The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Finger Lakes
Monday - October 17, 2022

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FL-1   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
:23 :47 1:004     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPRESS PALPATINE 5 1 1nk 15   16 1¼ (henry n)ALVARADO R 121 5.00 2.60  
FLOWERS GALORE 4 2 2nk 25   26 2¼ (wright t)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 23% 3.40 2.95 P
SPECIAL ASSISTANT 2 5 5 4   43(sells rachel)DAVIS A 124 10.00 17% 4.80 1.50 S
SWEET TOOTH SUE 3 3 34 3   34(marino e)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 4.00  
THIRD STAR 1 4 46 515½   525½ 518¾ (rohena jose)ROHENA JR 121 12.00 8% 12.10 9.10  
SCR  EYE SEE SKIESOFBLU               (bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  LONDON PEARL               (hillegass alexandra)NAVARRO J 121 6.00    
SCR  TOSCONOVAPRINCESS               (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 4.00    
 
FL-2   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:222 :461 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTY'S SMILE 6 1 1nk 13   14 1(grusmark karl)DAVIS A 122 5.00 2.45  
DAT DARES GOLD 4 3 4 23   24 2(magee kieron)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 47% 1.10 3.70 P
TRIVIA 3 2 5 57   43(breed a)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 3.15  
DAREDEVIL BULL 1 5 2nk 33   34 4(grabowski a)COA J 119 3.50 11% 8.00 2.55  
GRAPHITE DUTCHESS 5 6 6 611   58 5(buckley b)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 11.60  
HONORABLE LILLY 2 4 3½ 45   620 625½ (sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 1.60 20% 3.90 7.30  
 
FL-3   10/17/2022 5400ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($26.6K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
:243 :494 1:152 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLURE OF MONEY 8 3 31 31 11 16 111¾ (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 2.50 49% 1.00 0.65 W
HUTCH 3 2 2nk 2nk 21 26 211¾ (buckley b)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00 24% 3.10 2.95 P
BLUE LIEUTENANT 1 1 1nk 1nk 33 316 327¾ (rohena jose)ROHENA M 120 4.00 3.60 S
1A  BLUE SOLDIER 5 8 53 5 48 420 430¾ (rohena jose)ROHENA JR 120 4.00 3.60  
PER KEY D P 7 7 8 7 612 523 531¾ (englehart s)DAVILA R 120 12.00 23.90  
WORTHYCONVERSATION 4 6 42 4 59 626 639¾ (sells rachel)BERRIOS C 120 20.00 ######  
DYNAMIC STORM 6 4 6 6 720 839 758 (dixon k)DAVIS A 120 8.00 10.80  
FOOT TRAFFIC 2 5 7 8 821 738 860¾ (barrow paul)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 20.00 36.75  
SCR  BOYS CODE               (dixon k)COA J 120 10.00    
SCR  CAESAR'S GHOST               (caramori eduardo)GOMEZ O 120 6.00 5% 18.50    
 
FL-4   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:221 :46 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUES CITY 9 2 912¾ 8   61¾ (dominguez v)BERRIOS C 122 10.00 19.80  
BOWING SNOWMAN 6 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¾ (muller j)SONE Y 122 3.00 51% 1.00 4.80 P
SMOOTH TALES 2 7 5 31   2nk 3(murphy p)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 2.30 S
QUINTARELLI 5 6 3 4   3.2 43 (turetsky e)GOMEZ O 122 6.00 5.80  
SYNCOPY 7 4 4 5   45(acquilano james)COA J 124 2.50 1.75  
LIGHTNING ROB 4 9 812¼ 912¾   965 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 54.50  
WHERE YA GOIN OWEN 3 5 6 6   77(maver eduardo)PEREZ E 122 8.00 21% 3.80 6.50  
HOLY COWBOY 8 1 2nk 2nk   587 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 15.00 29.00  
GOLDMINE KAZ 1 8 7 7   89(maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00 97.25  
 
