The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 14, 2022
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MVR-1   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:224 :474 1:004     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY VALENTINA 3 2 2½ 21   2nk 16¾ (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 23% 3.30 1.30 W
2  CAFE MISCHIEF 2 6 44½ 43   1nk 26¾ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 ★ 11.60 P
1  IMMACULATE HEART 1 1 1½ 11   3.2 38 (atala jose)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★ 1.90 S
6  PUBLICIST 6 3 65½ 66½   57¼ 410¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 26% 2.80 5.10  
5  LUCKY ROAD 5 5 54½ 54½   45¼ 512¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 10.00 46.60  
4  BROOKLYNS SURPRISE 4 4 32½ 32½   610¼ 630¼ (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 21% 3.70 4.30  
 
MVR-2   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:24 :491 1:014     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RAISE THE PURSES 3 2 2nk 1nk   12 13½ (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 1.00 45% 1.20 0.70 W
5  GOING PRIMETIME 5 5 55¾ 4¾   22 23½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 122 5.00 14% 6.20 7.00 P
7  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 7 1 67¼ 51¾   42½ 34¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 2.80  
4  TAMMY'S TOY 4 4 35 3½   32 45¼ (cline c)HALDAR J 122 10.00 ★ 7.10  
1  DAVIS HAT 1 6 45¼ 65¾   57 515 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 12.00 5% 17.30 40.30  
6  SPLIT MY BRITCHES 6 7 77¾ 76¾   78¼ 619¾ (maddox rachael)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 54.30  
2  WHO CAN WIN 2 3 1nk 2nk   67¼ 723½ (vazquez ivan)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 8% 11.90 9.40  
 
MVR-3   11/14/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:251 :493 1:153 1:291   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANNMARIA 3 4 21 21 2½ 11 11 (atala jose)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.10 1.70 W
4  GOOD ALTERNATIVE 4 6 64¼ 54 42½ 21 21 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5.80  
1  GRAND PRIZE 1 2 41¼ 43 32½ 31½ 32¾ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 37% 1.70 3.10  
6  RAGTIME DOLLY 6 5 52¾ 64 66¾ 57½ 46½ (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★ 7.60  
2  TURN TO ME SUCREE 2 3 11 11 1½ 42½ 511¼ (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 7% 13.10 3.50  
5  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC 5 1 31 32½ 56½ 611½ 618¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 2.00 21% 3.80 6.00  
SCR  CASSIE'S RAINBOW               (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 ★    
 
MVR-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
:24 :48 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 2 6 53 2nk   1nk 13¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 1.80 35% 1.90 1.80 W
3  OKLAHOMA JOE 3 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 23¼ (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 10.00 18% 4.60 6.40 P
4  MY BUDDY MICAH 4 2 42½ 59½   59¼ 315¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 38.40  
6  JOHN PHILIP 6 3 66½ 611   613¼ 417¾ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 5.00 ★ 6.10  
5  HEARDITALLBEFORE 5 5 2½ 3½   36 520 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.60  
7  FLAG RAISER 7 1 32 44½   49 621½ (gorham m)CORREA L 122 3.00 ★ 5.40  
1  COSI EXPRESS 1 7 77½ 712   718¼ 736 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 20.00 29.90  
 
MVR-5   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:233 :473 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TRIGZ TOO 8 2 2nk 1½   1½ 1¾ (bernardini p)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 12% 7.10 2.80 W
1  ALL STAR JUSTICE 1 5 41¾ 43   41 2¾ (castillo jabdiel)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 9% 10.40 3.80 P
5  PATIO PARTY 4 4 51¾ 31½   31 31½ (robillard julie)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 3.50  
7  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 6 3 3.2 2½   2½ 44¾ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 3.50 21% 3.90 3.70  
4  EXONERATED PREZ 3 6 62 64   53 55¼ (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 15.00 45.10  
3  WISE KHOZAN 2 8 73½ 74½   63¼ 65¾ (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 11% 7.80 3.90  
8  TYPE SETTER 7 1 1nk 53½   75¼ 714½ (king l)DIAZ I 124 20.00 14.60  
6  POWERFUL MOON 5 7 83½ 89½   812¼ 825¾ (ray kevin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 32.60  
SCR  REINSURE               (zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.00 14% 5.90    
 
MVR-6   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:224 :473 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT 4 4 41½ 41¾   11½ 1½ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 2.00 63% 0.60 1.90 W
7  ROSE KNOWS 7 3 31 3.2   21½ 2½ (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 122 3.00 ★ 3.40 P
1  KJOS KID 1 5 11 1nk   31½ 31½ (brown glenroy)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★ 1.80 S
5  SKY 5 1 21 2nk   41¾ 43½ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 14.40  
2  GRAY ROYALITY 2 7 53½ 54¼   55¾ 56 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 ★ 14.80  
3  PURDY PUMKIN 3 6 75 75¼   66¾ 66¾ (dacosta jason)CORREA L 122 4.00 ★ 5.60  
6  LUCKY TUESDAY 6 2 64 64¼   77¾ 79¾ (zircher robert)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 51.80  
 
MVR-7   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:231 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ATOMIC TONE 2 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 11¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.60 45% 1.20 0.80 W
6  GRAYWING 6 6 1½ 1nk   2nk 21¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★ 5.90 P
7  STAR ENTERTAINER 7 3 31½ 31½   34 32¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 ★ 2.20 S
5  VALHALLA AIR BASE 5 2 73 46½   49 413½ (zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 25.00  
1  SHACK THE LIFE 1 7 42 58½   612½ 514½ (londono j)FELICIANO R 124 10.00 ★ 14.60  
3  FARMHAND 3 5 52½ 79¼   510 616¾ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 20.00 81.00  
4  CHACO SPIRIT 4 1 63 69   714 717 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 30% 2.40 7.00  
 
MVR-8   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
:231 :474 1:013     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 7 1 34 33½   1nk 13¾ (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 4.00 22% 3.50 1.40 W
4  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 4 4 2½ 1nk   2nk 23¾ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 ★ 5.50 P
1  JOHN'S WILD RIVER 1 3 1½ 2nk   3½ 315¼ (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 2.50 ★ 2.60 S
6  BAILEY ROAD 6 2 69½ 614   47½ 416¼ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 5.00 ★ 17.50  
2  ANIMO ROBERTO 2 6 46½ 410½   57¾ 518½ (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.00 51% 1.00 2.70  
5  SOMETHING ON TAP 5 7 713½ 716   79¼ 619½ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 117 10.00 30.80  
3  CHILTEPIN 3 5 58 512½   69¼ 724 (schuster robin)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 39.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.