Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:004     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY VALENTINA 3 2 2½ 21   2nk 16¾ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 23% 3.30 1.30 W
2  CAFE MISCHIEF 2 6 44½ 43   1nk 26¾ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 ★ 11.60 P
1  IMMACULATE HEART 1 1 1½ 11   3.2 38 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★ 1.90 S
6  PUBLICIST 6 3 65½ 66½   57¼ 410¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 26% 2.80 5.10  
5  LUCKY ROAD 5 5 54½ 54½   45¼ 512¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 10.00 46.60  
4  BROOKLYNS SURPRISE 4 4 32½ 32½   610¼ 630¼ (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 21% 3.70 4.30  
 
MVR-2   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:014     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RAISE THE PURSES 3 2 2nk 1nk   12 13½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 1.00 45% 1.20 0.70 W
5  GOING PRIMETIME 5 5 55¾ 4¾   22 23½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 5.00 14% 6.20 7.00 P
7  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 7 1 67¼ 51¾   42½ 34¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 2.80  
4  TAMMY'S TOY 4 4 35 3½   32 45¼ (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 10.00 ★ 7.10  
1  DAVIS HAT 1 6 45¼ 65¾   57 515 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 12.00 5% 17.30 40.30  
6  SPLIT MY BRITCHES 6 7 77¾ 76¾   78¼ 619¾ (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 54.30  
2  WHO CAN WIN 2 3 1nk 2nk   67¼ 723½ (vazquez ivan)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 8% 11.90 9.40  
 
MVR-3   11/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:153 1:291   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANNMARIA 3 4 21 21 2½ 11 11 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.10 1.70 W
4  GOOD ALTERNATIVE 4 6 64¼ 54 42½ 21 21 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5.80  
1  GRAND PRIZE 1 2 41¼ 43 32½ 31½ 32¾ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 37% 1.70 3.10  
6  RAGTIME DOLLY 6 5 52¾ 64 66¾ 57½ 46½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★ 7.60  
2  TURN TO ME SUCREE 2 3 11 11 1½ 42½ 511¼ (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 7% 13.10 3.50  
5  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC 5 1 31 32½ 56½ 611½ 618¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 2.00 21% 3.80 6.00  
SCR  CASSIE'S RAINBOW               (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 ★    
 
MVR-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 2 6 53 2nk   1nk 13¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 1.80 35% 1.90 1.80 W
3  OKLAHOMA JOE 3 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 23¼ (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 10.00 18% 4.60 6.40 P
4  MY BUDDY MICAH 4 2 42½ 59½   59¼ 315¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00 38.40  
6  JOHN PHILIP 6 3 66½ 611   613¼ 417¾ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 5.00 ★ 6.10  
5  HEARDITALLBEFORE 5 5 2½ 3½   36 520 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.60  
7  FLAG RAISER 7 1 32 44½   49 621½ (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 3.00 ★ 5.40  
1  COSI EXPRESS 1 7 77½ 712   718¼ 736 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 20.00 29.90  
 
MVR-5   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TRIGZ TOO 8 2 2nk 1½   1½ 1¾ (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 12% 7.10 2.80 W
1  ALL STAR JUSTICE 1 5 41¾ 43   41 2¾ (castillo jab)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 9% 10.40 3.80 P
5  PATIO PARTY 4 4 51¾ 31½   31 31½ (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 3.50  
7  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 6 3 3.2 2½   2½ 44¾ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 3.50 21% 3.90 3.70  
4  EXONERATED PREZ 3 6 62 64   53 55¼ (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 15.00 45.10  
3  WISE KHOZAN 2 8 73½ 74½   63¼ 65¾ (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 11% 7.80 3.90  
8  TYPE SETTER 7 1 1nk 53½   75¼ 714½ (king l)DIAZ I 124 20.00 14.60  
6  POWERFUL MOON 5 7 83½ 89½   812¼ 825¾ (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 32.60  
SCR  REINSURE               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.00 14% 5.90    
 
MVR-6   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT 4 4 41½ 41¾   11½ 1½ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 2.00 63% 0.60 1.90 W
7  ROSE KNOWS 7 3 31 3.2   21½ 2½ (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 122 3.00 ★ 3.40 P
1  KJOS KID 1 5 11 1nk   31½ 31½ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★ 1.80 S
5  SKY 5 1 21 2nk   41¾ 43½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 14.40  
2  GRAY ROYALITY 2 7 53½ 54¼   55¾ 56 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 ★ 14.80  
3  PURDY PUMKIN 3 6 75 75¼   66¾ 66¾ (dacosta j)CORREA L 122 4.00 ★ 5.60  
6  LUCKY TUESDAY 6 2 64 64¼   77¾ 79¾ (zircher rober)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 51.80  
 
MVR-7   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ATOMIC TONE 2 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 11¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.60 45% 1.20 0.80 W
6  GRAYWING 6 6 1½ 1nk   2nk 21¼ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★ 5.90 P
7  STAR ENTERTAINER 7 3 31½ 31½   34 32¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 ★ 2.20 S
5  VALHALLA AIR BASE 5 2 73 46½   49 413½ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 25.00  
1  SHACK THE LIFE 1 7 42 58½   612½ 514½ (londono j)FELICIANO R 124 10.00 ★ 14.60  
3  FARMHAND 3 5 52½ 79¼   510 616¾ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 20.00 81.00  
4  CHACO SPIRIT 4 1 63 69   714 717 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 30% 2.40 7.00  
 
MVR-8   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:013     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 7 1 34 33½   1nk 13¾ (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 4.00 22% 3.50 1.40 W
4  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 4 4 2½ 1nk   2nk 23¾ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 ★ 5.50 P
1  JOHN'S WILD RIVER 1 3 1½ 2nk   3½ 315¼ (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 2.50 ★ 2.60 S
6  BAILEY ROAD 6 2 69½ 614   47½ 416¼ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 5.00 ★ 17.50  
2  ANIMO ROBERTO 2 6 46½ 410½   57¾ 518½ (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.00 51% 1.00 2.70  
5  SOMETHING ON TAP 5 7 713½ 716   79¼ 619½ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 117 10.00 30.80  
3  CHILTEPIN 3 5 58 512½   69¼ 724 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 39.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.