Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISAIAH ISAIAH Nov02 May16       (bartlett h)GOMEZ O 117 12.00    
2  HONORABLE AVENUE Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 Aug08 Jul13 (tasso ma)DAVIS A 117 4.00 ★    
3  MACHO MIAH Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 Sep13 Jul05 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 ★    
4  HIGH COMMAND Oct25 Jul06 Jun13 May18 Apr25 (grusmark karl)NAVARRO KEVIN 115 6.00 ★    
5  OLD MAN WINTER Nov02 Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 (acquilano jame)COA J 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
6  OUR MAN MIKE Nov07 Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
FL-2   11/15/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTRAL CAPITAL Nov02 Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Aug23 (rivera d)DAVIS A 124 5.00 ★    
2  QUIET HORIZON Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug15 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 121 3.50    
3  PALS ALLY Nov07 Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 Aug17 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 118 15.00 6% 15.40    
4  TOOLEGITTOQUIT Oct26 Sep10 Aug22 Jul26 Jun23 (garza hector)COA J 121 4.00 50% 1.00    
5  SWEET LARISSA Oct04 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 9% 10.00    
6  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Oct26 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 (hillega)NAVARRO J 121 12.00 8% 12.10    
7  WILLOW GROVE Oct12 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 121 8.00    
8  UNI LOVES A FIGHT Oct26 Oct12 Sep21 Aug23 Jul26 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
 
FL-3   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABREEN Oct03 Sep19 Aug16 Jul20 Jul05 (acquilan)DAVIS A 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  FORTY SMOOTH Nov07 Oct08 Sep15 Aug21 Jan02 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
3  EROS'S GIRL Oct19 Sep19 Aug18 Jul25 Jul04 (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 118 3.00 ★    
4  SHESASCOLDASICE Oct19 Oct04 Aug26 Jul25 Jun23 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 6.00    
5  MELISSA'S SMILE Oct09 Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 121 12.00    
6  SWEET BLINDNESS Oct19 Sep19 Aug29 Aug15 Jul11 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 13% 6.50    
7  CHARGE NURSE Oct24 Sep14 Aug23 Jul25 Jun29 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 ★    
 
FL-4   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH ACCESS Oct24 Oct10 Sep21 Aug09   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00 ★    
2  MANDATORY PAYOUT Oct31 Oct19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DREMAS BOY Nov02 Oct18 Aug30 Aug02 Jul20 (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00    
4  CURLIN'S NEW MOON Aug31 Aug10 Jul19 Jun29 May23 (miller-saul be)COA J 121 15.00    
5  KODIAK BROWN Oct19 Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 Jun21 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  NO LIME Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 121 10.00 ★    
7  I AM THE CASH MAN Oct25 Jul15 Jun27 May30 Apr03 (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 124 1.40 67% 0.50    
8  THIS CAT CAN FLY Oct24 Sep27 Aug29 Aug03 Jun21 (gutters)NAVARRO J 121 6.00    
 
FL-5   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MIAMI CHROME Oct24 Oct11 Sep19 Aug24 Aug16 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  TRIGGER PULL Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 Sep19 Aug30 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 119 3.50 ★    
2  SOUTH AFRICA Oct24 Aug17 Jul18 Jun13 May21 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
3  PANAMA PAUL Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Jun29 May31 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 5.00 ★    
4  NINTH HOUR Oct24 Oct04 Aug31 Jul20 Jun21 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  MASS APPEAL Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep05 Aug16 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
6  HARRISON KNOWS Oct31 Oct19 Oct11 Sep05 Aug16 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
7  NUMBER ONE DILLON Oct24 Oct11 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 (huertas )DAVIS A 117 6.00    
 
FL-6   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S EAT Oct19         (englehart jeremia)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 ★    
2  FOOT TRAFFIC Oct17 Oct04       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 15.00    
3  PALACE BEE Nov02         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
4  FIGHTER KITE         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  WORTHYCONVERSATION Nov07 Oct17 Sep05 Aug23 Jul26 (sells ra)DAVIS A 118 15.00    
6  ANGELIC MISSION Oct19 Oct04 Sep21     (ferraro michae)COA J 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
7  SUPER SALVATORE Oct16         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 ★    
8  KHALI BULLET         (engleha)NAVARRO J 122 8.00 18% 4.70    
 
FL-7   11/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RINGGOOD Oct31 Oct19 Oct10 Sep06 Aug22 (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 121 12.00    
2  SHARED SUCCESS Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 Aug29 Jul27 (acquilan)DAVIS A 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
3  CANDYROCK Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 (donegan l)ROHENA JR 121 20.00    
4  DR. MARBOOZ Oct25 Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 Aug10 (mastin kathlee)COA J 121 6.00 ★    
5  JUMPSTER Oct25 Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 Aug29 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 121 8.00    
6  THE REVENGER Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 Aug08 Jun27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 ★    
7  BROTHER JEREMIAH Oct24 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul27 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 ★    
8  GREY INVASION Sep28 Sep15 Aug30 Aug16 Jul20 (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 121 8.00 6% 15.20    
 
FL-8   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET TOOTH SUE Nov01 Oct17 Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  MY LITTLE ONE Nov01 Oct03 Sep06 Aug23 Aug01 (babcock edwar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 20.00    
3  MY DADDY'S TRAINER Nov01 Oct03 Sep14 Jul17 Jun15 (iorio jr)COA J 121 20.00    
4  DAYS REMEMBERED Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Sep12 Aug27 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  SHRIMP N GRITS Oct11         (lecesse )DAVIS A 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  LONDON PEARL Nov01 Feb20 Feb11 Jan28   (hillega)NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
7  SUEBEE Nov01         (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 5.00 8% 11.10    
8  SPANISH SURPRISE Oct10         (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 8.00    
9  HAIL TO DILIGENCE         (ubbink stephen)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00 5% 18.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.