Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY HEY KID Nov02 Oct13 Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 8% 12.10    
GIO SAMMY Nov02 Oct14 Aug29 Jul21 Jul05 (trev)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 35% 1.90    
TIP SHEET Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 Jun30 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
GEH SCHNELL Oct13 Oct05 Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
MAN DOWN Nov02 Oct24 Sep19 Aug24 Jul28 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
KLAATU Nov02 Oct13 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00    
 
MVR-2   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSTHECROSS Oct13 Sep13 Aug22 Jul26 Jun11 (cline c)ROSARIO L 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SHEZA POP STAR Oct25 Oct13 Sep13 Aug10 Jul11 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
ST PATTY'S SONG Nov09 Oct25 Oct13 Sep28 Sep13 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00    
CARLY'S FLIGHT Oct25         (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
SASSY POWER Oct24 Oct13 Sep27 Aug10 Jul07 (radosevich jake)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
SCR  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Nov12 Oct10 Sep23 Aug30 Aug10 (cline c)HALDAR J 122 1.60    
 
MVR-3   11/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORSESE Oct24 Aug31 Aug02 Jul07 Jun06 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Nov03 Oct24 Oct13 Sep26 Sep19 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 8.00    
JUST CHITU Nov03 Oct24 Oct10 Sep30 Sep21 (wilson j)HALDAR J 124 3.50    
SCR  ON HIS TOES Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 117 3.00 18% 4.60    
RAMIRIN Nov03 Oct22 Oct11 Sep26 Jul28 (londono j)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00    
STRIKE A BEAT Nov03 Oct27 Oct14 Sep19 Jun22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
GONE ASTRAY KISS Nov03 Oct27 Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 (zook w)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
 
MVR-4   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYE AYE SIR Oct22 Oct10 Sep15 Sep06 Aug17 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 19% 4.30    
IRISH UNITY Nov09 Oct04 Sep27 Sep08 Aug06 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
OBIWAN Nov09 Oct13 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 (feliciano benny)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
GOING WITH STYLE Oct28 May23 May03 Apr17 Mar19 (young r)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00    
WICKED WARRIOR Aug13 Jul07 Jun03 May12   (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
MVR-5   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAREFOOT BEACH Oct25 Sep27 Aug23 Jul26 Jun28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 3.50    
DISCREET ENERGY Sep12 Aug25 Aug10 Jul05 Jun16 (syed riaz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
APPEALING SENORITA Oct25 Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 Aug12 (gonzalez do)CORREA L 124 15.00    
PRICEY APPEAL Oct25 Sep28 Aug23 Aug04 Jul26 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 124 8.00    
PROPER ETIQUETTE Oct25 Sep28 Aug24 Jul13 May16 (gorham m)STANLEY O 122 4.00    
CLIFTONS BALLERINA Nov03 Oct25 Sep12 Aug25 Aug10 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
MY PINK BABY BIRD Oct25 Sep22 Aug31 Aug07 Apr13 (vickers richar)MAYTA J 124 20.00    
OUT MY DEAR Oct25 Sep28       (radosevich just)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
EASTER PRIDE Oct25 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug08 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY BEE Aug09 Jul27 Jul04 Jun14 May31 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
FLOWZANO Oct25 Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SIERRA DIAMOND Nov09 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
RENO TOUCH Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 Sep13   (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
ANGEL'S SASSY Oct29 Sep08 Aug17 Jul15 Jun24 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
BLONDE BY NATURE Oct25 Aug01 Jul13 Jun07 Apr27 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOAKING WET Oct11 Sep09 Sep02 Aug06 Jul20 (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Oct12 Sep22 Sep09 Jun20 May25 (colebrook ben)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
TRADEOFF Nov03 Sep27 Sep09 Aug26 Aug10 (cline c)HALDAR J 124 3.50    
LEND AMERICA Nov03 Oct22 Oct10 Aug08 Jul27 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 6% 16.40    
EASTON ROCKS Oct19 Sep21 Sep04 Aug21 Mar05 (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 10.00    
BIG FRANK Oct19 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun22 (pappada a)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
BAY DEFENSE Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 Aug31 Aug03 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00    
 
MVR-8   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST AND OBEY Oct31 Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug25 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
SPIN DOCTOR Nov12 Oct12 Sep27 Sep15 Sep05 (londono o)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 6% 16.40    
BIG OHIO Oct29 Oct10 Sep22     (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 8% 12.10    
TWO EAGLES Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 Aug13 (londono j)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
OHIO PLAYER Oct29 Sep27 Sep12 Aug24 Aug09 (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 8% 11.10    
REANIMATE Oct29 Jul13 May31 Apr27 Mar16 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE Oct29 Oct11 Sep19 Aug17 Jul18 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
CALBOYZEKE Oct29 Sep15 Aug17     (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.