Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC KING Sep13 Sep01 Aug25 Aug08 Jul20 (claire alexi)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  EL FRANCO Oct01 Sep18 Jul17 Jun22 May30 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
3  ARTHURIAN Sep15 Aug21 Aug03 Jul12   (caramori caio)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  BRAWNDO Sep14 Aug24 Jul17 Apr30 Mar31 (gaudet lacey)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 ★    
5  BONUS APPRECIATION Sep11 Sep01 Jul23 Jul08   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
6  BELFAST BOY Sep18 Aug20 Jul10 Jun08 May19 (hiles rick)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 ★    
7  RED LABEL Sep18 Jul17 Jun22 May29 Apr23 (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 ★    
8  EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG) Sep24 Aug14       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
 
KEE-2   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUIDED ARROW Aug24 Jun29       (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
2  HE REIGNS Sep28 May13 Apr16 Mar12 Feb16 (ares paul)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
3  CONSPIRACY FACT Sep17 Jul01 Jun18 May30 May07 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL SENSE Sep24 Aug30 Aug10     (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  GRANTASTIC Jun24 Jun19       (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00    
6  BLUNDER Sep15 Aug27 Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 (cline c)MCKEE J 121 30.00 5% 17.90    
7  NORTH BAY Sep07 Aug02 Jul19 Jun08   (blair jordan)ROCCO S 121 3.50 10% 8.90    
8  PAID IN FULL Sep24 Apr02 Jan29 Jan15   (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 121 20.00    
9  PRIVATE CONNIE Aug28 Aug12 Jul16 Jun19 Jan02 (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00    
10  UPTOWN HUSTLER Jun18 Apr23       (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
11  LOCO Sep17 Jun22 May28 Apr22 Mar18 (can)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00    
12  AZZURRO Jan15         (tomlinson)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE Sep17 Apr30 Apr07 Mar12   (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  MASTER GAME Sep13 Jun05 May07     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN SENSE Sep17 Jul31 Jun29 Jun05 Apr20 (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
SCR  LUCKY DUDE Sep12 Aug19 Jul25 Jun24 Jun06 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIGGIE Sep12 Jun20 May07     (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 6% 15.20    
2  SPUNS SON Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 May15 May07 (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00    
3  EXTRAVAGATE Aug28 Jul24       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
4  KING DOODLE Aug04 Jun17 Jun03 Apr27 Mar26 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  WINGED FOOT         (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
6  B G LEE Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 Jun08   (vance thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
7  PAID TWICE Aug24 Jul24 Jun17 May20   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00    
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR Sep18 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
9  SHAKEDOWN STREET Sep25 Jul15 Jun18     (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 4.50    
10  LEAD ACTOR Jul24 May07       (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00    
11  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Aug30 Aug05 Jul10 Jun11   (roberson denni)CASTANON L 120 30.00    
12  LIAM THE BRAVE Sep22 Sep03       (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  HEIR TO GREATNESS Sep01 Jul24 Jun17     (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  ARISTOCAT Sep29 Aug12 Jul25 Jul08 Jun24 (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL CHAOS Sep29 Aug23 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
2  SONO GRATO Sep28 Aug20 Jun30 Jan07   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
3  ONE MORE BABY Sep03 Aug04 Jul01 Jun08 May03 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 4.50    
4  PRESTONSBIRD Sep28 Sep06 Aug20     (richardson tim)GRAHAM J 122 50.00    
5  WRITEITONTHEICE Sep22 Aug10 Jul02 May21 Apr23 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
6  ZIPPER ZAPPER Sep22 Sep09 Jun20 May25 Apr30 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
SCR  CASH EXPRESS Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 Jun12 May22 (delgado gus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
8  MALIBU TIME Sep28 Aug07 Jul03 Jun10 May13 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00    
9  MULBERRY STREET Sep01 Aug09 Jul03     (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  MUNDO MIX Jul05 Jun11 May27 May11 Apr11 (caramori e)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00    
11  KISS PRINCIPAL Sep18 Aug13 Jun23 May14 Mar18 (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 20.00    
