Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:131 1:27   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD N'SWEET 1 3 33 3½ 1nk 15 115¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 3.50 23% 3.40 1.60 W
VALEROSO 4 2 1 2nk 35 3 215¼ (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 27% 2.70 1.30 P
LONTANI 5 1 2 1nk 2nk 25 316¾ (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 4.00 18% 4.60 3.10 S
AZTEC EMPIRE 2 4 44 4 4 413½ 428½ (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 7.40  
AJWIBAH 3 5 5 58 512½ 520½ 543¼ (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 20.00  
SCR  SEMINOLE JUSTICE               (west aaro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00    
 
MVR-2   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:02     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER HALF 4 4 1½ 1½   13 1 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 3.50  
SWEET MOBILTEE 3 5 2½ 4¾   3 2 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 4.00 16% 5.30 3.90 P
SALUTE THE KID 8 1 42 3½   23 3 (rettele ric)CORREA L 122 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30 S
MANDOLIN BREEZE 5 2 32 2½   4 4 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 4.10  
1A  DANES LAST SONG 2 7 5 5   5 5 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 10% 8.70 7.10  
MORNINGBEACHWALK 7 6 811¾ 812¾   716 623¼ (schuster robin)BRACHO A 122 8.00 20.80  
2B  HALO EFFECT 6 3 6 6   613 723¾ (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 3.50  
THELMA LUCILLE 1 8 7 710¼   816¼ 828½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 6.00 7.10  
 
MVR-3   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:152 1:301   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOP THERE IT IS 4 5 43 21 12 12 1 (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 2.00 51% 1.00 1.20 W
CHORIST 5 2 33 4 22 22 2 (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 4.00 P
SWIFT RITHMS 1 1 2½ 31 4 3 3 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 7.00 S
ARTUME 2 4 54 5 5 4 417 (brinsfield brook)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 10.00  
PRECISION PRADO 3 3 1½ 11 35 513½ 531½ (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 17% 5.00 1.70  
SCR  SIGN AND SEAL               (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50    
 
MVR-4   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:01     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WETZEL 8 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 11 (cline c)HALDAR J 122 4.00 18% 4.60 4.60 W
WILDCAT PRIDE 2 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 21 (gorham m)DIAZ I 122 10.00 12% 7.40 5.10 P
SERGER 6 7 6 4   4 3 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 117 15.00 22.90  
AINT NO BANDLEADER 5 4 42 3   3 44 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 120 12.00 47.90  
TROJAN TALE 3 6 32 6   6 55 (maker j)HOUGHTON D 120 2.00 18% 4.50 0.40  
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 4 8 8 8   7 6 (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 6.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
HIDDEN ACCESS 1 3 5 7   8 710½ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 115 8.00 11.20  
1A  EXCITEMENT 7 2 7 5   5 811 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 11.20  
SCR  K KID               (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-5   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OKLAHOMA JOE 10 2 2 1½   12 1 (radosevich jake)BRACHO A 122 2.50 22% 3.60 3.10 W
11  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 11 1 33 3½   22 2 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 13% 6.70 2.10 P
LITTLE TOY GUNS 2 7 43 44   47 310 (tooley je)PILARES P 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.10 S
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 6 9 1114¼ 815   712½ 412¼ (schuster )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 50.10  
SMOOCHER 4 11 811½ 712   612 514¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.80  
JOHN'S WILD RIVER 1 4 1 2½   37 617¾ (smith larry)FELICIANO R 122 6.00 6.00  
BAILEY ROAD 5 8 913 1016¼   915 721 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 12.50  
JOHN PHILIP 8 3 68 610½   813½ 821½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 10.00 18.10  
CHILTEPIN 3 6 5 5   511 922 (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 20.00 65.50  
COSI EXPRESS 7 10 1013¼ 1117¼   1020 1031¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 20.00 85.80  
NEW YORK MIRACLE 9 5 7 916   1121 1135¾ (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 12.00 23.40  
 
MVR-6   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:222 :471 1:002     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAIL HOUSE CODE 6 2 3.2 1nk   11 1½ (fadlovich megan)STANLEY O 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.20 W
SHELLEY'S GEM 3 4 4 4   21 2½ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 3.80 P
GENERAL GINNY 1 5 6 6   5 3 (dillion jimmy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 9.90  
LADY VALENTINA 4 1 1nk 3.2   4 4 (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 15% 5.70 2.30  
FLOWZANO 2 6 5 5   65 5 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 8.00  
PAO DE QUEIJO 5 3 2nk 2nk   3 612¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 5.00 23% 3.40 3.80  
 
MVR-7   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:143 1:431   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNMARIA 3 3 2 21 11 14 1 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 74% 0.30 1.20 W
FLAXEN 4 4 43 35 32 24 2 (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 8.10  
CATABOUT 5 1 3 46 42 35 36 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 2.20 S
1A  HIGH HEAVEN 2 2 1 11 21 45 49 (bernardini ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50 4.10  
BOURBON BUNS 6 6 6 610½ 55 5 5 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 7.40  
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 1 5 5 5 6 6 614½ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 19.60  
SCR  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL               (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
 
MVR-8   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ROCKY 9 1 31 12   1 1 (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 42% 1.40 2.10 W
DASH OF FIRE 4 5 53 43   2 2 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 14.80  
TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 4 2½ 22   33 34 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.90 S
MARVIN'S EXPRESS 2 7 41 54   47 45 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 3.50 1.90  
GOING PRIMETIME 6 3 6 6   611½ 511¼ (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 117 5.00 7% 14.20 6.10  
1A  DAVIS HAT 8 2 78 712   713½ 611¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 2.50 2.90  
CLASSIC VOLUME 3 6 1½ 33   5 714¼ (barnes bart)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 66.70  
MUCH TIMES TWO 7 8 8 814   916½ 814¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 14.60  
JUST INSPIRED 1 9 913½ 914½   815½ 918 (doering m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 39.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.