The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Saturday - October 08, 2022

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KEE-1   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:224 :462 1:113     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING CUP 7 2 1½ 11   11(stall m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 8.77  
PINE VALLEY 5 6 52 31   22(brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 30% 2.40 3.56 P
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 6 1 3 5   34 3(veinot trudy)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 13.56  
CROW'S NEST 2 8 76 8   810 4(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 27% 2.60 3.97  
BOURBON ON FIRE 4 5 65 6   45(wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 6.19  
BEYBLADER 3 7 8 77   69 610 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 9.48  
CELLULOID HERO 1 3 4 42   7710½ (robertson mclean)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 16.75  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 8 4 2½ 21   5810¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 19% 4.20 2.23  
 
KEE-2   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:31
:22 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY PEARL 4 1 21 2½   1½ 1(lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 12.50  
ADIVA 5 6 42 32   2½ 2(puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 15.96  
11  AFFIRMATIVE LADY 8 7 7 6   43(motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 17% 4.90 4.89 S
INVENTING ANNA 2 2 11 1½   31 4(danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 19% 4.20 2.35  
ALEXA LOU 6 3 8 811½   7511 (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00 12.31  
STAY FABULOUS 3 9 5 5   67 611¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 5% 17.90 8.27  
12  HUMBLING 9 4 3 4   5714¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 16% 5.10 2.33  
WORK OF FICTION 1 5 6 7   89 815 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 13.35  
10  FAME STREET 7 8 9 912   911 917¼ (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 50.67  
14  CALIFORNIA BELLE 10 10 1013½ 1013½   1012½ 1018 (leonard iii)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 53.54  
SCR  AMERICAN MAESTRA               (gallagher e)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00    
SCR  HER LADYSHIP               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
SCR  MAGICAL LUTE               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  MORAL TURPITUDE               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  TIVALI               (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
:232 :471 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING HAPPY 8 5 5 3½   11(baker james)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 12% 7.40 3.11 W
BIG JAVA 7 3 2 2½   33 2(puhich mike)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.51 P
DIVINE HOPE 3 2 32 4   45 37 (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 8.00 20.80  
BAYSHORE FOXES 6 1 1 1½   249 (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 8.37  
SOCIAL MANDATE 1 7 64 7   58 515 (cano munoz)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8.61  
SWEET BEAUTY 4 6 8 8   711 615 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 118 10.00 3.76  
MRS. NUSHI 5 4 4 54   6718¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 8% 10.90 9.88  
JUMAKAN BOURBON 2 8 75 65   814½ 825 (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 18.90 8.51  
 
KEE-4   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 2:34
:221 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE J 2 3 1nk 1½   11(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 27% 2.70 4.14 W
PROVE RIGHT 1 4 67 66   32(chapman k)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 5.07 P
WESTERN GHENT 6 5 42 43   43(lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 10.31  
TAP IN FORMATION 3 6 2nk 2½   2410 (catalano m)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.80 31% 2.20 0.76  
JEREMY'S JET 4 2 31 3   55 511 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 122 15.00 11.37  
GOLD LUCK 5 1 54 5   6611¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 18% 4.40 9.58  
SCR  BAYTOWN JAGGER               (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
:224 :454 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  EMBRACE 11 2 9 11   96 1¼ (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 14.08  
BEN DIESEL 6 5 4 41   2½ 2¼ (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 4.99 P
GULFSTREAM WAY 4 1 2½ 3½   1½ 3¼ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 36% 1.80 3.00 S
SEAL BEACH 8 11 117 95   64¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 14.13  
12  OSBOURNE 12 3 53 63   352 (moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 4.10 2.58  
BUTTON BOY 7 7 6 5   46(correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 10.84  
HIPPODROME 5 9 8 8   57(cash l)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 23.17  
ST ANDREWS 9 4 129 107   108(maker j)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 20.70  
CARAMELITO 3 12 7 7   11910¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 8% 12.30 48.41  
IMPLEMENTATION 1 10 1½ 1½   81011½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 9.61  
ZAP MOTION 2 6 3½ 2½   75 1112½ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 16% 5.20 20.23  
10  MALIBU MIKE 10 8 10 1212¾   1214¼ 1213¼ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 33.70  
 
KEE-6   10/08/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
:211 :432 :551     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN PAL 4 1 11 11   13 1(ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 38% 1.60 0.37 W
OCEANIC 6 7 87 77   67 2(blair jordan)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 13.48 P
ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 7 4 32 3   33 3(maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 31% 2.20 7.24 S
BAD BEAT BRIAN 2 3 43 4   45 42 (vanden brittany)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 23.01 DH
GEAR JOCKEY 5 2 21 21   23 42 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 11.10 DH
CHARCOAL 8 6 66 67   56(wisner j)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 40.97  
ALL IN SYNC 3 9 99 910½   78 7(asmussen m)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 36.27  
COUNTY FINAL 1 8 76 88   88(asmussen m)SANTANA JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 46.17  
CADAMOSTO (IRE) 9 5 5 55   9910¾ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 12.42  
 
