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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/29/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			2		F		PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	DRE ME LESS									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119						2.50		★				1.33
1	TEQUILA EMPIRE									(diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						2.00		56%		0.80		3.54	P
5	TRUISM									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119						4.00		17%		4.90		5.34	S
6	PERFECT ROSE									(vasquez sr)COURT K 119						10.00		★				13.44
4	FROSTY DIVA									(forster gran)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						10.00						25.89
2	REINA BELLA									(kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119						2.50		★				2.33

CD-2			09/29/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($75K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	PALACE COUP									(sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 122						3.50		★				2.12
2	SPA CITY									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						1.60		15%		5.60		1.04	P
5	SUGOI									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122						6.00		10%		8.70		2.62	S
4	MY SIXTH SENSE									(hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122						5.00		★				6.87
SCR	GALERIO									(cash l)BEJARANO R 122						2.00		47%		1.10

CD-3			09/29/2022		5280ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	AMARYLLIS									(brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.00		27%		2.70		2.33	W
1	BIG DIG									(drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						8.00		20%		4.10		6.01	P
7	COTTON CANDY ANNIE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.50		★				3.09	S
2	JANIS JOPLIN									(casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						0.80		27%		2.70		1.38
5	STEEL RACER									(walden w)SANTANA JR 119						15.00						12.55
4	BASILICA D ORO									(orantes yoni )BAILEY CHEL-C 114						20.00						29.58
SCR	STAGE BELL									(pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						20.00		★

CD-4			09/29/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SUPER CAT LADY									(tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 121						4.00		★				5.96
3	FANTAIL (GB)									(meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						3.00		41%		1.40		1.25	P
5	MONOCACY									(kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118						8.00						22.23
8	VERKLIMT									(divito jam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						4.50		18%		4.70		2.47
4	PONTIFFANY									(barrett roddi)BAILEY CHEL-C 118						10.00						22.22
6	MORE ROMANCE									(scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 121						4.50		19%		4.30		4.15
1	MOUDARI									(schlenk k)GRAHAM J 120						8.00						16.41
SCR	BEACH KITTEN									(scherer marianne)RIQUELME J 118						8.00		★

CD-5			09/29/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	SUPER WONDER GIRL									(williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						4.50						7.15
6	MY MY MUNNY									(stuart shea)BAILEY CHEL-C 116						5.00		12%		7.60		4.05	P
9	BEACHSIDE BUNNY									(blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						6.00		9%		10.80		5.36	S
1	WORLD OF WONDER									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						2.50		26%		2.90		2.21
7	GIRLS A BULLET									(vance tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						6.00		7%		13.50		12.12
3	CLEVER TALE									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121						8.00		20%		4.00		6.65
8	EVERYOTHERWON									(lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121						8.00						13.38
2	DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE									(esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 121						8.00						7.55
4	KITTY'S PROMISE									(faircloth ave)GILLIGAN JACK 121						20.00						32.29

CD-6			09/29/2022		3960ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	TRES SOLES									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						4.00		26%		2.90		1.61	W
9	REAGAN									(stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119						10.00						11.11
11	MACKMAN									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00						12.41
3	ACCIDENT									(short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119						8.00		18%		4.60		15.72
12	SIR ROCK									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						8.00		★				6.29
7	MAJOR BLUE									(lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						12.00						20.15
2	DEVILS RED									(o'neill do)CORRALES GERARDO 119						8.00		★				2.60
10	WESTERN COMMAND									(foley greg)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						21.14
6	CREPE YARNS									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119						20.00						20.33
4	TAPPING OUT A TUNE									(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119						12.00						15.75
SCR	BE RUTHLESS									(jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 119						20.00
SCR	BIG HAT WILLIE									(mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119						15.00
SCR	DOUBLE BARREL									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.00		25%		3.00
SCR	MOBSTER									(casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						10.00

CD-7			09/29/2022		5940ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)									(meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117						10.00		★				14.87
1	MICROCAP									(forster t)GRAHAM J 122						3.00		★				4.43	P
6	DESIGNER READY									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 122						5.00						6.87
3	SMARMY									(bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 122						6.00		18%		4.70		6.36
5	SALUTE THE FLAG									(jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						2.50		23%		3.30		1.92
2	MISTY VEIL									(amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						2.00		31%		2.20		1.77

CD-8			09/29/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($75K)					Purse ($60K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	SLIM MAN									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121						2.50		18%		4.50		2.33	W
4	DERIVATIVE									(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						6.00		14%		6.30		8.45	P
1	BEYBLADER									(glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 121						12.00						8.33
6	TRIPLE OPTION									(medina rob)HERNANDEZ J 121						10.00						10.45
9	STREET FIGHT									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121						8.00		★				6.76
10	KENRIC									(huffman pa)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						20.00						43.49
5	RUMBLE READY									(mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121						8.00		★				18.98
7	VALE									(forster t)GRAHAM J 121						10.00						26.64
8	ROUGH SKETCH									(colebrook ben)GARCIA MARTIN 124						10.00						18.38
11	MAHONEY ROAD									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.50		46%		1.20		2.36
2	TEBOW									(vaccarezza)CORRALES GERARDO 124						20.00						38.54



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.