Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMACULATE HEART Oct03 Sep14 Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★    
2  CAFE MISCHIEF Oct23 Oct12 Sep22     (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 ★    
3  LADY VALENTINA Nov01 Oct04 Sep20 Aug16 Jul05 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  BROOKLYNS SURPRISE Aug30 Jul14 Jun20 May17   (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  LUCKY ROAD Oct31 Oct03 Sep22     (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 10.00    
6  PUBLICIST Oct31 Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-2   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVIS HAT Oct31 Oct22 Oct13 Sep20 Aug24 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 12.00 5% 17.30    
2  WHO CAN WIN Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 Jul06 May23 (vazquez ivan)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 8% 11.90    
3  RAISE THE PURSES Nov01 Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 Jul09 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 1.00 45% 1.20    
4  TAMMY'S TOY Oct22 Sep23 Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 10.00 ★    
5  GOING PRIMETIME Oct13 Aug24 Aug08 Jul28 Jun29 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
6  SPLIT MY BRITCHES Oct22 Jul12 Jun11 May07 Apr15 (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
7  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Oct31 Sep28 Sep05 Jul27 Jul12 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   11/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND PRIZE Sep13 Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun03 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
SCR  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Oct17 Oct11 Oct03 Sep19 Sep12 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 ★    
2  TURN TO ME SUCREE Oct03 Sep20 Aug28     (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 7% 13.10    
3  ANNMARIA Nov01 Sep27 Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
4  GOOD ALTERNATIVE Nov01 Oct13 Sep19 Jul04 Jun01 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
5  TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC Oct11 Sep20 Sep14 Aug17 Aug09 (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
6  RAGTIME DOLLY Oct10 Sep21 Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSI EXPRESS Oct29         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 20.00    
2  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Jul28 Jun28 (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
3  OKLAHOMA JOE Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Aug18 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 10.00 18% 4.60    
4  MY BUDDY MICAH Oct11 Sep22       (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00    
5  HEARDITALLBEFORE Oct29 Oct11 Sep05 Aug02   (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
6  JOHN PHILIP Oct27         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 5.00 ★    
7  FLAG RAISER Oct29 Oct11       (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL STAR JUSTICE Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 (castillo jab)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  REINSURE Oct27 Sep28 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.00 14% 5.90    
3  WISE KHOZAN Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 Sep12 Aug29 (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
4  EXONERATED PREZ Oct27 Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
5  PATIO PARTY Oct24 Oct04 Sep27 Sep05 Aug29 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
6  POWERFUL MOON Oct27 Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Aug04 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
7  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Sep05 Aug17 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
8  TYPE SETTER         (king l)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
9  TRIGZ TOO Oct24 Oct09 Oct03 Sep25 Sep06 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 12% 7.10    
 
MVR-6   11/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KJOS KID Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 Aug24 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
2  GRAY ROYALITY Oct26 Sep15 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 ★    
3  PURDY PUMKIN Oct26 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 (dacosta j)CORREA L 122 4.00 ★    
4  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT Oct06 Sep21 Jul23 Jul02   (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 2.00 63% 0.60    
5  SKY Nov07 Oct26 Aug31 Aug09 Jul18 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
6  LUCKY TUESDAY Oct26 Oct19 Sep16 Aug23 Aug05 (zircher rober)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
7  ROSE KNOWS Oct26 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 Jul04 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 122 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACK THE LIFE Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Jul19 Jun02 (londono j)FELICIANO R 124 10.00 ★    
2  ATOMIC TONE Oct12 Sep15 Jul01     (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
3  FARMHAND Oct27 Oct11 Aug08 Jul25 Jun22 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 20.00    
4  CHACO SPIRIT Oct03 Aug31 Aug15 Jul05 Jun16 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  VALHALLA AIR BASE Oct22 Sep26 Jul02 Jun19 Jun12 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
6  GRAYWING Jul09 Jun05 Apr20 Jan01   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★    
7  STAR ENTERTAINER Nov02 Oct27 Oct12 Sep17 Aug27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   11/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN'S WILD RIVER Oct29 Oct10 Sep23     (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 2.50 ★    
2  ANIMO ROBERTO Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05   (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
3  CHILTEPIN         (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00    
4  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Oct29 Oct11 Sep05     (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 ★    
5  SOMETHING ON TAP Oct29 Oct11       (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 117 10.00    
6  BAILEY ROAD         (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 5.00 ★    
7  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Aug18 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.