Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAWNDO   (gaudet lacey)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 5.58  
CLASSIC KING   (claire alexi)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.62 P
BONUS APPRECIATION   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8.92  
RED LABEL   (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 6.26  
BELFAST BOY   (hiles rick)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 7.25  
ARTHURIAN   (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 38% 1.60 3.77  
EL FRANCO   (norris mike)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 37.38  
EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG)   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 4.96  
 
KEE-2   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  UPTOWN HUSTLER   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 20% 4.10 1.41 W
GUIDED ARROW   (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 22.80  
CONSPIRACY FACT   (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 4.99  
NORTH BAY   (blair jordan)ROCCO S 121 3.50 10% 8.90 5.56  
PRIVATE CONNIE   (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 60.49  
PAID IN FULL   (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 121 20.00 17.45  
12  AZZURRO   (tomlinson)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 8.00 6% 14.80 3.18  
11  LOCO   (can)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00 37.58  
BLUNDER   (cline c)MCKEE J 121 30.00 5% 17.90 28.23  
GRANTASTIC   (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00 33.76  
HE REIGNS   (ares paul)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 54.41  
SCR  LUCKY DUDE   (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 10.00    
SCR  MASTER GAME   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL SENSE   (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE   (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  SOUTHERN SENSE   (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRAVAGATE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 4.48  
12  LIAM THE BRAVE   (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 5.51  
PAID TWICE   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 3.71  
KING DOODLE   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00 6.60  
SPUNS SON   (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 37.92  
10  LEAD ACTOR   (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00 6.41  
11  SCOTCH NO ROCKS   (roberson denni)CASTANON L 120 30.00 26.95  
SHAKEDOWN STREET   (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 4.50 4.05  
B G LEE   (vance thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 7.53  
SCR  ARISTOCAT   (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
SCR  BIGGIE   (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  HEIR TO GREATNESS   (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  WINGED FOOT   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
KEE-4   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CAN'T HUSH THIS   (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 15% 5.70 3.03 W
COASTAL CHAOS   (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 11.88  
SONO GRATO   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 21% 3.80 3.87 S
MULBERRY STREET   (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 9% 10.40 15.22  
ONE MORE BABY   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 4.50 2.45  
WRITEITONTHEICE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 4.98  
11  KISS PRINCIPAL   (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 20.00 38.40  
MALIBU TIME   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 12.39  
ZIPPER ZAPPER   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 44.37  
PRESTONSBIRD   (richardson tim)GRAHAM J 122 50.00 50.19  
SCR  CASH EXPRESS   (delgado gus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  JACKS FIRE BALLS   (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUNDO MIX   (caramori e)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRIPT   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 6.42  
BAJ   (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 8% 11.50 8.57 P
PENNER ASH (IRE)   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 18.60 6.87 S
POLICY OPTION   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 21% 3.80 3.58  
TWO BIRDS   (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 6.70  
12  MASTER OF THE RING   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 7.52  
10  EMIRATES ROAD   (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 10.70  
CAMP DADDY   (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 36.54  
11  MOMS MOON   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 21.70  
KENTUCKY MIST   (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 68.55  
MARTINI'NMOONSHINE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 10% 9.10 4.29  
SCR  BRESLAU   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  CATNIP   (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  MAZUMA   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFULNESS   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 21.78  
DIAMONDSIFYOUDO   (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 27% 2.70 2.69 P
11  THE ALYS LOOK   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.63 S
MIJA   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.60 3.50  
12  GUNS N' LILIES   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 11.71  
HARMONICA   (drury th)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 11.24  
ROSES AND ROZAY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16.36  
10  HER LADYSHIP   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 27.99  
MISS SHIPMAN   (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 32% 2.10 10.40  
SOULTITLESREADY   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 13.00  
TIVALI   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 35.92  
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS GAL   (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MORAL TURPITUDE   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  TWO MINUTE LICK   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
KEE-7   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORBIDDEN SECRET   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 3.86  
CONFIDENCE GAME   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 10.18  
TRAFFIC MASTER   (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 12% 7.00 11.54 S
REDEEMER   (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5.41  
MO'S TREASURE   (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 27.19  
AMERICAN BLAZE   (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 3.30  
10  HAYES STRIKE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 6.94  
11  NITROMAN   (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.67  
BOURBON SPIRIT   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 22% 3.50 3.77  
12  ZAICI   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00 59.70  
SCR  CARMEL ROAD   (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  COUNTERSPY   (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  FRANK'S HONOR   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
KEE-8   10/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY STREET MONEY   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 4.43  
REWARD NIGHT   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 24% 3.10 10.91 P
10  AXTHELM   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 4.50 27% 2.70 8.63 S
COLERIDGE   (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 2.43  
RHETORIC   (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 25% 3.10 5.28  
WAKE SURF   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 15.84  
GREATHEART   (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 7.07  
11  WATCH THE MUSIC   (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 80.42  
LEGIONNAIRE   (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 9.50  
JR'S GIFT   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 88.61  
12  BRITAIN'S KITTEN   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 19.33  
COOL RAGS   (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 55.90  
SCR  EL AHIJADO   (guerrero sa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.