Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:113     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING CUP 7 2 1½ 11   1 1 (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 8.77  
PINE VALLEY 5 6 52 31   2 2 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 23% 3.30 3.56 P
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 6 1 3 5   34 3 (veinot trudy)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 13.56  
CROW'S NEST 2 8 76 8   810 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 30% 2.40 3.97  
BOURBON ON FIRE 4 5 65 6   4 5 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 6.19  
BEYBLADER 3 7 8 77   69 610 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 7% 13.10 9.48  
CELLULOID HERO 1 3 4 42   7 710½ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 16.75  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 8 4 2½ 21   5 810¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 18% 4.60 2.23  
 
KEE-2   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:31
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY PEARL 4 1 21 2½   1½ 1 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.50 W
ADIVA 5 6 42 32   2½ 2 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 15.96  
11  AFFIRMATIVE LADY 8 7 7 6   4 3 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 17% 4.80 4.89 S
INVENTING ANNA 2 2 11 1½   31 4 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 37% 1.70 2.35  
ALEXA LOU 6 3 8 811½   7 511 (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00 12.31  
STAY FABULOUS 3 9 5 5   67 611¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 7% 12.60 8.27  
12  HUMBLING (IRE) 9 4 3 4   5 714¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 17% 4.90 2.33  
WORK OF FICTION 1 5 6 7   89 815 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 13.35  
10  FAME STREET 7 8 9 912   911 917¼ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 50.67  
14  CALIFORNIA BELLE 10 10 1013½ 1013½   1012½ 1018 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 53.54  
SCR  AMERICAN MAESTRA               (gallagher wil)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00    
SCR  HER LADYSHIP               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  MAGICAL LUTE               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  MORAL TURPITUDE               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  TIVALI               (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING HAPPY 8 5 5 3½   1 1 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 32% 2.10 3.11 W
BIG JAVA 7 3 2 2½   33 2 (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.00 20% 3.90 2.51 P
DIVINE HOPE 3 2 32 4   45 37 (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 8.00 20.80  
BAYSHORE FOXES 6 1 1 1½   2 49 (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 15% 5.80 8.37  
SOCIAL MANDATE 1 7 64 7   58 515 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8.61  
SWEET BEAUTY 4 6 8 8   711 615 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 10.00 3.76  
MRS. NUSHI 5 4 4 54   6 718¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 9.88  
JUMAKAN BOURBON 2 8 75 65   814½ 825 (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9% 10.60 8.51  
 
KEE-4   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 2:34
See original race card.
:221 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE J 2 3 1nk 1½   1 1 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 34% 2.00 4.14 W
PROVE RIGHT 1 4 67 66   3 2 (chapman ja)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 5.07  
WESTERN GHENT 6 5 42 43   4 3 (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 10.31  
TAP IN FORMATION 3 6 2nk 2½   2 410 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.80 38% 1.70 0.76  
JEREMY'S JET 4 2 31 3   55 511 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 122 15.00 11.37  
GOLD LUCK 5 1 54 5   6 611¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 8% 11.20 9.58  
SCR  BAYTOWN JAGGER               (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  EMBRACE (IRE) 11 2 9 11   96 1¼ (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL null   14.08  
BEN DIESEL 6 5 4 41   2½ 2¼ (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 9% 10.60 4.99 P
GULFSTREAM WAY 4 1 2½ 3½   1½ 3¼ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 45% 1.20 3.00 S
SEAL BEACH 8 11 117 95   6 4¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 14.13  
12  OSBOURNE 12 3 53 63   3 52 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.58  
BUTTON BOY 7 7 6 5   4 6 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 10.84  
HIPPODROME 5 9 8 8   5 7 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 23.17  
ST ANDREWS 9 4 129 107   10 8 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
CARAMELITO 3 12 7 7   11 910¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 48.41  
IMPLEMENTATION 1 10 1½ 1½   8 1011½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 9.61  
ZAP MOTION 2 6 3½ 2½   75 1112½ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 7% 13.30 20.23  
10  MALIBU MIKE 10 8 10 1212¾   1214¼ 1213¼ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 33.70  
 
KEE-6   10/08/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:211 :432 :551     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN PAL 4 1 11 11   13 1 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 45% 1.20 0.37 W
OCEANIC 6 7 87 77   67 2 (blair jorda)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 13.48  
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 7 4 32 3   33 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 23% 3.40 7.24 S
BAD BEAT BRIAN 2 3 43 4   45 42 (vanden berg )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.01 DH
GEAR JOCKEY 5 2 21 21   23 42 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10 DH
CHARCOAL 8 6 66 67   5 6 (wisner j)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 40.97  
ALL IN SYNC 3 9 99 910½   78 7 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 36.27  
COUNTY FINAL 1 8 76 88   8 8 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 120 30.00 46.17  
CADAMOSTO (IRE) 9 5 5 55   9 910¾ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 12.42  
 
