Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY VALENTINA   (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 23% 3.30 1.30 W
CAFE MISCHIEF   (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 11.60 P
IMMACULATE HEART   (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 1.90 S
PUBLICIST   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 26% 2.80 5.10  
LUCKY ROAD   (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 10.00 46.60  
BROOKLYNS SURPRISE   (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 21% 3.70 4.30  
 
MVR-2   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE THE PURSES   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 1.00 45% 1.20 0.70 W
GOING PRIMETIME   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 5.00 14% 6.20 7.00 P
THE GOSPEL OF MARK   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 2.80  
TAMMY'S TOY   (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 10.00 7.10  
DAVIS HAT   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 12.00 5% 17.30 40.30  
SPLIT MY BRITCHES   (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 54.30  
WHO CAN WIN   (vazquez ivan)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 8% 11.90 9.40  
 
MVR-3   11/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNMARIA   (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.10 1.70 W
GOOD ALTERNATIVE   (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5.80  
GRAND PRIZE   (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 37% 1.70 3.10  
RAGTIME DOLLY   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 7.60  
TURN TO ME SUCREE   (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 7% 13.10 3.50  
TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC   (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 2.00 21% 3.80 6.00  
SCR  CASSIE'S RAINBOW   (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40    
 
MVR-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER   (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 1.80 35% 1.90 1.80 W
OKLAHOMA JOE   (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 10.00 18% 4.60 6.40 P
MY BUDDY MICAH   (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 38.40  
JOHN PHILIP   (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 5.00 6.10  
HEARDITALLBEFORE   (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.60  
FLAG RAISER   (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 3.00 5.40  
COSI EXPRESS   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 20.00 29.90  
 
MVR-5   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGZ TOO   (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 12% 7.10 2.80 W
ALL STAR JUSTICE   (castillo jab)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 9% 10.40 3.80 P
PATIO PARTY   (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 3.50  
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR   (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 3.50 21% 3.90 3.70  
EXONERATED PREZ   (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 15.00 45.10  
WISE KHOZAN   (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 11% 7.80 3.90  
TYPE SETTER   (king l)DIAZ I 124 20.00 14.60  
POWERFUL MOON   (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 32.60  
SCR  REINSURE   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.00 14% 5.90    
 
MVR-6   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL ENGAGEMENT   (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 2.00 63% 0.60 1.90 W
ROSE KNOWS   (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 122 3.00 3.40 P
KJOS KID   (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 1.80 S
SKY   (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 14.40  
GRAY ROYALITY   (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 14.80  
PURDY PUMKIN   (dacosta j)CORREA L 122 4.00 5.60  
LUCKY TUESDAY   (zircher rober)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 51.80  
 
MVR-7   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC TONE   (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.60 45% 1.20 0.80 W
GRAYWING   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 5.90 P
STAR ENTERTAINER   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 2.20 S
VALHALLA AIR BASE   (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 25.00  
SHACK THE LIFE   (londono j)FELICIANO R 124 10.00 14.60  
FARMHAND   (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 20.00 81.00  
CHACO SPIRIT   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 30% 2.40 7.00  
 
MVR-8   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE RONS ROCKET   (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 4.00 22% 3.50 1.40 W
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME   (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 5.50 P
JOHN'S WILD RIVER   (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 2.50 2.60 S
BAILEY ROAD   (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 5.00 17.50  
ANIMO ROBERTO   (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.00 51% 1.00 2.70  
SOMETHING ON TAP   (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 117 10.00 30.80  
CHILTEPIN   (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 39.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.