Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAWNDO 4 4 3 2   22 1 (gaudet lacey)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 5.58  
CLASSIC KING 1 7 78 7   4 2 (claire alexis)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.62 P
BONUS APPRECIATION 5 3 43 44   3 32 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8.92  
RED LABEL 7 2 1nk 1   12 4 (demeritte larry)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 6.26  
BELFAST BOY 6 6 65 6   68 55 (hiles rick)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 7.25  
ARTHURIAN 3 5 54 5   57 6 (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 38% 1.60 3.77  
EL FRANCO 2 8 810 810¾   813 710 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 37.38  
EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG) 8 1 2nk 3   710 810½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 4.96  
 
KEE-2   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  UPTOWN HUSTLER 9 2 2½ 1½   1 14 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 20% 4.10 1.41 W
GUIDED ARROW 1 11 107 6   2 24 (mckeever andr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 22.80  
CONSPIRACY FACT 3 6 4 3   4 3 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 4.99  
NORTH BAY 6 3 1½ 2½   34 4 (blair jordan)ROCCO S 121 3.50 10% 8.90 5.56  
PRIVATE CONNIE 8 5 5 7   711½ 515 (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 60.49  
PAID IN FULL 7 1 3 4   5 615¼ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 121 20.00 17.45  
12  AZZURRO 11 7 6 55   610½ 716 (tomlinson m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 8.00 6% 14.80 3.18  
11  LOCO 10 4 9 1011   813 818 (cano )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00 37.58  
BLUNDER 5 9 8 8   914½ 920¼ (cline c)MCKEE J 121 30.00 5% 17.90 28.23  
GRANTASTIC 4 8 7 910½   1020½ 1033¼ (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00 33.76  
HE REIGNS 2 10 11 1115   1122½ 1133¾ (ares paul)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 54.41  
SCR  LUCKY DUDE               (anderson doug )JORDAN R 121 10.00    
SCR  MASTER GAME               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL SENSE               (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE               (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  SOUTHERN SENSE               (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:393   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRAVAGATE 2 1 74 3 2½ 1 114 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 4.48  
12  LIAM THE BRAVE 9 6 11 1½ 1½ 2 214 (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 5.51  
PAID TWICE 5 9 8 8 4 3 315 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 3.71  
KING DOODLE 3 2 5 6 76 4 420 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00 6.60  
SPUNS SON 1 7 9 9 810 613 523¾ (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 37.92  
10  LEAD ACTOR 7 4 3 42 65 511 624 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00 6.41  
11  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 8 5 21 2½ 3 715 727¾ (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 120 30.00 26.95  
SHAKEDOWN STREET 6 8 6 7 54 817½ 834 (margo)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 4.50 4.05  
B G LEE 4 3 4 52 910 924½ 948¾ (vance thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 7.53  
SCR  ARISTOCAT               (martin timothy)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
SCR  BIGGIE               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  HEIR TO GREATNESS               (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  WINGED FOOT               (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
KEE-4   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:133 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CAN'T HUSH THIS 10 3 1 11 13 1 1 (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 15% 5.70 3.03 W
COASTAL CHAOS 1 1 3 4 23 2 2 (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 11.88  
SONO GRATO 2 9 97 95 4 37 3 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 21% 3.80 3.87 S
MULBERRY STREET 8 6 8 8 7 510 4 (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 9% 10.40 15.22  
ONE MORE BABY 3 8 7 7 35 48 510½ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 2.45  
WRITEITONTHEICE 5 5 42 5 6 614 619½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 4.98  
11  KISS PRINCIPAL 9 7 6 3 5 720 728¼ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 20.00 38.40  
MALIBU TIME 7 10 108 106 912¼ 924 829 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 12.39  
ZIPPER ZAPPER 6 4 53 63 810¼ 823 933 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 44.37  
PRESTONSBIRD 4 2 2 21 1013¼ 1025 1034¾ (richardson tim)GRAHAM J 122 50.00 50.19  
SCR  CASH EXPRESS               (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  JACKS FIRE BALLS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUNDO MIX               (caramori edu)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123 1:243   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRIPT 4 3 6 7 44 4 1¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 6.42  
BAJ 6 5 22 2 2 2nk 2¼ (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 8% 11.50 8.57 P
