Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:002     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRODY'S WAR 2 5 3½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (lucas bonni)VARGAS L 121 4.50 6.00  
ROUND ROBIN 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (hendriks rich)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.50 3.30 P
BROBRO CORMAN 3 2 1nk 3.2   3 35 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 121 1.60 43% 1.30 1.40 S
ON THE EDGE 4 4 55 5   5 4 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 3.50 31% 2.20 2.10  
MR. JEKYLL 1 3 42 4   4 513¼ (geist w)BAKER J 121 8.00 8.80  
SCR  ECLIPTICAL DAVID               (caban carlos )RAMOS C 114 15.00    
 
PEN-2   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS IS ZIPPY 5 4 44 33   21 1¾ (gorham e)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 29% 2.50 5.20 W
SOUTH HOUSE 6 3 2½ 2½   11 2¾ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 30% 2.40 2.70 P
FALL CAMPAIGN 1 6 6 46   4 3 (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 123 6.00 16.20 S
LIL H 2 5 56 56   56 4 (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 4.90  
SPECIAL BEAM 7 1 1½ 1½   3 511¾ (graci kimberl)RAMOS C 112 2.50 1.20  
CAPE COD SALLY 3 2 3 6   69 613¼ (kirby t)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 12% 7.50 11.80  
DOUBLE DOT 4 7 710½ 711   713 714 (boyer jr)CORA D 120 8.00 34.20  
 
PEN-3   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:133 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAL CAL 2 6 4 4 3 2½ 1¼ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 14.70  
EDICT (ARG) 8 5 53 52 2nk 1½ 2¼ (graci kimberl)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 38% 1.60 1.30 P
VISHNU 7 8 89 6 5 34 3 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 4.00  
11  DEVOTED KITTEN 10 9 1013½ 1013 7 5 45 (moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 10% 9.00 17.30  
BAVARIA 1 3 1½ 11 1nk 4 511½ (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 7.10  
BOSSY CAT 6 10 913 912½ 9 712½ 613¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00 35.50  
AUTOMATE 9 7 66 7 6 611½ 714 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 25% 3.00 6.40  
MEROCKETMAN 3 1 2½ 21 42 817 821½ (shuchman allan)LLOYD W 124 15.00 59.70  
WHO YOU SAY I AM 4 2 32 31 8 923 930½ (smith r)CORA D 124 10.00 14.60  
SHADOW BOAT 5 4 78 8 1010¾ 1029 1041 (bobadilla j)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 8.40  
SCR  BOPPIN ANDA WEAVIN               (gorham mich)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
 
PEN-4   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:22 :46 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUIT OF ARMOR 2 1 1 14   13 13 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 56% 0.80 1.70 W
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 5 5 4 36   3 23 (carpio erin)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 6.00 2.80 P
AGGRANDIZE 3 3 2 24   23 3 (hendriks j)CORA D 121 3.50 1.70 S
BUFF AND SHINE 4 4 3 47   48 4 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 5.40  
NOTORIOUS REY 1 2 5 510   510 513 (o'hearn heath)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 13.50  
SCR  FREEDOM'S START               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00 8% 12.00    
 
PEN-5   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPMASTER 1 4 1½ 1   14 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 31% 2.30 1.20 W
BOURBON FRONTIER 4 2 4 3   3 2 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 4.70 P
COUSTEAU 5 3 31 2   24 3 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 24% 3.10 1.70 S
HASHTAG WINNING 3 5 55 4   4 4 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 11% 8.50 18.80  
READY AND RICH 2 6 65 69   513½ 517¼ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 6.20  
CAJUN MANDATE 6 1 2½ 57   614½ 624½ (avila ju)GONZALEZ JR 119 10.00 31.60  
 
PEN-6   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT'S GIRL 3 5 42 4¾   21 1hd (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 12% 7.40 9.10 W
BRUNELLA 2 4 2½ 1½   11 2hd (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 31% 2.20 1.70 P
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 6 2 53 6   5 3 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 20.20  
HIGHTIME VALENTINE 7 6 7 7   65 44 (castillo)GONZALEZ JR 120 6.00 11% 8.00 1.90  
KNICKERSINATWIST 4 7 6 5   34 5 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 123 5.00 13% 6.70 3.70  
GUSSIE'S NOTION 5 1 31 2½   44 612¼ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 20.00 49.00  
SWEET AND MACHA 1 3 1½ 3½   7 727¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 6.40  
SCR  QUEEN'S DREAM               (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   11/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORN JEANS 1 3 11 11   1 1¾ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 1.90  
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 6 1 21 21   2 2¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 28% 2.60 9.30 P
HILL VALLEY 3 6 65 55   35 3 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 19% 4.30 1.30 S
LIMONATA 5 4 3 33   45 4 (boyer jr)CORA D 124 6.00 17% 4.90 4.50  
MAGICALLYDELICIOUS 4 2 55 67   6 5 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 32.90  
ORIGINALY FROM DOT 2 5 44 45   5 612 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.50 6.10  
 
PEN-8   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:151 1:29   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLE OF COURAGE 5 2 1nk 2nk 1nk 12 1 (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 15% 5.70 0.80 W
CEETA 4 1 3½ 4¾ 4 22 2 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 12% 7.50 7.00 P
MS KAYS COWGIRL 3 4 4¾ 5 5 32 3 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 7% 14.00 7.40 S
CRIMSON LILLE 1 5 5¾ 3½ 3 5 49 (deiter kell)VARGAS L 124 10.00 10.70  
SOULSTONE 2 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 44 513½ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 123 1.80 44% 1.30 2.30  
RESPLENDENT IDEA 6 6 6 6 613¼ 619½ 637¾ (albright amy)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 24.50  
SCR  ALL THE WAY MAE               (deiter kelly )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.