W
6	IMPROBABLE STORY									(rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121						5.00		★				6.17	P
4	MONEY FOR MISCHIEF									(cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121						3.00		★				2.29	S
7	MASON A. P.									(hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 121						10.00						21.79
3	RYE HUMOR									(morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121						5.00						6.50
5	DR. FORMAN									(schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 121						3.50		17%		4.90		6.28
1	WHEREWEGOIN									(lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121						15.00		★				36.65

CD-2			11/12/2022		4290ft	DIRT	RC3	SLOPPY	Alw Opt Clm ($125K)					Purse ($134K)			3		ALL		PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	KNOCKER DOWN									(garcia genar)JORDAN R 118						6.00						8.15
6	STROBE									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						0.60		42%		1.40		0.23	P
7	SURFER DUDE									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118						15.00		★				13.98	S
1	SPANKSTER									(lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118						6.00		9%		10.30		12.82
8	TEXAS RED HOT									(morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						20.00						39.58
3	MOWINS									(lauer mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118						20.00		5%		19.00		54.48
5	HIGHER STANDARD									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						4.50		25%		3.00		10.67
2	STEINBECK									(cash l)CANNON DECLAN 120						12.00						42.93

CD-3			11/12/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC1	SLOPPY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	ALEXA LOU									(stewart dall)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119						10.00		★				7.14
3	MISS PEABODY									(newton troy)PARKER L 119						4.00		27%		2.80		7.79	P
11	GUNS N' LILIES									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119						8.00						11.90
6	HER LADYSHIP									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00						8.71
4	GHOSTLY GIRL									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.50		49%		1.00		2.68
1	MO DIVINE									(hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119						30.00						73.48
8	AISHA R N									(asmussen steven )BEJARANO R 119						15.00						17.46
5	VOGELSANG									(ewing michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						30.00						58.60
14	LEXA (FR)									(beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						15.00						17.07
12	UNDOUBTEDLY									(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119						12.00						2.30
10	INSIDE GIRL									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						6.00		5%		19.00		11.27
SCR	BOLT FOR ALLISON									(hartman ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						5.00
SCR	GRACEFUL UNION									(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119						20.00
SCR	MADLY DANCING									(ortiz alexand)GRAHAM J 119						8.00		★
SCR	MEDAGLIA FOREVER									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119						15.00

CD-4			11/12/2022		3630ft	DIRT	RC0	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($25K)					Purse ($150K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	PETIT VERDOT									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124						20.00		5%		18.50		2.21	W
11	TOWING									(vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 120						30.00						6.45
9	SEVEN SCENTS									(morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 126						5.00						1.82
1	SPYCRAFT									(sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126						5.00		9%		9.70		1.79
5	C C'S KITTEN									(meah m)SANJUR SANTO 118						30.00						17.20
SCR	MY PAL MATTIE									(thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 124						8.00
SCR	CREATIVE CREDIT									(haehn r)OUZTS W 123						15.00
SCR	CHASING ARTIE									(joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126						4.00		★
SCR	BOAT'S A ROCKIN									(kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122						5.00		25%		3.00
SCR	SHELLY ISLAND									(cooney susan )ALVELO C 120						30.00
SCR	BAD BEAT BRIAN									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 124						2.50		38%		1.70

CD-5			11/12/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC0	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($12.5K)					Purse ($100K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	INVALUABLE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122						4.00		11%		8.50		3.09	W
5	MAOILIN									(blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124						6.00		★				12.88	P
2	TELLER TO SING									(brownfield claud)BEJARANO R 122						12.00						6.47
4	LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE									(richardville)RAMOS D 120						4.50						10.07
1	FOREIGN EXCHANGE									(ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 120						10.00						29.39
7	DESTINY'S DARLING									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120						10.00		★				45.02
3	NO MORE MASK									(shankle joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122						15.00						22.85
8	HASHTAG LUCKY									(sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 124						8.00		★				8.80
6	SHES ALL WOMAN									(joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 124						1.80		59%		0.70		1.11

CD-6			11/12/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($8K)					Purse ($100K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	TIME FOR TROUBLE									(hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 124						8.00		★				8.04
1	BLESS THE KITTEN									(grubbs l)SAEZ LUIS 124						3.50						3.09
2	MOMENT									(lopez elias)GEROUX FLORENT 120						6.00						4.95
5	MALIBU STAR									(padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 124						4.50		17%		4.90		4.55
10	IYWAAN									(salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122						4.00		35%		1.90		4.75
9	MOTI									(o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122						20.00						14.30
7	SOUPER CATCH									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						10.00		16%		5.10		4.92
4	PEEKACHO									(vance r)LANERIE J 122						15.00						8.85
SCR	BLUE STEEL									(leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 124						6.00		6%		16.20
SCR	HE TAKES CHARGE									(klopp randy)RAMOS D 120						8.00

