Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:253 :49 1:133 1:264   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIP SHEET 3 2 5 5 5¾ 3.2 1hd (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 2.00 26% 2.90 1.70 W
SAY HEY KID 1 4 63 6 6 5 2hd (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 8% 12.10 6.90 P
KLAATU 6 1 11 1nk 1nk 2nk 3 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00 3.60 S
GEH SCHNELL 4 5 21 2nk 3½ 1nk 4 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 15.30  
GIO SAMMY 2 3 32 3½ 2nk 4¼ 53 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 35% 1.90 1.50  
MAN DOWN 5 6 42 4¾ 4¾ 6 610 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 16.10  
 
MVR-2   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
See original race card.
:224 :46 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA POP STAR 2 4 22 2   2nk 1 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 26% 2.90 2.20 W
KISSTHECROSS 1 3 12 1   1nk 2 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.40 P
SASSY POWER 5 1 33 33   3 3 (radosevich ja)BRACHO A 124 6.00 3.10 S
ST PATTY'S SONG 3 2 4 46   4 4 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 3.40  
CARLY'S FLIGHT 4 5 510½ 513   512½ 514¾ (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 12.00 20.40  
SCR  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS               (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 1.60    
 
MVR-3   11/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORSESE 1 3 12 11 1 1 1 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 17% 4.80 2.40 W
STRIKE A BEAT 5 1 3 21 2 2 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 38% 1.60 2.70 P
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 2 5 22 3 36 3 310½ (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 8.00 5.40  
JUST CHITU 3 6 4 5 48 4 413 (wilson david)HALDAR J 124 3.50 2.30  
RAMIRIN 4 2 610 610½ 613½ 511 516 (londono odin)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00 11.30  
GONE ASTRAY KISS 6 4 5 4 5 613 626 (zook w)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 6.90  
SCR  ON HIS TOES               (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 117 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
MVR-4   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:221 :443 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYE AYE SIR 1 2 12 11   1 1 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 19% 4.30 1.30 W
IRISH UNITY 2 3 22 21   2 2 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 4.10 P
OBIWAN 3 4 45 3   3 35 (feliciano ben)BRACHO A 124 5.00 7.60 S
WICKED WARRIOR 5 1 3 43   4 46 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 58% 0.70 1.90  
GOING WITH STYLE 4 5 58 510   510½ 513¾ (young r)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 6.10  
 
MVR-5   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT MY DEAR 8 1 21 2nk   2nk 1½ (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 58% 0.70 1.90 W
BAREFOOT BEACH 1 4 32 3.2   1nk 2½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 3.50 7.20 P
PRICEY APPEAL 4 5 44 4   5 3 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 8.00 10.30  
PROPER ETIQUETTE 5 3 11 1nk   34 411¼ (gorham m)STANLEY O 122 4.00 4.70  
DISCREET ENERGY 2 8 86 5   45 512¾ (syed riaz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 27.50  
APPEALING SENORITA 3 6 54 7   6 614 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 15.00 81.30  
EASTER PRIDE 9 9 9 8   7 715¾ (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 12.00 18.90  
CLIFTONS BALLERINA 6 7 6 6   810¼ 823 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 6.00 15% 5.70 1.60  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 7 2 75 9   914¼ 924 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 45.60  
 
MVR-6   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:223 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENO TOUCH 4 4 2½ 2nk   1½ 14 (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 2.00 47% 1.10 0.60 W
SIERRA DIAMOND 3 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 24 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 14.20 P
FLOWZANO 2 5 5 3   35 3 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 33.20  
BLONDE BY NATURE 6 2 3 4   4 4 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 13.70  
HAPPY BEE 1 6 66 6   5 5 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 20% 4.00 4.50  
ANGEL'S SASSY 5 3 4 5   6 611 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 2.70  
 
MVR-7   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:131 1:263   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIPPER ZAPPER 2 1 1 11 11 13 1 (colebrook ben)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 58% 0.70 3.10 W
BIG FRANK 6 2 32 44 4 34 2 (pappada a)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 9% 10.10 0.60 P
TRADEOFF 3 6 2 21 21 23 310¼ (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 3.50 6.60 S
LEND AMERICA 4 7 53 34 3 44 410¼ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 6% 16.40 37.60  
SOAKING WET 1 3 42 7 7 610 517¼ (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 27.30  
EASTON ROCKS 5 5 6 56 57 5 617¾ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 10.00 10.40  
BAY DEFENSE 7 4 7 6 6 710¼ 724¾ (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 10.40  
 
MVR-8   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:23 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALBOYZEKE 8 2 31 32   11 1 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 54% 0.90 0.90 W
REANIMATE 6 3 1½ 2   21 2 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 9.50  
OHIO PLAYER 5 7 2½ 1   3 3 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 8% 11.10 2.60 S
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 7 1 4 46   4 48 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 7.70  
BIG OHIO 3 4 88 713   711½ 510½ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 8% 12.10 8.00  
SPIN DOCTOR 2 8 77 611   6 610½ (londono)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 6% 16.40 17.30  
TRUST AND OBEY 1 5 55 5   5 712¾ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 65.20  
TWO EAGLES 4 6 65 814   816½ 826 (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 10.00 28.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.