Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - October 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOSCONOVAPRINCESS Sep05 Aug22       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00 ★    
2  THIRD STAR         (rohena j)ROHENA JR 121 12.00 8% 12.10    
3  SPECIAL ASSISTANT Oct06 Sep21 Aug26 Aug11 Jul21 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 10.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  EYE SEE SKIESOFBLU Sep12         (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  SWEET TOOTH SUE Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 (mar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00    
6  FLOWERS GALORE Oct03 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08   (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  LONDON PEARL Feb20 Feb11 Jan28     (hillega)NAVARRO J 121 6.00    
8  EMPRESS PALPATINE Oct03 Aug23 Jul26 Jul06 Jun20 (henry n)ALVARADO R 121 5.00    
 
FL-2   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAREDEVIL BULL Sep21 Aug29 Aug15 Jul19 Jun01 (grabowski john)COA J 119 3.50 11% 8.00    
2  HONORABLE LILLY Jun08 Mar30 Mar18 Feb22 Feb09 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 1.60 20% 3.90    
3  TRIVIA Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 Aug01 Jul20 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
4  DAT DARES GOLD Sep18 Sep09 Aug28 Aug13 Jul17 (mag)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Sep28 Sep12 Aug15 Jun14 May24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 ★    
6  BETTY'S SMILE Sep28 Sep14 May24 May09 Apr25 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 5.00 ★    
 
FL-3   10/17/2022 5400ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE LIEUTENANT Sep21 Sep05 Aug07 Jul26   (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 120 4.00 ★    
1A  BLUE SOLDIER Sep23 Aug10 Jul26     (rohena j)ROHENA JR 120 4.00    
SCR  CAESAR'S GHOST         (caramori eduardo)GOMEZ O 120 6.00 5% 18.50    
3  FOOT TRAFFIC Oct04         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 20.00    
4  HUTCH Sep21 Sep05       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  WORTHYCONVERSATION Sep05 Aug23 Jul26     (sells rachel)BERRIOS C 120 20.00    
6  DYNAMIC STORM Sep26         (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 8.00 ★    
7  PER KEY D P Sep21         (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 12.00    
8  ALLURE OF MONEY Sep21         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  BOYS CODE Sep21 Aug23 Jul26     (dixon k)COA J 120 10.00    
 
FL-4   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDMINE KAZ Sep19 Aug30 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 (maver eduardo)FRET STEVEN 122 20.00    
2  SMOOTH TALES Oct04 Sep26 Sep06 Aug02 Jul11 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 ★    
3  WHERE YA GOIN OWEN Oct03 Sep20 Sep13 Aug30 Aug22 (maver eduardo)PEREZ E 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
4  LIGHTNING ROB Sep19 Aug08 Jul27 Jun29 Jun13 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUINTARELLI Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (turetsky e)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
6  BOWING SNOWMAN Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 (muller j)SONE Y 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
7  SYNCOPY Oct03 Sep13 Aug22 Jul20 Jun28 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 2.50 ★    
8  HOLY COWBOY Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
9  BLUES CITY Oct03 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 (dominguez carlos )CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
 
FL-5   10/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACLYRICAL Sep27 Sep13       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  RUSTY DE Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jun28 (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 124 12.00    
3  LUCA AT THE SPA Sep13 Aug03 Jul08 Apr29 Mar19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 ★    
4  SEA URCHIN Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Jul27   (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 20.00    
5  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Oct05 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul15 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
6  WICKOSITY Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 Jul12 Jun22 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 5.00 6% 15.80    
7  REDEMPTION ROAD Sep27 Aug30 Aug08     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 5.00 36% 1.80    
8  CASH BAIL Aug18 Jun29       (meadow e)USKE S 121 10.00    
9  NORTH COAST (IRE) Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 4.00 19% 4.20    
10  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY Oct05 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jun14 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 124 6.00    
11  DRUID Aug11 Jul29 Jun17     (goodwin )DAVIS A 124 20.00    
 
FL-6   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  N Y ANTHEM Sep25 Sep03 Aug08 Jul08 May31 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.50 ★    
2  BUREAUCRAT Mar13 Feb05       (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 4.00    
3  BUSTIN PIETRE May02 Apr10 Feb21 Jan27   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BUMBLE MONSTER Oct04 Sep13 May10 Apr25 Apr07 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 121 10.00    
5  HANGOUT Sep13 Aug30 Aug08 Jul13 Jun29 (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 8.00    
6  JUGGLER Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 Jun27 May19 (rohena r)DAVIS A 121 6.00 9% 9.80    
7  RED FORTRESS Sep27         (ferraro michae)COA J 121 3.00 51% 0.90    
8  MISBEHAVED Oct02 Aug27 Jul01 Jun05   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
9  PERSISTENT DANGER Sep26 Jun29 May24 May10 Apr25 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
 
FL-7   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($158.579K) 2 ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONEWALL STAR Sep22 Sep02       (de horacio)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
2  MSHINDI Oct04         (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 12.00 ★    
3  ACOUSTIC AVE Sep26 Aug26 Jul29     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  THE CATILLAC KID         (baker charlton)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00    
5  TIZ LUCKY Sep26 Sep05       (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
6  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Oct01 Aug26 Jul16 Jun03   (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 21% 3.80    
7  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Sep26 Aug23       (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
8  MO TRUMP Sep26 Sep05 Aug23     (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00 ★    
 
FL-8   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA SKY Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jul11 (turetsky e)CRUZ JOEL 121 20.00    
2  SHE SPEAKS WELL         (maver eduard)BERRIOS C 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  GREEK EASTER Sep27 Sep13 Jun08     (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 121 6.00 8% 11.70    
4  KOBE'S LEGACY Sep26 Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 May19 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 2.50 14% 6.40    
5  MY SLICK NICK Sep25 Aug31 Aug05     (klesaris stev)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 8.00    
6  NEMO'S FORTUNE Aug08 Jul13       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
7  DR. CERFOLIO Sep26 Sep13 Feb10 Jan07   (acquilano jame)COA J 121 10.00    
8  ROMANOATSEE         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 12.00    
9  GOD BLESS AMERICA Sep26 Aug22 Aug08 Jul27   (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 121 5.00 12% 7.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.