Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRAWNDO 4 4 31½ 22½   22 11½ (gaudet lacey)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 ★ 5.58  
1  CLASSIC KING 1 7 78 77¾   46½ 21½ (claire alexi)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.62 P
5  BONUS APPRECIATION 5 3 43 44   34½ 32 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 8.92  
7  RED LABEL 7 2 1nk 12½   12 42¾ (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 ★ 6.26  
6  BELFAST BOY 6 6 65 65¾   68 55 (hiles rick)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 ★ 7.25  
3  ARTHURIAN 3 5 54 54¼   57 66½ (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 38% 1.60 3.77  
2  EL FRANCO 2 8 810 810¾   813 710 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 37.38  
8  EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG) 8 1 2nk 32½   710 810½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 4.96  
 
KEE-2   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  UPTOWN HUSTLER 9 2 2½ 1½   13½ 14 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 20% 4.10 1.41 W
1  GUIDED ARROW 1 11 107 66½   23½ 24 (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 22.80  
3  CONSPIRACY FACT 3 6 41½ 32½   45½ 39½ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 4.99  
7  NORTH BAY 6 3 1½ 2½   34 49½ (blair jordan)ROCCO S 121 3.50 10% 8.90 5.56  
9  PRIVATE CONNIE 8 5 52½ 76½   711½ 515 (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 60.49  
8  PAID IN FULL 7 1 31½ 44½   59½ 615¼ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 121 20.00 17.45  
12  AZZURRO 11 7 62¾ 55   610½ 716 (tomlinson)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 8.00 6% 14.80 3.18  
11  LOCO 10 4 96¾ 1011   813 818 (can)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00 37.58  
6  BLUNDER 5 9 85¼ 89½   914½ 920¼ (cline c)MCKEE J 121 30.00 5% 17.90 28.23  
5  GRANTASTIC 4 8 75¼ 910½   1020½ 1033¼ (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00 33.76  
2  HE REIGNS 2 10 119½ 1115   1122½ 1133¾ (ares paul)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 54.41  
SCR  LUCKY DUDE               (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 10.00    
SCR  MASTER GAME               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL SENSE               (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE               (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  SOUTHERN SENSE               (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:393   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EXTRAVAGATE 2 1 74 31½ 2½ 13½ 114 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 4.48  
12  LIAM THE BRAVE 9 6 11 1½ 1½ 23½ 214 (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 5.51  
7  PAID TWICE 5 9 85½ 84¾ 43½ 35½ 315 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 3.71  
4  KING DOODLE 3 2 53½ 63½ 76 49½ 420 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00 ★ 6.60  
2  SPUNS SON 1 7 95¾ 96¼ 810 613 523¾ (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 37.92  
10  LEAD ACTOR 7 4 31½ 42 65 511 624 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00 6.41  
11  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 8 5 21 2½ 32½ 715 727¾ (roberson denni)CASTANON L 120 30.00 26.95  
9  SHAKEDOWN STREET 6 8 63½ 73¾ 54 817½ 834 (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 4.50 4.05  
6  B G LEE 4 3 42½ 52 910 924½ 948¾ (vance thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 7.53  
SCR  ARISTOCAT               (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
SCR  BIGGIE               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  HEIR TO GREATNESS               (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  WINGED FOOT               (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
KEE-4   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:133 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CAN'T HUSH THIS 10 3 11½ 11 13 14½ 13½ (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 15% 5.70 3.03 W
1  COASTAL CHAOS 1 1 31½ 41½ 23 24½ 23½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 11.88  
2  SONO GRATO 2 9 97 95 46½ 37 37¾ (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 21% 3.80 3.87 S
9  MULBERRY STREET 8 6 85½ 84½ 78¾ 510 48¾ (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 9% 10.40 15.22  
3  ONE MORE BABY 3 8 74½ 73½ 35 48 510½ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 4.50 2.45  
5  WRITEITONTHEICE 5 5 42 52½ 66¾ 614 619½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 4.98  
11  KISS PRINCIPAL 9 7 63½ 31½ 56½ 720 728¼ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 20.00 38.40  
8  MALIBU TIME 7 10 108 106 912¼ 924 829 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 12.39  
6  ZIPPER ZAPPER 6 4 53 63 810¼ 823 933 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 44.37  
4  PRESTONSBIRD 4 2 21½ 21 1013¼ 1025 1034¾ (richardson tim)GRAHAM J 122 50.00 50.19  
SCR  CASH EXPRESS               (delgado gus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  JACKS FIRE BALLS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUNDO MIX               (caramori e)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123 1:243   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SCRIPT 4 3 66¼ 78¾ 44 42¾ 1¼ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 6.42  
7  BAJ 6 5 22 25½ 21½ 2nk 2¼ (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 8% 11.50 8.57 P
