Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD N'SWEET Nov08 Oct22 Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  AZTEC EMPIRE Nov08 Apr15 Mar05     (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 ★    
3  AJWIBAH Nov10 Oct16 Sep20 Aug29   (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00    
4  VALEROSO Oct27 Sep13 Jul31 Jun28 Jun13 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 27% 2.70    
5  LONTANI Oct27 Oct11 Sep22 Aug02   (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Oct26 Oct13 Aug31 Jul21 Jun16 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELMA LUCILLE         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 6.00 ★    
1A  DANES LAST SONG         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
2  BETTER HALF Oct29 Sep29 Aug15     (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 ★    
2B  HALO EFFECT Sep29 Sep12       (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00    
3  SWEET MOBILTEE Nov12 Oct29 Oct10 Sep21   (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
4  MANDOLIN BREEZE Nov12 Oct31 Oct13 Sep29 Sep05 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 ★    
5  MORNINGBEACHWALK Nov12         (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 8.00    
6  SALUTE THE KID Nov12         (rettele r)CORREA L 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
MVR-3   11/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIGN AND SEAL Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 Sep05 Aug24 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50 ★    
2  SWIFT RITHMS Oct12 Sep15 Aug29 Aug16 Jul11 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 ★    
3  ARTUME Nov08 Oct05 Aug08 Jul14 Jun06 (brinsfield bro)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00    
4  PRECISION PRADO Nov02 Sep27 Sep07 Jul28 Jun27 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
5  SCOOP THERE IT IS Oct19 Oct05 Jul18 Jun27 May25 (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
6  CHORIST Nov15 Sep22 Aug10 May24 Mar24 (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN ACCESS Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 Aug25   (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 115 8.00    
1A  EXCITEMENT Oct29 Sep23 Aug13 Jun28   (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
2  WILDCAT PRIDE Nov16         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 10.00 12% 7.40    
3  TROJAN TALE Oct29 Oct10       (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 120 2.00 18% 4.50    
4  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Nov14 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Jul28 (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  AINT NO BANDLEADER Sep23 Sep05 Aug25 Aug02 Jul11 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 120 12.00    
SCR  K KID Oct29 Oct12       (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  SERGER Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Jul07   (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 117 15.00    
8  WETZEL Nov01 Oct10       (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
MVR-5   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN'S WILD RIVER Nov14 Oct29 Oct10 Sep23   (smith larry)FELICIANO R 122 6.00    
2  LITTLE TOY GUNS         (tooley )PILARES P 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHILTEPIN Nov14         (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 20.00    
4  SMOOCHER Oct29 Oct11 Sep22     (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  BAILEY ROAD Nov14         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
6  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE         (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  COSI EXPRESS Nov14 Oct29       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 20.00    
8  JOHN PHILIP Nov14 Oct27       (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 10.00    
9  NEW YORK MIRACLE         (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 12.00    
10  OKLAHOMA JOE Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
11  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 Sep05   (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
MVR-6   11/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL GINNY Nov02 Oct05 Sep21 Aug31 Aug17 (dillion jim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00    
2  FLOWZANO Nov19 Oct25 Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 ★    
3  SHELLEY'S GEM Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug03 Jul13 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 ★    
4  LADY VALENTINA Nov14 Nov01 Oct04 Sep20 Aug16 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
5  PAO DE QUEIJO Oct30 Sep13 Aug16 Jan14   (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
6  JAIL HOUSE CODE Nov09 Oct25 Sep28 Sep07 Jul06 (fadlovich megan)STANLEY O 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
MVR-7   11/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HIGH HEAVEN Nov22 Nov10 Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Jun13 May23 Apr06 Mar10 Feb23 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
2  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Nov12 Oct26 Oct10 Sep14 Aug13 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 ★    
3  ANNMARIA Nov14 Nov01 Sep27 Sep14 Aug30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 74% 0.30    
4  FLAXEN Nov10 Oct18 Oct04 Aug15 Jun28 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00    
5  CATABOUT Nov12 Oct05 Sep23 Aug29 Aug13 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 ★    
6  BOURBON BUNS Nov10 Oct24 Sep29 Sep06 Aug30 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   11/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWINSPIREDJOEY Oct31 Oct05 Sep19 Sep01 Aug13 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
1A  DAVIS HAT Nov14 Oct31 Oct22 Oct13 Sep20 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
2  JUST INSPIRED Nov09 Oct26 Oct14 Sep27 Sep19 (doering)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
3  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Oct31 Sep28 Sep12 Aug12 Jul14 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 3.50 ★    
4  CLASSIC VOLUME Nov10 Oct31 Oct04 Sep23   (barnes ba)HOLLINGSWORTH L 124 20.00    
5  DASH OF FIRE Nov15 Oct31 Oct13 Sep28 Sep12 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 10.00    
6  GOING PRIMETIME Nov14 Oct13 Aug24 Aug08 Jul28 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 117 5.00 7% 14.20    
7  MUCH TIMES TWO Sep12 Aug08 Jul21 Jun29   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★    
8  RUN ROCKY Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.