Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELLULOID HERO Sep03 Aug18       (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
2  CROW'S NEST         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 30% 2.40    
3  BEYBLADER Sep29 Aug27 Jun26 Jun09 May05 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 7% 13.10    
4  BOURBON ON FIRE Sep18 Aug13 Jun24 Jun05   (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 2.50    
5  PINE VALLEY Sep15 Aug07 Jul15     (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Sep11 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 May29 (veinot trudy)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 20.00    
7  MORNING CUP Aug19         (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
8  ROAN FOR THE ROSE         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
KEE-2   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORAL TURPITUDE         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
2  WORK OF FICTION Aug05         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  MAGICAL LUTE Sep16 Jul04       (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
4  INVENTING ANNA Sep06 Aug10       (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 37% 1.70    
5  STAY FABULOUS         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 7% 12.60    
6  JERSEY PEARL Aug28         (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ADIVA Sep17 Aug13       (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  AMERICAN MAESTRA         (gallagher wil)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00    
9  ALEXA LOU         (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00    
10  FAME STREET Sep14 Aug20       (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
11  AFFIRMATIVE LADY         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
12  HUMBLING (IRE)         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  TIVALI         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
14  CALIFORNIA BELLE Sep14         (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
SCR  HER LADYSHIP         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
KEE-3   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL MANDATE Sep23 Aug19 Jul30 May28 May15 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
2  JUMAKAN BOURBON Sep16 Aug24 Aug03 Jul15 Jun18 (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9% 10.60    
3  DIVINE HOPE Sep23 Aug20 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 8.00    
4  SWEET BEAUTY Jul20 Jul03 Jun25 Jun09 May19 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
5  MRS. NUSHI Sep16 Sep08 Jul22 Jun29 Jun09 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
6  BAYSHORE FOXES         (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 15% 5.80    
7  BIG JAVA Aug14 Jul01 May22 Apr07 Mar13 (puhic)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
8  FEELING HAPPY Sep18 Jun03 May06 Apr10   (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
KEE-4   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 2:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVE RIGHT Sep16 Aug26 Aug19 Jul16 Jun26 (chapman ja)SANTANA JR 122 4.50    
SCR  BAYTOWN JAGGER Sep29 Sep08 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00    
3  HURRICANE J Aug28         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  TAP IN FORMATION Aug28         (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.80 38% 1.70    
5  JEREMY'S JET Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 Jun26 Jun09 (mcentee)GILLIGAN FRANCIS 122 15.00    
6  GOLD LUCK Sep18 Aug22       (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 8% 11.20    
7  WESTERN GHENT Sep05 Aug25 Aug06 Jul23 Jun19 (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPLEMENTATION Aug23 Jul09       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
2  ZAP MOTION Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Mar11 Jan23 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 7% 13.30    
3  CARAMELITO Sep23 Aug25 Jul21 Jun11 May27 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
4  GULFSTREAM WAY Sep17 Aug13 Jul10 Jun19 May29 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
5  HIPPODROME Sep24 Aug22 Aug13 Aug01 Jul02 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
6  BEN DIESEL May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 9% 10.60    
7  BUTTON BOY Sep03 Aug15       (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00    
8  SEAL BEACH Sep30 Sep03 Aug17 Jul03 Jun12 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
9  ST ANDREWS Sep14 Aug20 Aug05 Jun12 May15 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MALIBU MIKE Aug10 Jul19       (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
11  EMBRACE (IRE) Sep22 Sep06 Aug07 Jun19 May22 (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL null      
12  OSBOURNE Aug06 Jun19 May07 Apr08 Jan29 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
KEE-6   10/08/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTY FINAL Sep06 Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 May28 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 120 30.00    
2  BAD BEAT BRIAN Sep13 Aug07 Jul23 May30 Feb19 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALL IN SYNC Sep10 Aug07 Jul10 May23 May01 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
4  GOLDEN PAL Aug05 Apr09       (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 0.80 45% 1.20    
5  GEAR JOCKEY Jun11 May06 Apr09 Feb12   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  OCEANIC Sep06 Aug07 Jul13 Jun11 May28 (blair jorda)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
7  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS Sep10 Jul21 Jul04 Jun09 May12 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  CHARCOAL Sep10 Aug07 Jul13 Jun11 May17 (wisner j)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
9  CADAMOSTO (IRE) Aug14         (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LI'L TOOTSIE Sep17 Aug14 Jul03 May30 Apr02 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
2  PALM COTTAGE Sep04 Jul15       (lobo h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  CLUB CAR Aug15 Jul02 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 (colebrook ben)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
SCR  CARRIBEAN CAPER Aug16         (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
5  SCONSIN Sep17 Aug13 Jun25 May30   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 9% 10.50    
6  LIBERTY M D Sep16 Aug07 Jun11 May14 Apr15 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SLAMMED Aug28 Jul28 Feb06     (fincher w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  JOYFUL CADENCE Sep17 Aug13 Jul08 May30 Apr30 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
9  HAPPY SOUL Sep13 Jul09 May20 Apr08 Feb19 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
 
