Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICK ALERT Sep29         (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 10.00    
2  LUNA T Sep29 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul19 (cheeks katy)ALENCAR WALBER 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
3  OMIKAMI         (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00    
4  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Sep24         (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★    
5  ZORA Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26   (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
6  HAZARD Oct05         (schoenthal phi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 ★    
7  RUBY FOO         (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
8  JUMP INTO SANITY Sep29 Sep20       (skerrett jeffre)STANLEY O 120 10.00 ★    
 
PID-2   10/24/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEVIS MAN Oct06 Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Jul13 (radosevich s)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  BOO BE RIGHT Sep25 Aug15 Jul15 Jun27 May28 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
3  TOTAL DISTRACTION Oct12 Oct03 Sep21 Aug15 Jul27 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
4  SPICY SHOT Oct13 Sep13 Jun15 May30   (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.50 ★    
5  HIDDEN RULER Sep25 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24   (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  I BELONG TO BECKY Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 (hay r)STANLEY O 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  JETTIN OUT Oct07 Sep03 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00    
8  KITCHEN FIRE Sep26 May28 May11 Apr19 Mar31 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
PID-3   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMIZME Sep30         (pinzon maria)AYALA J 120 20.00    
2  HONEY HAULER Oct12 Aug31 Aug16     (wismer glenn )WALKER M 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  GIRL AFRAID Oct05 Sep20 Aug31 Aug04 Jul08 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  GRACIE DANCE Oct13         (skerrett jeffre)STANLEY O 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
5  BULSARA Sep17 Aug17       (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 ★    
6  LEAD PERFORMER Sep26 Sep14       (davis christophe)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00 7% 12.70    
7  UNSTABLE PRINCESS Oct05         (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00    
8  EMPIRE GIRL Sep24         (sanchez )GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
 
PID-4   10/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY BREEZE Oct06 Sep28 Sep13 Sep07 Aug24 (rice kevin)AYALA J 121 3.50 8% 11.90    
2  SO MOXIE Oct03 Sep21 Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  BEE WINGS Oct12 Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 May23 (montano wilfri)JURADO EDDIE 122 20.00 ★    
4  WOW FACTOR Oct09 Sep26 Sep15 Aug11 Jul13 (valdez moises)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 12.00    
5  KEYPIT Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.50    
6  SQUAD UP Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 Aug09 Jul20 (potts g)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
7  OUT ONA LIMB Oct05 Sep15 Sep06 Aug06 Jul20 (hay r)STANLEY O 122 15.00    
8  SERENE WARRIOR Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
9  BOURBON GAL Oct05 Sep26 Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
 
PID-5   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($37.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPLUNDER Oct11 Sep28 Sep06 May31   (hayes leland)SPIETH S 120 10.00 ★    
2  NEXT EPISODE Oct10 Aug30 Jun16     (saville )GALLARDO A 119 4.00 27% 2.80    
3  SMOKE LIGHTENING Sep08 Aug20 Aug02     (potts g)MARTINEZ W 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
4  TANGO MIKE Sep06 Aug23       (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 ★    
5  CITY TRIPPER Sep22 Sep06 Aug23     (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 120 10.00    
6  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Oct04 Sep20 Aug20 Jul14 Jun14 (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  UNCLE JOCK Sep20 Aug22 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 (potts g)ALLEN D 120 5.00    
 
PID-6   10/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CALIFORNIA Oct10 Sep27 Sep07 Jul07 Mar23 (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 12% 7.50    
2  BLUE NEITH Sep17 Sep02 Jul15 Jun23 May28 (sanchez )GALLARDO A 118 6.00 9% 9.60    
3  SIGN AND SEAL Oct10 Sep28 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 5.00    
4  MOTITO Sep28 Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 12% 7.60    
5  LISA MARIE Oct11 Sep14 Aug27 Jul27 Jul20 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 10.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  BARBARA Oct05 Sep20 Sep05 Aug17 Aug02 (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
7  EPHEMERAL Sep22 Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (rubley kelly)AYALA J 122 15.00    
8  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Sep09 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
9  HIGH DOLLAR DATE Oct17 Oct05 Sep22 Sep02 Aug03 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00    
 
PID-7   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Sep24         (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 115 10.00    
2  CHEAP AND CHEERFUL Oct10 Sep15 Aug30 Aug09   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 117 8.00 ★    
3  WARRIOR'S RANSOM Sep29 Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 Jul26 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 117 6.00 ★    
4  ORGANIZED CHAOS Sep15 Sep01 Jul27     (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 117 12.00    
5  SCOTTISH SYMPHONY         (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 115 3.50 15% 5.70    
6  QUEEN WIGGY Sep15 Jul27       (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 10.00    
7  FLOR DE SOMBRA Sep24 Aug22 Jul26     (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
8  PACHELBEL Sep24 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01   (servis c)NO RIDER 117 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
PID-8   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 May23   (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  TEQUILA MARY Oct10 Sep26 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (buckner h)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
3  SONG OF INDY Oct13 Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Jul19 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.00 12% 7.70    
4  AMAZON LIZZIE Oct10 Sep29 Sep14 Aug30 Jul28 (hogue ja)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00    
5  WILD LOOKER Oct10 Sep22 Aug30 Aug16 Jul28 (skawinski car)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
SCR  EVERY LITTLE BIT Sep21 Aug22 Jun27 May24   (lucarelli sha)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  YES IT'S ERIE Oct10 Sep08 Aug16 Jul28 Jul20 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00 ★    
8  LUCKY DAY DIVA Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 30.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY PHYLLIS Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 Aug24 Aug10 (potts g)WALKER M 122 20.00    
10  RUN LAUGHING Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 Jul20   (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
11  LOOKING FOR LOVE Oct03 Sep22 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
12  CYBERBURG Oct10 Sep08       (martin william )STANLEY O 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.