PENNER ASH (IRE) 2 1 34 4 33 1nk 3¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 18.60 6.87 S
POLICY OPTION 3 10 1113¼ 1012¼ 9 7 4 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 21% 3.80 3.58  
TWO BIRDS 1 2 12 1 1 3.2 5 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 6.70  
12  MASTER OF THE RING 11 8 9 910¼ 67 5 64 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 7.52  
10  EMIRATES ROAD 9 11 1011¼ 1113¼ 1010½ 9 7 (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 10.70  
CAMP DADDY 7 6 56 6 55 6 8 (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 36.54  
11  MOMS MOON 10 9 8 810¼ 88 8 9 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 21.70  
KENTUCKY MIST 8 7 7 58 7 1011¼ 1013¼ (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 68.55  
MARTINI'NMOONSHINE 5 4 44 3 11100 11100 11100 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 10% 9.10 4.29  
SCR  BRESLAU               (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  CATNIP               (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  MAZUMA               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFULNESS 1 8 1nk 1nk   2½ 1½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 21.78  
DIAMONDSIFYOUDO 3 4 5 42   1½ 2½ (motion gra)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 27% 2.70 2.69 P
11  THE ALYS LOOK 10 11 118 10   3 36 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.63 S
MIJA 6 3 4 5   4 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.60 3.50  
12  GUNS N' LILIES 11 2 6 63   6 510½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 11.71  
HARMONICA 5 7 2nk 2nk   56 612¾ (drury thom)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 11.24  
ROSES AND ROZAY 8 6 7 76   810 715¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16.36  
10  HER LADYSHIP 9 5 10 8   910½ 815¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 27.99  
MISS SHIPMAN 7 1 3 31   78 916 (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 32% 2.10 10.40  
SOULTITLESREADY 2 9 9 11   1013½ 1018 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 13.00  
TIVALI 4 10 8 9   1121½ 1166¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 35.92  
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS GAL               (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MORAL TURPITUDE               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  TWO MINUTE LICK               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
KEE-7   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:383   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORBIDDEN SECRET 1 1 11 12 13 1 17 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 3.86  
CONFIDENCE GAME 7 2 5 44 3 39 27 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 10.18  
TRAFFIC MASTER 3 6 64 3 23 2 37 (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 12% 7.00 11.54 S
REDEEMER 4 9 108 99 710 414 4 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5.41  
MO'S TREASURE 5 8 87 87 69 514½ 515½ (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 27.19  
AMERICAN BLAZE 6 7 7 5 5 620½ 623¾ (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 3.30  
10  HAYES STRIKE 8 10 9 109 915 825 726¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 6.94  
11  NITROMAN 9 3 21 66 1023 929 831 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.67  
BOURBON SPIRIT 2 5 43 7 811 724½ 939 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 22% 3.50 3.77  
12  ZAICI 10 4 3 22 4 1030½ 1046¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00 59.70  
SCR  CARMEL ROAD               (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  COUNTERSPY               (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  FRANK'S HONOR               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
KEE-8   10/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:14 1:253   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY STREET MONEY 5 1 32 3 2 1½ 1½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 4.43  
REWARD NIGHT 2 2 42 4 54 4 2½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 24% 3.10 10.91 P
10  AXTHELM 10 5 54 53 3 3 3 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 120 4.50 27% 2.70 8.63 S
COLERIDGE 7 8 66 74 76 6 4 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 2.43  
RHETORIC 3 3 1½ 21 43 53 5 (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 25% 3.10 5.28  
WAKE SURF 6 4 2½ 11 1 2½ 6 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 15.84  
GREATHEART 8 9 1012 11 108 8 7 (ortiz john )LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 7.07  
11  WATCH THE MUSIC 11 11 8 8 6 7 8 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 80.42  
LEGIONNAIRE 4 12 1113 10 119 98 95 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 9.50  
JR'S GIFT 9 10 910 9 87 12 107 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 88.61  
12  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 12 6 77 64 9 11 117 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 19.33  
COOL RAGS 1 7 1214½ 12 12 10 12 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 55.90  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY               (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.