Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Tuesday - October 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MARTINKELLY 2 1 1nk 13   15½ 13½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 14% 6.40 1.10 W
5  HASHTAG WINNING 5 5 44 44   25½ 23½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 34% 1.90 2.50 P
4  FIRE DOWN BELOW 4 2 54½ 58½   58½ 36 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 ★ 10.20 S
1  CANT STOP THIS MAN 1 3 2nk 33½   36 46¾ (ramirez silvi)PANAIJO JORGE 120 5.00 ★ 4.50  
3  SOUTH SEA 3 4 32 23   46 511½ (rodriguez )ROWLAND MADELINE 115 2.50 30% 2.30 4.50  
 
PEN-2   10/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:133 1:422   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPECTACULLARI 6 6 68 57 31½ 14½ 15¼ (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 38% 1.60 3.20 W
1  TROPICALDEPRESSION 1 5 45 67¼ 65 37½ 25¼ (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 4.00 13% 6.60 2.70 P
2  PSYCHE 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 24½ 36¾ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 15% 5.70 1.70 S
3  ARDEAN 3 2 32½ 34 44 49½ 415½ (bouchard lesl)PANAIJO JORGE 121 6.00 ★ 17.90  
5  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 5 4 55½ 46 54½ 610½ 519½ (flores-coba)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 6.00 10.20  
4  SHOYYOOKH 4 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 510 627 (carpio erin)CORA D 122 6.00 ★ 3.90  
 
PEN-3   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 7 4 41½ 2nk   1½ 15¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 11% 7.80 5.50 W
4  GANDI 4 1 2½ 1nk   2½ 25¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 ★ 12.30 P
5  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 5 7 31 31   34 38 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 0.70  
3  SPOOKY ONE 3 3 51½ 65   49 413½ (albright )VARGAS L 120 10.00 32.10  
2  BLUEBERRY MASH 2 6 710½ 77½   611 513½ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 19% 4.10 15.80  
8  MORNING MARCH 8 2 1½ 54½   510½ 619 (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 20.00 46.80  
6  DR ZRADA 6 5 63½ 44   7100 7100 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 122 3.00 32% 2.10 2.40  
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY               (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 5% 17.50    
 
PEN-4   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HIZAAM 3 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 12¼ (ramirez silvi)PANAIJO JORGE 122 3.00 ★ 1.30 DQ↓2
2  ROCKET BLAST 1 3 31½ 1nk   1nk 22¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 ★ 1.40  
3  KITTEN'S SOLUTION 2 1 1nk 31½   32½ 34¼ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 ★ 1.70 S
SCR  COURT AND SPARK               (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 70% 0.40    
SCR  HOORAY FOR HARVEY               (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIZ HANDSOME 2 1 11½ 11   13 16¾ (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 51% 1.00 0.70 W
5  SCARY LARRY 4 2 21½ 21   23 26¾ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 18% 4.60 1.80 P
1  MANUKA BOBBY 1 3 35 35   36 38½ (flores-coba)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 4.00 ★ 4.60 S
3  AMERICAN ROCKY 3 4 45½ 47½   411 414 (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 6.00 15.10  
7  IRON CLASH 5 5 512½ 511   514 517½ (cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00 19.70  
SCR  DOUBLE TIME BAY               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  LOYAL TO THE GAME               (graci a)CORA D 121 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   10/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:144 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKEY'S JEWEL 1 4 54½ 45 43 1nk 16 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★ 2.20  
5  SMOKIN CLASS 4 1 13 13½ 12 2nk 26 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00 6.70  
2  PRIDE IN THE BIZ 2 2 23 23½ 22 32 39 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.90 S
7  CREEDIBILITY 5 3 34 34 32½ 47½ 413 (brown howar)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 3.50 2.40  
3  TAYLOR'S BELLE 3 5 44½ 55½ 58 510 513¾ (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 117 3.00 10% 8.70 1.40  
SCR  CALL ME JELLY ROLL               (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  MIA ANGELINA               (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   10/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:133 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTI 1 4 32 31½ 2nk 1½ 13 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 56% 0.80 1.30 W
2  RISQUE REBEL 2 2 11½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 23 (arce josue)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 2.00 ★ 1.80 P
4  VITESSE 3 3 43 43½ 44¼ 37½ 39½ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 12% 7.30 1.50 S
5  BAVARIA 4 1 21½ 2½ 34 48½ 420¾ (rozell ron)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 ★ 22.40  
SCR  FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR               (englehart chri)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-8   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FATHEROFTHEBRIDES 6 3 11 13   12 11 (spina cha)VARGAS L 123 12.00 3.60  
5  JEKYLL ISLAND 5 2 33 33½   22 21 (stowers mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 ★ 8.00 P
4  ECLIPTICALS BEAR 4 6 43½ 23   34 36 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 ★ 0.60 S
1  FIFTH ELEMENT 1 5 67 610½   410 411¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 43% 1.30 7.60  
3  MISTER ARANGUIZ 3 4 55 510   512 520½ (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00 35.80  
2  ASK THE UMPIRE 2 1 21 49   616½ 628¾ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 26% 2.80 6.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.