CD-7			11/12/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($25K)					Purse ($150K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	OUT OF SORTS									(mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124						12.00		★				6.04
1	MISTY VEIL									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120						6.00						1.43
14	WORLD OF WONDER									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						5.00		25%		3.00		5.41	S
2	CHEROKEE SONG									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122						50.00						43.18
3	GOOD FIGHT									(hiles jeff)HERNANDEZ J 120						15.00						12.25
9	BYE BYE BERTIE									(powell le)LEPAROUX R 122						8.00		★				4.12
10	CANDY RAID									(desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 124						12.00						5.83
5	JUDY'S WAY									(silva h)BEJARANO R 120						50.00						14.43
SCR	KIMBERLEY DREAM									(winston f)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120						30.00
SCR	MIDNIGHT BELLA									(joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122						12.00
SCR	PEACE WITH HONOR									(mcmahon hu)CORRALES GERARDO 124						15.00
SCR	STARSHIP MALLOMAR									(abrams ron)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						5.00
SCR	SUNNY ONE									(murphy conor)GRAHAM J 122						2.00		45%		1.20
SCR	WICKED GROOVE									(atras rob)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122						4.00		6%		16.20

CD-8			11/12/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC0	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($8K)					Purse ($100K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	HERO TIGER									(kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 122						12.00						4.16
4	JOYFUL HEART									(bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 124						8.00						9.98
13	ELLE'SBIGSEACRET									(shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 120						20.00						39.79
7	BEVERLY PARK									(cash l)BEJARANO R 124						3.50		53%		0.90		2.22
12	DON'T FORGET									(shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						12.00						9.14
2	THE WOLFMAN									(shankle joann)ALVELO C 126						6.00		★				3.18
6	NIMBLE BEAST									(soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 124						20.00						23.36
5	HONORARY DEGREE									(sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120						15.00						36.09
9	THIRSTY BETRAYAL									(shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 124						10.00		★				8.13
11	CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH									(davidson sarah )LANERIE J 122						20.00						19.01
3	GAME BOY BENNY									(winebau)DE CRUZ 124						20.00						33.89
SCR	POWERFULLY BUILT									(abrams ron)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						4.00		23%		3.40
SCR	SILVER MOON ROAD									(klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120						4.00		★

CD-9			11/12/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC0	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($16K)					Purse ($125K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
12	THE QUEENS JULES									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122						15.00						8.57
2	DIVINE LEADER									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120						8.00		11%		7.80		6.14	P
6	FAMILY MAN									(medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						3.50		13%		6.70		5.83	S
10	ALEXANDROS									(duncan tr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						15.00						22.25
3	FIRST GLIMPSE									(silva h)BEJARANO R 122						12.00						11.77
9	LT. JUNIOR GRADE									(van thomas)LANERIE J 124						6.00						4.46
8	SO DIALED IN									(skerrett jef)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124						15.00		5%		19.00		31.73
4	CAJUN BROTHER									(hess b)HERNANDEZ J 124						12.00						21.54
1	RAGTIME BLUES									(breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122						4.00						7.37
5	NO BURN									(barrera s)SAEZ LUIS 124						3.00		44%		1.30		2.09
SCR	POWELL									(sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110						50.00		5%		19.00
SCR	SOARING BIRD									(walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122						20.00

CD-10			11/12/2022		5940ft	DIRT	RC0	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($35K)					Purse ($175K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	KEYSTONE FIELD									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124						10.00						6.89
5	INTREPID HEART									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						2.50		71%		0.40		2.36	P
1	BENEVENGO									(cruz jesus)SAEZ LUIS 124						3.50		★				3.26	S
7	TIZ RYE TIME									(van thomas)BEJARANO R 122						10.00						5.20
6	DIGITAL									(hiles rick)LANERIE J 122						15.00						10.33
8	DECISION MAKER									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122						8.00						6.30
2	FROSTED GRACE									(diodoro robe)LANDEROS CHRIS 126						20.00						16.49
9	TWELVE VOLT MAN									(joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124						8.00		★				13.98
3	CALIBRATOR									(joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120						15.00		5%		19.00		21.74
SCR	OURNATIONONPARADE									(ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126						4.50		★

CD-11			11/12/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($25K)					Purse ($150K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
16	PALACE COUP									(sharp joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122						2.50		6%		15.80		1.07	W
9	BIG AGENDA									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120						3.50		★				6.42	P
6	BEAR OAK									(bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120						30.00						10.24
5	UNDERDRESSED									(hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120						15.00						19.98
10	CAROM									(kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 120						12.00						25.44
2	ROGUE ELEMENT									(hiles a)LANERIE J 122						20.00						38.76
1	RED FLAG ALERT									(winebau)DE CRUZ 122						20.00						11.75
7	SAMUI SUNSET									(sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122						15.00						53.64
15	SHADY MCGEE (IRE)									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122						6.00						16.69
4	ONENIGHTSTANDARDS									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.50						3.12
SCR	DRIFTWOOD									(kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 124						8.00		5%		18.90
SCR	FREEDOM MATTERS									(joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122						3.00		11%		8.30
SCR	MAJOR WAGER									(meah m)SANJUR SANTO 122						20.00
SCR	MARKITOFF									(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						20.00
SCR	MAX K. O.									(joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122						3.00		56%		0.80
SCR	ON A SPREE									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						20.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.