The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 24, 2022

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PID-1   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 1:30
:222 :462 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBY FOO 7 7 6 5   1½ 1(stidham michael)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00 1.30  
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE 4 4 33 2nk   2½ 2(agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.50 3.40 P
LUNA T 2 6 56 4   336 (cheeks katy)ALENCAR WALBER 120 3.00 32% 2.20 4.30 S
ZORA 5 3 45 6   5410 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 40% 1.50 5.10  
TICK ALERT 1 5 2nk 1nk   4511¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 10.00 10.30  
OMIKAMI 3 8 8 7   7613 (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 30.40  
HAZARD 6 2 1nk 3.2   6718½ (schoenthal phil)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 18.00  
JUMP INTO SANITY 8 1 7 8   89 819¼ (skerrett jeffrey)STANLEY O 120 10.00 23.40  
 
PID-2   10/24/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
:22 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITCHEN FIRE 6 4 21 21   1nk 1(kintz matthew)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 13% 6.80 2.40 W
STEVIS MAN 1 1 11 11   2nk 2(radosevich r)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.00 33% 2.00 1.50 P
HIDDEN RULER 5 3 33 3   33 3(martin n)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 28% 2.50 2.50 S
SPICY SHOT 4 2 58 46   44(dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 5.50  
TOTAL DISTRACTION 3 6 611½ 611   55(rotunno r)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 16.80  
BOO BE RIGHT 2 5 4 57   610¼ 615¾ (martin n)ALLEN D 122 15.00 32.20  
SCR  I BELONG TO BECKY               (hay r)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
SCR  JETTIN OUT               (brooks e)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00    
 
PID-3   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 2:24
:223 :461 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULSARA 5 6 64 54   3½ 1(trombetta j)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 2.40  
HONEY HAULER 2 4 42 22   1½ 2(wismer s)WALKER M 120 3.50 26% 2.80 5.60 P
GIRL AFRAID 3 3 11 12   2½ 3(kintz matthew)ALLEN D 120 2.50 34% 1.90 1.20 S
OPTIMIZME 1 8 86 7   44(pinzon maria)AYALA J 120 20.00 78.40  
UNSTABLE PRINCESS 7 7 7 87   7511¼ (martin n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00 19.90  
EMPIRE GIRL 8 1 5 65   66 613½ (sanchez lozano)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 9.00  
GRACIE DANCE 4 5 32 43   5716½ (skerrett jeffrey)STANLEY O 120 5.00 10% 9.10 17.40  
LEAD PERFORMER 6 2 21 33   810¾ 823¼ (davis christopher)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00 7% 12.70 7.90  
 
PID-4   10/24/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
:223 :453 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO MOXIE 2 3 5 6   31 1½ (skawinski a)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 7.70  
RUNAWAY BREEZE 1 7 7 7   72½ (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 3.50 8% 11.90 1.40 P
KEYPIT 4 8 811½ 89   63½ (rice adam)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.50 6.80 S
SQUAD UP 5 6 6 4   1nk 4(potts g)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 5.60  
SERENE WARRIOR 7 1 1½ 1½   2nk 5(girten tim)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 59% 0.70 3.60  
BOURBON GAL 8 4 2½ 2½   463 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00 7.00  
OUT ONA LIMB 6 5 4 33   53 76 (hay r)STANLEY O 122 15.00 52.00  
WOW FACTOR 3 2 3 5   88(valdez moises)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00 21.10  
SCR  BEE WINGS               (montano wilfrido)JURADO EDDIE 122 20.00    
 
PID-5   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($37.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
:23 :464 :59     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKE LIGHTENING 3 4 2 1nk   1½ 11 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 120 1.80 45% 1.20 0.70 W
NEXT EPISODE 2 2 3 31   2½ 21 (saville niall)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 27% 2.80 4.00 P
ASPLUNDER 1 1 5 55   53 34 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 120 10.00 24.60 S
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 6 5 4 44   44(hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.00 2.60  
CITY TRIPPER 5 3 1 2nk   3514¼ (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 120 10.00 30.20  
TANGO MIKE 4 6 612 630   638 677¼ (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 11.50  
SCR  UNCLE JOCK               (potts g)ALLEN D 120 5.00    
 
PID-6   10/24/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:24 :472 1:123 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CALIFORNIA 1 8 810¾ 714 4 31 1½ (guciardo john)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 12% 7.50 1.70 W
BLUE NEITH 2 1 5 412½ 3 21 2½ (sanchez lozano)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 9% 9.60 3.70 P
MOTITO 4 4 2 210½ 23 11 32 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 12% 7.60 2.80 S
WORKIN ECLIPTICAL 7 6 48 512½ 69 54(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 25.80  
HIGH DOLLAR DATE 8 7 710¾ 814½ 710 610 510¾ (kintz matthew)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00 13.60  
SIGN AND SEAL 3 2 1 110½ 13 44 611¼ (pappada c)WALKER M 118 5.00 11.00  
EPHEMERAL 6 3 3 311½ 59 713 719½ (rubley kelly)AYALA J 122 15.00 48.60  
LISA MARIE 5 5 6 613 812 819 834½ (potts g)ALLEN D 118 10.00 11% 8.20 5.10  
SCR  BARBARA               (guciardo john)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
PID-7   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
:221 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOR DE SOMBRA 6 2 4 1½   112 (preciado guadalupe)SANCHEZ J 122 1.80 37% 1.70 1.20 W
SCOTTISH SYMPHONY 4 7 5 2½   222 (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 115 3.50 15% 5.70 1.90 P
WARRIOR'S RANSOM 2 5 7 6   44 3(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 117 6.00 10.10 S
CHEAP AND CHEERFUL 1 4 21 42   34 4(fennessy john)ALLEN M 117 8.00 21.60  
PACHELBEL 7 3 6 78   7510¾ (servis c)MARTINEZ A 117 4.00 23% 3.40 4.30  
QUEEN WIGGY 5 1 11 3½   5613 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 117 10.00 13.90  
ORGANIZED CHAOS 3 6 31 53   69 719½ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 117 12.00 26.90  
SCR  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE               (agnew naoise)HERNANDEZ A 115 10.00    
 
PID-8   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
:221 :454 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG OF INDY 2 4 24 21   1½ 1(rogers michael)AYALA J 122 4.00 12% 7.70 1.70 W
10  RUN LAUGHING 7 2 35 4   42(martin n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 17% 4.80 3.40 P
WILD LOOKER 4 5 67 6   53(skawinski a)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 17.40  
AMAZON LIZZIE 3 6 710 7   74(hogue l)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00 10.40  
11  LOOKING FOR LOVE 8 1 14 11   2½ 55 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5.10  
LUCKY DAY DIVA 6 9 4 32   36(salvaggio jr)CONNER TYLER 122 30.00 11.00  
12  CYBERBURG 9 3 56 5   65 7(martin n)STANLEY O 122 6.00 6.60  
TEQUILA MARY 1 8 914 910   88(buckner h)ALLEN D 122 15.00 15.40  
YES IT'S ERIE 5 7 811½ 88   998 (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00 33.30  
SCR  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE               (buhrow d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EVERY LITTLE BIT               (lucarelli shana)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  RUNAWAY PHYLLIS               (potts g)WALKER M 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.