Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. JEKYLL Oct28 Oct07 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 (geist w)BAKER J 121 8.00    
SCR  ECLIPTICAL DAVID Sep22 Sep03       (caban carlos )RAMOS C 114 15.00    
BRODY'S WAR Sep10         (lucas bonni)VARGAS L 121 4.50    
BROBRO CORMAN Oct28 Sep15 Jul28     (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 121 1.60 43% 1.30    
ON THE EDGE         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
ROUND ROBIN Oct28         (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50    
 
PEN-2   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALL CAMPAIGN Oct21 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 Aug20 (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 123 6.00    
LIL H Oct19 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jun24 (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
CAPE COD SALLY Oct19 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug24 (kirby t)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
DOUBLE DOT Nov02 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Aug09 (boyer jr)CORA D 120 8.00    
MISS IS ZIPPY Sep24 Aug31 Aug22 Jul16 Jul08 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
SOUTH HOUSE Oct19 Oct03 Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
SPECIAL BEAM Jun02 May12       (graci kimberl)RAMOS C 112 2.50    
 
PEN-3   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAVARIA Oct25 Oct07 Sep22 Sep07 Aug10 (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00    
PAL CAL Oct21 Jul27 Jul15 May07 Apr07 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
MEROCKETMAN Oct28 Oct12 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 (shuchman allan)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
WHO YOU SAY I AM Oct28 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (smith r)CORA D 124 10.00    
SHADOW BOAT Oct28 Sep01 Aug10 Jul07 Jun17 (bobadilla f)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00    
BOSSY CAT Nov04 Oct21 Aug17 Jul28 Jun10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00    
VISHNU Nov04 Oct05 Sep22 Aug31 Aug12 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 3.00    
EDICT (ARG) Nov04 Oct21 Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
AUTOMATE Oct21 May26 May11 Apr20 Jan19 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BOPPIN ANDA WEAVIN Oct15 Sep30 Sep24 Sep16 Aug19 (gorham mich)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
11  DEVOTED KITTEN Oct21 Oct05 Sep01 Aug21 Jul09 (moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 10% 9.00    
 
PEN-4   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTORIOUS REY Oct14 Sep21 Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 (o'hearn heath)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
SUIT OF ARMOR Oct20 Oct08 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
AGGRANDIZE Nov02 Oct19 Sep30 Sep08 Aug22 (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50    
SCR  FREEDOM'S START Nov02 Oct18 Oct04 Sep09 Aug24 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00 8% 12.00    
BUFF AND SHINE Nov02 Oct14 Sep07 Aug24 Jul21 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00    
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Oct09 Sep15 Aug31     (carpio erin)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 6.00    
 
PEN-5   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPMASTER Oct18 Oct04 Sep09 Aug19 Jun17 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
READY AND RICH Oct11 Sep15 Aug26 Jul21 Jun15 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00    
HASHTAG WINNING Oct25 Oct04 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 11% 8.50    
BOURBON FRONTIER Aug14 Jun25 May28 May08 Apr22 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
COUSTEAU Sep04 Jul04 Jun04 Apr07 Mar20 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
CAJUN MANDATE Oct05 Aug20 Aug05 Jul24 Jul04 (avila carl)OCASIO M 119 10.00    
 
PEN-6   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET AND MACHA Oct19 Sep16 Aug12 Jul28 Jun24 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
BRUNELLA Nov04 Aug27 Jul31 Jul10 Jun02 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
TAPIT'S GIRL Nov04 Oct14 Aug30 Aug21 Jul03 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
KNICKERSINATWIST Nov02 Oct12 Sep16     (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
GUSSIE'S NOTION Apr29 Apr06 Jan28     (shea lydee)CORA D 120 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S DREAM Oct14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul08 May26 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
ROSES FROM HEAVEN Nov04 Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 Aug12 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
HIGHTIME VALENTINE Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Jun01 Apr11 (castillo michel)OCASIO M 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
PEN-7   11/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORN JEANS Oct20 Sep23 Aug27 Jul09 Jun12 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00    
ORIGINALY FROM DOT Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun11 (moreno tito)CHIAPPE R 124 4.50    
HILL VALLEY Nov01 Sep09 Apr29 Apr08 Mar09 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 Jun16 May25 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00    
LIMONATA Nov01 Oct17 Sep29 Sep22 Sep08 (boyer jr)CORA D 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
FLOWER'S FORTUNE Mar22 Mar04 Feb16 Jan22 Jan01 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-8   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMSON LILLE Oct15 Sep08 Aug31 Jul01 Jan10 (deiter kell)VARGAS L 124 10.00    
SOULSTONE Oct21 Sep22 Aug27 Aug15 Aug06 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
MS KAYS COWGIRL Nov04 Oct11 Aug31 Aug12 Jun23 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 7% 14.00    
CEETA Nov04 Oct11 Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
CIRCLE OF COURAGE Nov04 Oct06 Sep23 Aug26 Jul21 (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 15% 5.70    
SCR  ALL THE WAY MAE Nov04 Oct21 Aug24 Aug12 Jun24 (deiter kelly )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00    
RESPLENDENT IDEA Nov01 Sep23       (albright amy)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.