3  PENNER ASH (IRE) 2 1 34 46½ 33 1nk 3¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 18.60 6.87 S
4  POLICY OPTION 3 10 1113¼ 1012¼ 98½ 76¼ 42½ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 21% 3.80 3.58  
2  TWO BIRDS 1 2 12 15½ 11½ 3.2 52¾ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 6.70  
12  MASTER OF THE RING 11 8 99¼ 910¼ 67 54¾ 64 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 7.52  
10  EMIRATES ROAD 9 11 1011¼ 1113¼ 1010½ 99¾ 76½ (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 10.70  
8  CAMP DADDY 7 6 56 68½ 55 65¼ 87¾ (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 36.54  
11  MOMS MOON 10 9 88¾ 810¼ 88 88¾ 98¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 21.70  
9  KENTUCKY MIST 8 7 76¾ 58 77½ 1011¼ 1013¼ (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 68.55  
6  MARTINI'NMOONSHINE 5 4 44 36½ 11100 11100 11100 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 10% 9.10 4.29  
SCR  BRESLAU               (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  CATNIP               (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  MAZUMA               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFULNESS 1 8 1nk 1nk   2½ 1½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 21.78  
3  DIAMONDSIFYOUDO 3 4 52¾ 42   1½ 2½ (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 27% 2.70 2.69 P
11  THE ALYS LOOK 10 11 118 107¾   35½ 36 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.63 S
6  MIJA 6 3 41¾ 52½   45½ 48¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.60 3.50  
12  GUNS N' LILIES 11 2 63¼ 63   66½ 510½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 11.71  
5  HARMONICA 5 7 2nk 2nk   56 612¾ (drury th)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 11.24  
9  ROSES AND ROZAY 8 6 73¼ 76   810 715¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16.36  
10  HER LADYSHIP 9 5 105½ 86¼   910½ 815¾ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 ★ 27.99  
7  MISS SHIPMAN 7 1 31½ 31   78 916 (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 32% 2.10 10.40  
2  SOULTITLESREADY 2 9 95½ 118¼   1013½ 1018 (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 13.00  
4  TIVALI 4 10 83½ 96¾   1121½ 1166¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 35.92  
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS GAL               (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MORAL TURPITUDE               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  TWO MINUTE LICK               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
KEE-7   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:383   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORBIDDEN SECRET 1 1 11 12 13 17½ 17 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 3.86  
9  CONFIDENCE GAME 7 2 53½ 44 35½ 39 27 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 10.18  
4  TRAFFIC MASTER 3 6 64 33½ 23 27½ 37 (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 12% 7.00 11.54 S
5  REDEEMER 4 9 108 99 710 414 49¼ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 5.41  
6  MO'S TREASURE 5 8 87 87 69 514½ 515½ (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 27.19  
7  AMERICAN BLAZE 6 7 74½ 54½ 58½ 620½ 623¾ (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 3.30  
10  HAYES STRIKE 8 10 97½ 109 915 825 726¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 6.94  
11  NITROMAN 9 3 21 66 1023 929 831 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.67  
2  BOURBON SPIRIT 2 5 43 76½ 811 724½ 939 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 22% 3.50 3.77  
12  ZAICI 10 4 31½ 22 46½ 1030½ 1046¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00 59.70  
SCR  CARMEL ROAD               (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  COUNTERSPY               (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  FRANK'S HONOR               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
KEE-8   10/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:14 1:253   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BAY STREET MONEY 5 1 32 31½ 21½ 1½ 1½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 ★ 4.43  
2  REWARD NIGHT 2 2 42 42½ 54 42½ 2½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 24% 3.10 10.91 P
10  AXTHELM 10 5 54 53 31½ 31½ 31½ (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 4.50 27% 2.70 8.63 S
7  COLERIDGE 7 8 66 74 76 64½ 41¾ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 2.43  
3  RHETORIC 3 3 1½ 21 43 53 52¼ (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 25% 3.10 5.28  
6  WAKE SURF 6 4 2½ 11 11½ 2½ 63¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 15.84  
8  GREATHEART 8 9 1012 116¾ 108 85½ 73¾ (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 7.07  
11  WATCH THE MUSIC 11 11 88½ 84¼ 64½ 74½ 84¼ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 80.42  
4  LEGIONNAIRE 4 12 1113 106¼ 119 98 95 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 ★ 9.50  
9  JR'S GIFT 9 10 910 94¾ 87 128¾ 107 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 88.61  
12  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 12 6 77 64 97½ 118¾ 117 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 19.33  
1  COOL RAGS 1 7 1214½ 128¾ 129½ 108½ 127¼ (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 55.90  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY               (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.