Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DRE ME LESS 3 1 11 11 11 14 15 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.50 ★ 1.33  
1  TEQUILA EMPIRE 1 5 42½ 43 33 24 25 (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.00 56% 0.80 3.54 P
5  TRUISM 5 3 21 21 21 35 37½ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 17% 4.90 5.34 S
6  PERFECT ROSE 6 6 68 68 59 49 411¼ (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 10.00 ★ 13.44  
4  FROSTY DIVA 4 4 54 54 610½ 518 527½ (forster gran)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 25.89  
2  REINA BELLA 2 2 32½ 32½ 45 618½ 632 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 ★ 2.33  
 
CD-2   09/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:121 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE COUP 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 14½ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 ★ 2.12  
2  SPA CITY 2 4 31½ 42 31½ 23 24½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 15% 5.60 1.04 P
5  SUGOI 4 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 34 35½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 6.00 10% 8.70 2.62 S
4  MY SIXTH SENSE 3 3 42 31½ 41¾ 45 46 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 ★ 6.87  
SCR  GALERIO               (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
CD-3   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:132 1:261   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMARYLLIS 5 5 3½ 3½ 1½ 11 12½ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 27% 2.70 2.33 W
1  BIG DIG 1 6 63 42 41½ 21 22½ (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 20% 4.10 6.01 P
7  COTTON CANDY ANNIE 6 4 52 53 3½ 33 37½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 ★ 3.09 S
2  JANIS JOPLIN 2 2 2nk 1½ 2½ 43 48¾ (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 0.80 27% 2.70 1.38  
5  STEEL RACER 4 3 1nk 2½ 56½ 515 522¾ (walden w)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 12.55  
4  BASILICA D ORO 3 1 41 63¼ 69 616½ 626½ (orantes yoni )BAILEY CHEL-C 114 20.00 29.58  
SCR  STAGE BELL               (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 ★    
 
CD-4   09/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUPER CAT LADY 2 2 21½ 2½   11½ 13¾ (tomlinson micha)LANERIE J 121 4.00 ★ 5.96  
3  FANTAIL (GB) 3 3 11½ 1½   21½ 23¾ (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 41% 1.40 1.25 P
5  MONOCACY 5 5 53½ 52½   35½ 38¼ (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 8.00 22.23  
8  VERKLIMT 7 7 76 75¼   58½ 49¼ (divito jam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 18% 4.70 2.47  
4  PONTIFFANY 4 1 43½ 42½   47½ 512 (barrett roddi)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 10.00 22.22  
6  MORE ROMANCE 6 4 64 32   610½ 618½ (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 19% 4.30 4.15  
1  MOUDARI 1 6 33 62¾   712½ 718¾ (schlenk k)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 16.41  
SCR  BEACH KITTEN               (scherer marianne)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 ★    
 
CD-5   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUPER WONDER GIRL 5 5 32 42½   2½ 1nk (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 7.15  
6  MY MY MUNNY 6 7 63½ 31½   1½ 2nk (stuart shea)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 5.00 12% 7.60 4.05 P
9  BEACHSIDE BUNNY 9 1 2½ 11   3½ 32 (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 9% 10.80 5.36 S
1  WORLD OF WONDER 1 3 1½ 21   42 42½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 26% 2.90 2.21  
7  GIRLS A BULLET 7 2 74 65   54 56¾ (vance tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 7% 13.50 12.12  
3  CLEVER TALE 3 4 85½ 810   79 69 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 8.00 20% 4.00 6.65  
8  EVERYOTHERWON 8 8 42 54½   68 711½ (lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00 13.38  
2  DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE 2 6 53 78½   89½ 812½ (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 7.55  
4  KITTY'S PROMISE 4 9 97½ 911½   911 913½ (faircloth ave)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 32.29  
 
CD-6   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TRES SOLES 4 1 11 2nk   1nk 1¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 26% 2.90 1.61 W
9  REAGAN 7 2 21 1nk   2nk 2¼ (stewart dallas)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00 11.11  
11  MACKMAN 9 7 73¼ 55¾   56¾ 36½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 12.41  
3  ACCIDENT 2 10 63 89¾   69¼ 48 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 8.00 18% 4.60 15.72  
12  SIR ROCK 10 3 31½ 43¼   46¼ 510¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 ★ 6.29  
7  MAJOR BLUE 6 6 42 33   36 613¾ (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 20.15  
2  DEVILS RED 1 4 52 77¾   710¾ 715¼ (o'neill do)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 ★ 2.60  
10  WESTERN COMMAND 8 9 83¼ 67¼   812¾ 816½ (foley greg)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 21.14  
6  CREPE YARNS 5 5 1013¼ 1018¼   917¾ 916½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 20.33  
4  TAPPING OUT A TUNE 3 8 94¼ 911¼   1019¼ 1024 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 15.75  
SCR  BE RUTHLESS               (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE               (mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00    
SCR  DOUBLE BARREL               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MOBSTER               (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00    
 
CD-7   09/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:133 1:382   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 4 1 11 11 11½ 11 12 (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 10.00 ★ 14.87  
1  MICROCAP 1 4 41½ 42½ 32 21 22 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 ★ 4.43 P
6  DESIGNER READY 6 6 31½ 21 21½ 33 32¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 6.87  
3  SMARMY 3 3 63¾ 65 65½ 44 43 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 18% 4.70 6.36  
5  SALUTE THE FLAG 5 2 21 32½ 43½ 64½ 53 (jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.92  
2  MISTY VEIL 2 5 53½ 53½ 53½ 54 64¼ (amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.77  
 
CD-8   09/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SLIM MAN 3 2 52 54   2nk 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 18% 4.50 2.33 W
4  DERIVATIVE 4 8 3½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 14% 6.30 8.45 P
1  BEYBLADER 1 1 85 87½   56½ 35¾ (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 8.33  
6  TRIPLE OPTION 6 4 2½ 2½   32½ 46¼ (medina rob)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 10.45  
9  STREET FIGHT 9 5 73½ 76½   45½ 56¾ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 8.00 ★ 6.76  
10  KENRIC 10 3 62½ 64½   78 611 (huffman pa)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 43.49  
5  RUMBLE READY 5 9 1½ 32   67 711¾ (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 8.00 ★ 18.98  
7  VALE 7 7 97½ 910   911 812½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 26.64  
8  ROUGH SKETCH 8 11 1015½ 1015   1013½ 915½ (colebrook ben)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00 18.38  
11  MAHONEY ROAD 11 6 41½ 42   810 1015½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 46% 1.20 2.36  
2  TEBOW 2 10 1122½ 1131½   1154½ 1181¾ (vaccarezza)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00 38.54  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.