KEE-7   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
:224 :46 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAMMED 6 2 11 11   11(fincher w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 22% 3.50 2.39 W
HAPPY SOUL 8 3 21 21   22(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5.22  
JOYFUL CADENCE 7 1 42 3   337 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 9.17  
LI'L TOOTSIE 1 7 54 44   48 4(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 12.22  
CLUB CAR 3 6 7 66   5512½ (colebrook ben)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 17% 4.70 7.05  
SCONSIN 4 4 6 77   610 613½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.31  
LIBERTY M D 5 8 8 89   812½ 713½ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 12.80  
PALM COTTAGE 2 5 3 54   710 817¾ (lobo h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 6% 15.80 3.83  
SCR  CARRIBEAN CAPER               (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
KEE-8   10/08/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($750K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
:232 :47 1:102 1:214   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN ITALIAN (GB) 4 4 1 11 11 111 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 2.87  
REGAL GLORY 5 5 4 43 4 221 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.20 48% 1.10 1.05 P
PRINCESS GRACE 2 3 5 5 5 55 3(stidham michael)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 9% 9.70 10.06 S
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) 3 2 2 3 21 33 4(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 13% 6.60 2.35  
MARKET RUMOR 6 6 69 69 6 69 5(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 20.00 41.58  
VIGILANTES WAY 1 1 3 21 32 44 68 (mcgaughey iii)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 12.00 27.66  
 
KEE-9   10/08/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($600K) 2 ALL PT- 5:14
:23 :462 1:113 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTE 6 5 7 75 5 1nk 1¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 22% 3.50 4.43 W
LOGGINS 2 3 3.2 1nk 11 2nk 2¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 17% 4.80 1.50 P
11  RED ROUTE ONE 10 8 1111¼ 1213½ 1210¼ 637 (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 59.79  
INSTANT COFFEE 4 9 10 10 87 447 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 7.40  
NEWGATE 7 1 2nk 3½ 3 33 5(baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 5% 18.90 11.09  
10  LOST ARK 9 10 1313¼ 1112 11 910¾ 610 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 18% 4.60 6.29  
13  TWO PHIL'S 12 6 8 8 6 5710¾ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00 69.40  
HONED 3 12 1415¾ 1417 1312¼ 1010¾ 813 (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 34.64  
FUNTASTIC AGAIN 8 7 9 98 97 7915 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00 40.58  
FROSTED DEPARTURE 1 11 5 4 42 81023¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 25.44  
14  POWERFUL 13 14 1212¼ 1314½ 1412¼ 1218¼ 1130¼ (asmussen m)ORTIZ L 122 20.00 48.24  
BOURBON BASH 5 4 1nk 2nk 21 1113¼ 1230½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 37.36  
15  CARMEL ROAD 14 13 4 52 7 1319¼ 1339¾ (baffert bob)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 14% 6.10 11.77  
12  GOOD HEART 11 2 6 64 10 1419¾ 1441½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00 41.09  
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 50.00    
SCR  JIN TONG               (o'neill doug)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 50.00    
 
KEE-10   10/08/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
:233 :463 1:10 1:214   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAPOLIS 7 5 3 32 32 1nk 1(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00 6.35  
IVAR (BRZ) 5 3 87 87 87 62(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 6.00 22% 3.50 5.27 P
ORDER OF AUSTRALIA (IRE) 2 9 7 5 43 32 3(o'brien p)SOUMILLON C 126 8.00 6.01  
12  SET PIECE (GB) 10 11 1112½ 1112 98 84(cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00 5% 19.00 13.83  
CASA CREED 8 6 65 7 5 452 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 126 5.00 5.24  
MASEN (GB) 4 2 1 1 1 2nk 6(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 12.00 5.52  
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 1 1 54 64 65 77(mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00 20.33  
13  ATONE 11 4 2 2 2 587 (maker j)SANTANA JR 126 20.00 46.07  
SANTIN 6 10 99 9 10 109(walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 24% 3.10 3.04  
GRAY'S FABLE 3 8 1010 109 1111 1112¼ 10(lynch a)HERNANDEZ J 126 30.00 73.39  
10  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN 9 7 42 4 75 911(maker j)ORTIZ L 126 12.00 22.31  
SCR  DARK SHIFT (GB)               (murphy conor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 20.00    
SCR  EMARAATY (GB)               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 126 12.00    
SCR  GREYES CREEK               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 126 50.00    
SCR  NATURAL POWER (IRE)               (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 30.00    
SCR  SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT               (mccarthy w)VELAZQUEZ R 126 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
KEE-11   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
:23 :461 1:111     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME FAST 7 2 4 3½   14 1(puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 10.08  
10  CAPE TRAFALGAR 9 5 1½ 1½   24 2(joseph a)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 28% 2.60 1.11 P
ANDY CANT 3 3 6 6   39 310½ (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 24.57  
REWIRE 4 9 7 75   412½ 414½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 13% 6.80 4.19  
OLD POINT 2 7 910¼ 912½   815½ 514¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 20% 4.10 7.87  
NASHOBA'S JOY 5 6 54 54   614 622 (morey e)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 19% 4.30 5.80  
VERITABLE 6 1 3½ 43   513 723¾ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 21.09  
PERUVIAN LUCKY 8 8 8 88   918 823¾ (correas iv)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 48.27  
MONJID 1 4 2½ 2½   715 927¼ (mckeever andrew)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 12.90  
SCR  BOCO               (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.