Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FL-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OLD MAN WINTER 5 4 3½ 3.2   11 11¾ (acquilano jame)COA J 120 1.80 42% 1.40 1.00 W
3  MACHO MIAH 3 2 42 42¾   31½ 21¾ (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 ★ 6.10 P
6  OUR MAN MIKE 6 5 65 66¼   54½ 33¼ (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 2.50 26% 2.80 2.30 S
2  HONORABLE AVENUE 2 1 2nk 1nk   21 45½ (tasso ma)DAVIS A 117 4.00 ★ 4.30  
1  ISAIAH ISAIAH 1 6 54 53¾   65 510¼ (bartlett h)GOMEZ O 117 12.00 46.75  
4  HIGH COMMAND 4 3 1nk 2nk   42½ 616½ (grusmark karl)NAVARRO KEVIN 115 6.00 ★ 13.40  
 
FL-2   11/15/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:143 1:43   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOCIAL EXCLUSION 6 2 22 1nk 13½ 18 17¼ (hillega)NAVARRO J 121 12.00 8% 12.10 12.70 W
8  UNI LOVES A FIGHT 8 1 12 2nk 23½ 28 27¼ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 4.50  
4  TOOLEGITTOQUIT 4 7 55 53 46½ 513 39½ (garza hector)COA J 121 4.00 50% 1.00 2.50 S
5  SWEET LARISSA 5 3 43 31½ 34½ 312 410 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 9% 10.00 1.60  
2  QUIET HORIZON 2 6 65 74¼ 79 714½ 511¼ (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 121 3.50 12.30  
7  WILLOW GROVE 7 8 87¼ 85¼ 68 614 611½ (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 121 8.00 9.40  
1  CENTRAL CAPITAL 1 4 75¼ 63¼ 57 413 711¾ (rivera d)DAVIS A 124 5.00 ★ 11.40  
3  PALS ALLY 3 5 32½ 42½ 89½ 822½ 821 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 118 15.00 6% 15.40 18.10  
 
FL-3   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EROS'S GIRL 3 6 56 43 31½ 3.2 1½ (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 118 3.00 ★ 3.65  
4  SHESASCOLDASICE 4 4 67 65 53 41¾ 2½ (ferraro anth)COA J 121 6.00 18.00  
1  SABREEN 1 2 32½ 32 1½ 1nk 3½ (acquilan)DAVIS A 124 2.50 48% 1.10 3.00 S
2  FORTY SMOOTH 2 5 12 11 2½ 2nk 41¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 5.00 15% 5.50 3.35  
5  MELISSA'S SMILE 5 7 713 711 78½ 75¾ 52½ (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 121 12.00 21.70  
7  CHARGE NURSE 7 1 22 21 42 54¾ 67¾ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 ★ 2.30  
6  SWEET BLINDNESS 6 3 43 53 63½ 64¾ 78 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 13% 6.50 6.50  
 
FL-4   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:252 :512 1:17 1:423   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH ACCESS 1 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00 ★ 3.65  
7  I AM THE CASH MAN 6 3 21 21 2½ 2nk 21 (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 124 1.40 67% 0.50 0.65 P
3  DREMAS BOY 3 2 42 31 3½ 31 33¼ (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00 62.25  
8  THIS CAT CAN FLY 7 6 65 62¾ 74¼ 57 44¼ (gutters)NAVARRO J 121 6.00 16.60  
5  KODIAK BROWN 5 5 54 52½ 53¼ 45 54¾ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.50 ★ 6.50  
2  MANDATORY PAYOUT 2 7 75½ 74¾ 64¼ 67½ 67½ (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
4  CURLIN'S NEW MOON 4 4 32 41½ 43 77¾ 712 (miller-saul be)COA J 121 15.00 45.75  
SCR  NO LIME               (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 121 10.00 ★    
 
FL-5   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NINTH HOUR 4 1 12½ 1nk   21 11 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.60 W
5  MASS APPEAL 5 4 43 3½   11 21 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00 8.00  
1A  MIAMI CHROME 2 6 56 54½   44½ 31 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 3.50 13% 6.80 6.30  
7  NUMBER ONE DILLON 7 2 22½ 2nk   31½ 44 (huertas )DAVIS A 117 6.00 6.70  
2  SOUTH AFRICA 1 5 79¼ 78¾   59½ 55¼ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 15% 5.80 3.00  
3  PANAMA PAUL 3 3 66¼ 68½   69½ 65½ (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 5.00 ★ 3.00  
6  HARRISON KNOWS 6 7 32½ 43   711½ 714 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 12% 7.60 13.20  
SCR  TRIGGER PULL               (loaiza )NAVARRO J 119 3.50 ★    
 
FL-6   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:011     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FIGHTER KITE 4 6 1½ 11½   16 14½ (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 4.00 29% 2.40 5.60 W
6  ANGELIC MISSION 6 1 31½ 21½   26 24½ (ferraro michae)COA J 122 2.00 30% 2.30 1.75 P
3  PALACE BEE 3 5 42 42½   412 311½ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 18.20  
2  FOOT TRAFFIC 2 2 2½ 32½   311 411½ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 15.00 17.50  
1  LET'S EAT 1 8 63 64½   512½ 513 (englehart jeremia)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 ★ 3.95  
5  WORTHYCONVERSATION 5 3 53 53   713 613¾ (sells ra)DAVIS A 118 15.00 19.50  
8  KHALI BULLET 8 4 76 74¾   613 715½ (engleha)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 18% 4.70 9.00  
7  SUPER SALVATORE 7 7 88 88¾   818 824¼ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 ★ 2.90  
 
FL-7   11/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:14 1:403   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BROTHER JEREMIAH 7 8 33 31 21 21 1½ (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 ★ 3.05  
6  THE REVENGER 6 4 11 11 11 11 2½ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 ★ 1.60 P
4  DR. MARBOOZ 4 6 87½ 75 76¾ 45½ 3½ (mastin kathlee)COA J 121 6.00 ★ 8.20 S
2  SHARED SUCCESS 2 3 65½ 63 42½ 32½ 41 (acquilan)DAVIS A 124 2.50 59% 0.70 1.75  
8  GREY INVASION 8 7 21 21 31 58 58¼ (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 8.00 6% 15.20 16.40  
5  JUMPSTER 5 5 77½ 85½ 89¼ 712 69½ (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 121 8.00 25.25  
3  CANDYROCK 3 2 54½ 52½ 66¾ 612 710¾ (donegan l)ROHENA JR 121 20.00 53.25  
1  RINGGOOD 1 1 43½ 42 56½ 812¼ 811 (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00 93.50  
 
FL-8   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DAYS REMEMBERED 4 1 11 12   13½ 11½ (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 1.60 43% 1.30 0.45 W
1  SWEET TOOTH SUE 1 3 21 22   23½ 21½ (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 3.00 21% 3.80 9.50 P
3  MY DADDY'S TRAINER 3 7 65 54½   36½ 38 (iorio jr)COA J 121 20.00 29.00  
7  SUEBEE 6 5 53 65   510½ 411¾ (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 5.00 8% 11.10 9.70  
5  SHRIMP N GRITS 5 8 77 710   711½ 511¾ (lecesse )DAVIS A 121 6.00 ★ 4.00  
2  MY LITTLE ONE 2 2 88 814   815½ 615½ (babcock edwar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 20.00 70.25  
9  HAIL TO DILIGENCE 8 6 42½ 44   410 717½ (ubbink stephen)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00 5% 18.00 16.50  
8  SPANISH SURPRISE 7 4 32 34   610½ 820¼ (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 8.00 16.90  
SCR  LONDON PEARL               (hillega)NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.