Handicappers' Race Results

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Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD MAN WINTER 5 4 3½ 3.2   11 1 (acquilano james)COA J 120 1.80 42% 1.40 1.00 W
MACHO MIAH 3 2 42 4   3 2 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 6.10 P
OUR MAN MIKE 6 5 65 6   5 3 (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 2.50 26% 2.80 2.30 S
HONORABLE AVENUE 2 1 2nk 1nk   21 4 (tasso mark)DAVIS A 117 4.00 4.30  
ISAIAH ISAIAH 1 6 54 5   65 510¼ (bartlett h)GOMEZ O 117 12.00 46.75  
HIGH COMMAND 4 3 1nk 2nk   4 616½ (grusmark karl)NAVARRO KEVIN 115 6.00 13.40  
 
FL-2   11/15/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:143 1:43   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL EXCLUSION 6 2 22 1nk 1 18 1 (hillegass)NAVARRO J 121 12.00 8% 12.10 12.70 W
UNI LOVES A FIGHT 8 1 12 2nk 2 28 2 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 4.50  
TOOLEGITTOQUIT 4 7 55 53 4 513 3 (garza hector)COA J 121 4.00 50% 1.00 2.50 S
SWEET LARISSA 5 3 43 3 3 312 410 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 9% 10.00 1.60  
QUIET HORIZON 2 6 65 7 79 714½ 511¼ (cabrera a)ROHENA JR 121 3.50 12.30  
WILLOW GROVE 7 8 8 8 68 614 611½ (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 121 8.00 9.40  
CENTRAL CAPITAL 1 4 7 6 57 413 711¾ (rivera dav)DAVIS A 124 5.00 11.40  
PALS ALLY 3 5 3 4 8 822½ 821 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 118 15.00 6% 15.40 18.10  
 
FL-3   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EROS'S GIRL 3 6 56 43 3 3.2 1½ (ferraro antho)NAVARRO KEVIN 118 3.00 3.65  
SHESASCOLDASICE 4 4 67 65 53 4 2½ (ferraro anthon)COA J 121 6.00 18.00  
SABREEN 1 2 3 32 1½ 1nk 3½ (acquilano )DAVIS A 124 2.50 48% 1.10 3.00 S
FORTY SMOOTH 2 5 12 11 2½ 2nk 4 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 5.00 15% 5.50 3.35  
MELISSA'S SMILE 5 7 713 711 7 7 5 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 121 12.00 21.70  
CHARGE NURSE 7 1 22 21 42 5 6 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 2.30  
SWEET BLINDNESS 6 3 43 53 6 6 78 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 13% 6.50 6.50  
 
FL-4   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:252 :512 1:17 1:423   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH ACCESS 1 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 11 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00 3.65  
I AM THE CASH MAN 6 3 21 21 2½ 2nk 21 (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 124 1.40 67% 0.50 0.65 P
DREMAS BOY 3 2 42 31 3½ 31 3 (bartlett h)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00 62.25  
THIS CAT CAN FLY 7 6 65 6 7 57 4 (gutterson)NAVARRO J 121 6.00 16.60  
KODIAK BROWN 5 5 54 5 5 45 5 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 3.50 6.50  
MANDATORY PAYOUT 2 7 7 7 6 6 6 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
CURLIN'S NEW MOON 4 4 32 4 43 7 712 (miller-saul beth)COA J 121 15.00 45.75  
SCR  NO LIME               (gutierrez a)ROHENA JR 121 10.00    
 
FL-5   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINTH HOUR 4 1 1 1nk   21 11 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.60 W
MASS APPEAL 5 4 43 3½   11 21 (murphy timot)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 8.00  
1A  MIAMI CHROME 2 6 56 5   4 31 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 3.50 13% 6.80 6.30  
NUMBER ONE DILLON 7 2 2 2nk   3 44 (huertas ni)DAVIS A 117 6.00 6.70  
SOUTH AFRICA 1 5 7 7   5 5 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 124 2.50 15% 5.80 3.00  
PANAMA PAUL 3 3 6 6   6 6 (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 5.00 3.00  
HARRISON KNOWS 6 7 3 43   711½ 714 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 12% 7.60 13.20  
SCR  TRIGGER PULL               (loaiza il)NAVARRO J 119 3.50    
 
FL-6   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:011     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTER KITE 4 6 1½ 1   16 1 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 122 4.00 29% 2.40 5.60 W
ANGELIC MISSION 6 1 3 2   26 2 (ferraro michael)COA J 122 2.00 30% 2.30 1.75 P
PALACE BEE 3 5 42 4   412 311½ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 18.20  
FOOT TRAFFIC 2 2 2½ 3   311 411½ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 15.00 17.50  
LET'S EAT 1 8 63 6   512½ 513 (englehart jeremiah )CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 3.95  
WORTHYCONVERSATION 5 3 53 53   713 613¾ (sells rach)DAVIS A 118 15.00 19.50  
KHALI BULLET 8 4 76 7   613 715½ (englehart)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 18% 4.70 9.00  
SUPER SALVATORE 7 7 88 8   818 824¼ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 2.90  
 
FL-7   11/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:14 1:403   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHER JEREMIAH 7 8 33 31 21 21 1½ (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 3.05  
THE REVENGER 6 4 11 11 11 11 2½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 1.60 P
DR. MARBOOZ 4 6 8 75 7 4 3½ (mastin kathleen)COA J 121 6.00 8.20 S
SHARED SUCCESS 2 3 6 63 4 3 41 (acquilano )DAVIS A 124 2.50 59% 0.70 1.75  
GREY INVASION 8 7 21 21 31 58 5 (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 8.00 6% 15.20 16.40  
JUMPSTER 5 5 7 8 8 712 6 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 121 8.00 25.25  
CANDYROCK 3 2 5 5 6 612 710¾ (donegan l)ROHENA JR 121 20.00 53.25  
RINGGOOD 1 1 4 42 5 812¼ 811 (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00 93.50  
 
FL-8   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAYS REMEMBERED 4 1 11 12   1 1 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 1.60 43% 1.30 0.45 W
SWEET TOOTH SUE 1 3 21 22   2 2 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 3.00 21% 3.80 9.50 P
MY DADDY'S TRAINER 3 7 65 5   3 38 (iorio jr)COA J 121 20.00 29.00  
SUEBEE 6 5 53 65   510½ 411¾ (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 5.00 8% 11.10 9.70  
SHRIMP N GRITS 5 8 77 710   711½ 511¾ (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 121 6.00 4.00  
MY LITTLE ONE 2 2 88 814   815½ 615½ (babcock edward)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 20.00 70.25  
HAIL TO DILIGENCE 8 6 4 44   410 717½ (ubbink stephen)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00 5% 18.00 16.50  
SPANISH SURPRISE 7 4 32 34   610½ 820¼ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 8.00 16.90  
SCR  LONDON PEARL               (hillegass)NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.