12  CAN'T HUSH THIS Sep11 Sep01 Jul24 Jun29 May20 (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  JACKS FIRE BALLS Aug31         (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAZUMA Sep08 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
2  TWO BIRDS Sep11 Jul28 Jul01 Apr14   (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
3  PENNER ASH (IRE) Sep08 Aug16       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 18.60    
4  POLICY OPTION Sep17 Sep03 Jul24 Jun26 Jun02 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  SCRIPT Feb10         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
6  MARTINI'NMOONSHINE Sep03 Aug13       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 10% 9.10    
7  BAJ Sep10 Jul24 Jan22     (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00 8% 11.50    
8  CAMP DADDY Sep05 Jul15 May30 Apr16   (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
9  KENTUCKY MIST Sep22 Sep05 Aug12 Aug04 Jul24 (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
10  EMIRATES ROAD Jul04 Jun04 May07 Apr09 Mar12 (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
11  MOMS MOON Mar05 Jan15       (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
12  MASTER OF THE RING         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
SCR  CATNIP Sep06 Aug09 Feb19     (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  BRESLAU Sep22 Aug30       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFULNESS         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
2  SOULTITLESREADY         (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
3  DIAMONDSIFYOUDO         (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  TIVALI         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
5  HARMONICA         (drury th)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
6  MIJA Aug17         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.60    
7  MISS SHIPMAN Sep10         (briley lonnie)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS GAL         (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
9  ROSES AND ROZAY         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
10  HER LADYSHIP         (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 ★    
11  THE ALYS LOOK         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  GUNS N' LILIES Aug14 Jul22       (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
SCR  MORAL TURPITUDE         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  TWO MINUTE LICK         (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
KEE-7   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORBIDDEN SECRET Sep18 Aug18 Jul21     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
2  BOURBON SPIRIT Aug27 Jul16       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FRANK'S HONOR Oct01 Sep15 Aug13     (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
4  TRAFFIC MASTER Sep15 Aug12       (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 12% 7.00    
5  REDEEMER Aug28 Jul30       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00    
6  MO'S TREASURE Sep22 Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 Jul02 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
7  AMERICAN BLAZE Aug27 Jul30       (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  CARMEL ROAD Oct08 Aug26 Aug06     (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 7% 13.70    
9  CONFIDENCE GAME Sep17 Aug13 Jul02     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
10  HAYES STRIKE Sep17 Aug20 Jul22     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
11  NITROMAN Sep07         (reed r)MCKEE J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  ZAICI Sep17 Aug14 Jul02 Jun09   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
SCR  COUNTERSPY Sep16 Aug21 Jul22     (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL RAGS Sep05 Aug06 Apr24 Apr13 Mar17 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
2  REWARD NIGHT Sep08 Aug06 Jul09     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 24% 3.10    
3  RHETORIC Aug20 Aug13 Jul09     (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  LEGIONNAIRE Aug13 Jul16 Jun05     (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 ★    
5  BAY STREET MONEY Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 May06 Apr09 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 ★    
6  WAKE SURF Sep08 Aug06 May18 Mar12 Jan22 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
7  COLERIDGE Jan30 Jan02       (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
8  GREATHEART Sep08 Aug06 Jul02 May12 Apr22 (ortiz joh)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00    
9  JR'S GIFT Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 Jun12 May27 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00    
10  AXTHELM Sep01 Jul17       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
11  WATCH THE MUSIC Sep05 Jul15 Apr16     (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
12  BRITAIN'S KITTEN Aug26 Aug05 Jul04 Jun12 May15 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY Sep08 Aug06 Jun30 Jun11 Apr19 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO Sep17 Aug19 Jul09 Jun09 May22 (guerrero sa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.