KEE-8   10/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIGILANTES WAY Sep03 Jul23 Jun18 May30   (mcgaughey clau)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 12.00    
2  PRINCESS GRACE Sep10 Aug13 Jul12 Jun18   (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) Aug27 Jul16 May21 Apr16   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  IN ITALIAN (GB) Jul16 Jun11 May07 Mar05 Jan12 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00    
5  REGAL GLORY Aug13 Jun11 Apr16 Jan29   (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
6  MARKET RUMOR Sep10 Aug16 Jul17 Jun05 Apr23 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 2 ALL PT- 5:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED DEPARTURE Sep16 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
2  LOGGINS Sep17         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
3  HONED Sep17 Jul10       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME Sep17 Aug13 Jul02     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 50.00    
5  INSTANT COFFEE Sep03         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
6  BOURBON BASH Sep05 Aug13 Jul24     (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
7  FORTE Sep05 Jul16 May27     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
8  NEWGATE Sep11 Jul30       (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00    
9  FUNTASTIC AGAIN Aug27 Jul01       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00    
10  LOST ARK Aug27 Jul03       (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
11  RED ROUTE ONE Sep05 Aug06       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
12  GOOD HEART Sep10         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
13  TWO PHIL'S Sep17 Jul18 Jun23     (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
14  POWERFUL Sep03 Jul23       (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
15  CARMEL ROAD Aug26 Aug06       (baffert bob)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
SCR  JIN TONG Sep17 Aug14 Jul08     (o'neill doug)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 50.00    
 
KEE-10   10/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 May07 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00    
SCR  SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT Aug13 May30 Apr15     (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 126 4.50    
3  ORDER OF AUSTRALIA (IRE)         (o'brien p)SOUMILLON C 126 8.00 12% 7.60    
4  GRAY'S FABLE Sep10 Aug07 Jul09 Jun04 May05 (lynch brian )HERNANDEZ J 126 30.00    
5  MASEN (GB) Aug13 Jun18 May22 Apr15   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 12.00    
6  IVAR (BRZ) Sep17 Jul09       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 6.00 29% 2.50    
7  SANTIN Aug13 Jun11 May07 Mar26 Feb19 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 3.50 14% 6.00    
8  ANNAPOLIS Sep03 Aug06 Jul04 Jun03   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 10.00    
9  CASA CREED Aug13 Jun11       (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 126 5.00 22% 3.50    
10  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 May30 (maker j)ORTIZ L 126 12.00    
SCR  EMARAATY (GB) Sep05 Aug04 Jul03     (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 126 12.00    
12  SET PIECE (GB) Sep10 Aug13 Jul15 May21 Apr15 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  ATONE Sep10 Aug04 Jul15 May21 Apr15 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 126 20.00    
SCR  DARK SHIFT (GB)         (murphy cono)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 126 20.00    
SCR  NATURAL POWER (IRE) Sep05 Jul05 Apr24 Apr09 Mar02 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 30.00    
SCR  GREYES CREEK Aug21 Jun11 Apr20     (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 126 50.00    
 
KEE-11   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONJID Sep03         (mckeever an)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00    
2  OLD POINT         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  ANDY CANT Sep01 Jan06       (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
4  REWIRE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  BOCO Sep18 Aug07       (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 50.00    
6  NASHOBA'S JOY Sep03         (morey e)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  VERITABLE Sep13 Jul22 Jun25     (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
8  CALL ME FAST Sep18 Aug13 Jul16 Jun25   (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
9  PERUVIAN LUCKY Aug31 Feb12 Jan16     (correas ig)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
10  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Apr14 Mar12       (joseph a)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.