FL-5   10/17/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($26.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
:242 :491 1:144 1:433   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCA AT THE SPA 2 4 44 5 5 21 1(englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 5.20  
REDEMPTION ROAD 6 6 6 6 4 42(barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 5.00 36% 1.80 3.45 P
WICKOSITY 5 7 8 8 7 53(englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 5.00 6% 15.80 5.00 S
NORTH COAST 8 5 5 4¾ 2½ 11 3(ferraro anthony)COA J 121 4.00 19% 4.20 7.70 S
CASH BAIL 7 8 910¾ 9 810¾ 755 (meadow e)USKE S 121 10.00 14.20  
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY 4 3 3 2nk 1½ 31 6(bireta donna)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00 10.00  
10  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY 9 9 7 7 6 67(babcock edward)BERRIOS C 124 6.00 33.75  
MACLYRICAL 1 1 1nk 3.2 31 8815½ (buckley b)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 18% 4.70 2.25  
11  DRUID 10 10 1011¾ 1010¼ 1012¼ 916¾ 930¾ (goodwin gabriel)DAVIS A 124 20.00 43.75  
SEA URCHIN 3 2 2nk 1nk 911¾ 1024¾ 1038¾ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 20.00 21.70  
SCR  RUSTY DE               (falk jacqueline)PIERMARINI T 124 12.00    
 
FL-6   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
:22 :453 :583     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUREAUCRAT 2 9 4 32   1½ 1(buckley b)PEREZ E 124 4.00 4.30  
N Y ANTHEM 1 8 1nk 11   2½ 2(englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 3.50 1.50 P
PERSISTENT DANGER 9 1 5 5   333 (sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00 45.00  
MISBEHAVED 8 4 75 6   52 4(englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 15% 5.70 1.95  
RED FORTRESS 7 3 99 913   95(ferraro michael)COA J 121 3.00 51% 0.90 11.10  
JUGGLER 6 2 86 812   866 (rohena jose)DAVIS A 121 6.00 9% 9.80 7.40  
HANGOUT 5 5 31 4   65 78 (mastin kathleen)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 8.00 33.25  
BUSTIN PIETRE 3 6 2nk 21   42 8(barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 20.00 5% 19.00 33.75  
BUMBLE MONSTER 4 7 6 76   79(grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 121 10.00 42.75  
 
FL-7   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($158.579K) 2 ALL PT- 4:04
:22 :45 :574     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACOUSTIC AVE 3 3 1½ 2nk   2nk 1hd (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 41% 1.40 3.15 W
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE 6 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 2hd (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 21% 3.80 0.55 P
STONEWALL STAR 1 6 3 3½   3.2 31 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 15% 5.60 3.00 S
MSHINDI 2 7 67 612¾   513¼ 413½ (dixon k)DAVIS A 122 12.00 30.75  
GOLD IN THEM HILLS 7 2 4 4   410¼ 517 (d'alessandro ralph)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00 83.00  
MO TRUMP 8 4 89 815¾   618¼ 618½ (ferraro anthony)COA J 122 6.00 31.25  
THE CATILLAC KID 4 8 78 715¾   820¼ 725¼ (baker charlton)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 67.75  
TIZ LUCKY 5 5 54 512½   720¼ 827½ (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 15.00 87.25  
 
FL-8   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:224 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOBE'S LEGACY 4 6 6 31   11 13 (englehart chris)DAVILA R 121 2.50 14% 6.40 2.55 W
GOD BLESS AMERICA 9 3 7 5   32 23 (wright t)DE EMANUEL 121 5.00 12% 7.70 4.20 P
ROMANOATSEE 8 7 8 7   65 3(barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 12.00 12.40  
DR. CERFOLIO 7 1 41 6   77 49 (acquilano james)COA J 121 10.00 27.50  
SARATOGA SKY 1 8 2nk 42   54 5(turetsky e)BAEZ JOSE 121 20.00 26.75  
GREEK EASTER 3 2 1nk 1nk   21 611¾ (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 8% 11.70 11.40  
SHE SPEAKS WELL 2 9 9 915¾   815 716¼ (maver eduardo)BERRIOS C 121 20.00 5% 19.00 56.50  
NEMO'S FORTUNE 6 5 3½ 2nk   43 817½ (englehart c)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 38% 1.60 1.30  
MY SLICK NICK 5 4 5 810¾   917 928½ (klesaris steve)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 8.00 11.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.