KEE-7   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:224 :46 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAMMED 6 2 11 11   1 1 (fincher w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 40% 1.50 2.39 W
HAPPY SOUL 8 3 21 21   2 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5.22  
JOYFUL CADENCE 7 1 42 3   3 37 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 9.17  
LI'L TOOTSIE 1 7 54 44   48 4 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 12.22  
CLUB CAR 3 6 7 66   5 512½ (colebrook ben)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 7.05  
SCONSIN 4 4 6 77   610 613½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 9% 10.50 5.31  
LIBERTY M D 5 8 8 89   812½ 713½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
PALM COTTAGE 2 5 3 54   710 817¾ (lobo h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 26% 2.90 3.83  
SCR  CARRIBEAN CAPER               (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
 
KEE-8   10/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:102 1:214   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN ITALIAN (GB) 4 4 1 11 11 1 11 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 2.87  
REGAL GLORY 5 5 4 43 4 2 21 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.20 38% 1.60 1.05 P
PRINCESS GRACE 2 3 5 5 5 55 3 (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 15% 5.60 10.06 S
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) 3 2 2 3 21 33 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 22% 3.50 2.35  
MARKET RUMOR 6 6 69 69 6 69 5 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 20.00 41.58  
VIGILANTES WAY 1 1 3 21 32 44 68 (mcgaughey clau)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 12.00 27.66  
 
KEE-9   10/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 2 ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTE 6 5 7 75 5 1nk 1¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 23% 3.30 4.43 W
LOGGINS 2 3 3.2 1nk 11 2nk 2¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 18% 4.70 1.50 P
11  RED ROUTE ONE 10 8 1111¼ 1213½ 1210¼ 6 37 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 59.79  
INSTANT COFFEE 4 9 10 10 87 4 47 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 7.40  
NEWGATE 7 1 2nk 3½ 3 33 5 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 11.09  
10  LOST ARK 9 10 1313¼ 1112 11 910¾ 610 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 23% 3.40 6.29  
13  TWO PHIL'S 12 6 8 8 6 5 710¾ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00 5% 19.00 69.40  
HONED 3 12 1415¾ 1417 1312¼ 1010¾ 813 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 7% 12.80 34.64  
FUNTASTIC AGAIN 8 7 9 98 97 7 915 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00 40.58  
FROSTED DEPARTURE 1 11 5 4 42 8 1023¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 25.44  
14  POWERFUL 13 14 1212¼ 1314½ 1412¼ 1218¼ 1130¼ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 20.00 48.24  
BOURBON BASH 5 4 1nk 2nk 21 1113¼ 1230½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 37.36  
15  CARMEL ROAD 14 13 4 52 7 1319¼ 1339¾ (baffert bob)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 11.77  
12  GOOD HEART 11 2 6 64 10 1419¾ 1441½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00 41.09  
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 50.00    
SCR  JIN TONG               (o'neill doug)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 50.00    
 
KEE-10   10/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:10 1:214   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAPOLIS 7 5 3 32 32 1nk 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 6.35  
IVAR (BRZ) 5 3 87 87 87 6 2 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 6.00 29% 2.50 5.27 P
ORDER OF AUSTRALIA (IRE) 2 9 7 5 43 32 3 (o'brien p)SOUMILLON C 126 8.00 12% 7.60 6.01 S
12  SET PIECE (GB) 10 11 1112½ 1112 98 8 4 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00 5% 19.00 13.83  
CASA CREED 8 6 65 7 5 4 52 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 126 5.00 22% 3.50 5.24  
MASEN (GB) 4 2 1 1 1 2nk 6 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 12.00 5.52  
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 1 1 54 64 65 7 7 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00 20.33  
13  ATONE 11 4 2 2 2 5 87 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 126 20.00 46.07  
SANTIN 6 10 99 9 10 10 9 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 14% 6.00 3.04  
GRAY'S FABLE 3 8 1010 109 1111 1112¼ 10 (lynch brian )HERNANDEZ J 126 30.00 73.39  
10  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN 9 7 42 4 75 9 11 (maker j)ORTIZ L 126 12.00 22.31  
SCR  DARK SHIFT (GB)               (murphy cono)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 20.00    
SCR  EMARAATY (GB)               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 126 12.00    
SCR  GREYES CREEK               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 126 50.00    
SCR  NATURAL POWER (IRE)               (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 30.00    
SCR  SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT               (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 126 4.50    
 
KEE-11   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME FAST 7 2 4 3½   14 1 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 10.08  
10  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) 9 5 1½ 1½   24 2 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 27% 2.70 1.11 P
ANDY CANT 3 3 6 6   39 310½ (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 24.57  
REWIRE 4 9 7 75   412½ 414½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 8% 11.00 4.19  
OLD POINT 2 7 910¼ 912½   815½ 514¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 23% 3.30 7.87  
NASHOBA'S JOY 5 6 54 54   614 622 (morey e)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 21% 3.80 5.80  
VERITABLE 6 1 3½ 43   513 723¾ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 21.09  
PERUVIAN LUCKY 8 8 8 88   918 823¾ (correas ig)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 48.27  
MONJID 1 4 2½ 2½   715 927¼ (mckeever an)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 12.90  
SCR  BOCO               (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.