The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 30, 2022

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MVR-1   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:242 :474 1:131 1:27   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD N'SWEET 1 3 33 3½ 1nk 15 115¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 3.50 23% 3.40 1.60 W
VALEROSO 4 2 1 2nk 35 3215¼ (spiess m)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 27% 2.70 1.30 P
LONTANI 5 1 2 1nk 2nk 25 316¾ (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 4.00 18% 4.60 3.10 S
AZTEC EMPIRE 2 4 44 4 4 413½ 428½ (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 7.40  
AJWIBAH 3 5 5 58 512½ 520½ 543¼ (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 20.00  
SCR  SEMINOLE JUSTICE               (west m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00    
 
MVR-2   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 1:13
:232 :48 1:02     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER HALF 4 4 1½ 1½   13 1(hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 3.50  
SWEET MOBILTEE 3 5 2½ 4¾   32(smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 4.00 16% 5.30 3.90 P
SALUTE THE KID 8 1 42 3½   23 3(rettele richard)CORREA L 122 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30 S
MANDOLIN BREEZE 5 2 32 2½   44(rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 4.10  
1A  DANES LAST SONG 2 7 5 5   55(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 10% 8.70 7.10  
MORNINGBEACHWALK 7 6 811¾ 812¾   716 623¼ (schuster robin)BRACHO A 122 8.00 20.80  
2B  HALO EFFECT 6 3 6 6   613 723¾ (hamm timothy)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 3.50  
THELMA LUCILLE 1 8 7 710¼   816¼ 828½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 6.00 7.10  
 
MVR-3   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:243 :49 1:152 1:301   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOP THERE IT IS 4 5 43 21 12 12 1(pappada a)STANLEY O 122 2.00 51% 1.00 1.20 W
CHORIST 5 2 33 4 22 22 2(waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 4.00 P
SWIFT RITHMS 1 1 2½ 31 4 33(spiess m)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 7.00 S
ARTUME 2 4 54 5 5 4417 (brinsfield brooken)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 10.00  
PRECISION PRADO 3 3 1½ 11 35 513½ 531½ (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 17% 5.00 1.70  
SCR  SIGN AND SEAL               (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50    
 
MVR-4   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:09
:23 :47 1:01     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WETZEL 8 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 11 (cline c)HALDAR J 122 4.00 18% 4.60 4.60 W
WILDCAT PRIDE 2 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 21 (gorham m)DIAZ I 122 10.00 12% 7.40 5.10 P
SERGER 6 7 6 4   43(zielinski richard)RIVERA R 117 15.00 22.90  
AINT NO BANDLEADER 5 4 42 3   344 (estvanko richard)BRACHO A 120 12.00 47.90  
TROJAN TALE 3 6 32 6   655 (maker j)HOUGHTON D 120 2.00 18% 4.50 0.40  
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 4 8 8 8   76(pappada a)STANLEY O 122 6.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
HIDDEN ACCESS 1 3 5 7   8710½ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 115 8.00 11.20  
1A  EXCITEMENT 7 2 7 5   5811 (hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 11.20  
SCR  K KID               (zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-5   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
:224 :473 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OKLAHOMA JOE 10 2 2 1½   12 1(radosevich s)BRACHO A 122 2.50 22% 3.60 3.10 W
11  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 11 1 33 3½   22 2(rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 13% 6.70 2.10 P
LITTLE TOY GUNS 2 7 43 44   47 310 (tooley jennifer)PILARES P 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.10 S
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 6 9 1114¼ 815   712½ 412¼ (schuster robin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 50.10  
SMOOCHER 4 11 811½ 712   612 514¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.80  
JOHN'S WILD RIVER 1 4 1 2½   37 617¾ (smith larry)FELICIANO R 122 6.00 6.00  
BAILEY ROAD 5 8 913 1016¼   915 721 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 12.50  
JOHN PHILIP 8 3 68 610½   813½ 821½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 10.00 18.10  
CHILTEPIN 3 6 5 5   511 922 (schuster robin)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 20.00 65.50  
COSI EXPRESS 7 10 1013¼ 1117¼   1020 1031¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 20.00 85.80  
NEW YORK MIRACLE 9 5 7 916   1121 1135¾ (zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 12.00 23.40  
 
MVR-6   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:222 :471 1:002     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAIL HOUSE CODE 6 2 3.2 1nk   11 1½ (fadlovich megan)STANLEY O 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.20 W
SHELLEY'S GEM 3 4 4 4   21 2½ (johnson l)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 3.80 P
GENERAL GINNY 1 5 6 6   53(dillion jimmy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 9.90  
LADY VALENTINA 4 1 1nk 3.2   44(treharne dave)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 15% 5.70 2.30  
FLOWZANO 2 6 5 5   65 5(romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 8.00  
PAO DE QUEIJO 5 3 2nk 2nk   3612¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 5.00 23% 3.40 3.80  
 
MVR-7   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:242 :483 1:143 1:431   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNMARIA 3 3 2 21 11 14 1(atala jose)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 74% 0.30 1.20 W
FLAXEN 4 4 43 35 32 24 2(zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 8.10  
CATABOUT 5 1 3 46 42 35 36 (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 2.20 S
1A  HIGH HEAVEN 2 2 1 11 21 45 49 (bernardini p)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50 4.10  
BOURBON BUNS 6 6 6 610½ 55 55(zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 7.40  
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 1 5 5 5 6 6614½ (rivera nestor)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 19.60  
SCR  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL               (bernardini p)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
 
MVR-8   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:231 :472 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ROCKY 9 1 31 12   11(madrigal sr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 42% 1.40 2.10 W
DASH OF FIRE 4 5 53 43   22(faulkner c)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 14.80  
TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 4 2½ 22   33 34 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.90 S
MARVIN'S EXPRESS 2 7 41 54   47 45 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 3.50 1.90  
GOING PRIMETIME 6 3 6 6   611½ 511¼ (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 117 5.00 7% 14.20 6.10  
1A  DAVIS HAT 8 2 78 712   713½ 611¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 2.50 2.90  
CLASSIC VOLUME 3 6 1½ 33   5714¼ (barnes a)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00 66.70  
MUCH TIMES TWO 7 8 8 814   916½ 814¾ (bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 14.60  
JUST INSPIRED 1 9 913½ 914½   815½ 918 (doering mark)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 39.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.