Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Tuesday - October 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTINKELLY 2 1 1nk 13   1 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 14% 6.40 1.10 W
HASHTAG WINNING 5 5 44 44   2 2 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 34% 1.90 2.50 P
FIRE DOWN BELOW 4 2 5 5   5 36 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 10.20 S
CANT STOP THIS MAN 1 3 2nk 3   36 4 (ramirez silvino)PANAIJO JORGE 120 5.00 4.50  
SOUTH SEA 3 4 32 23   46 511½ (rodriguez da)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 2.50 30% 2.30 4.50  
 
PEN-2   10/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:133 1:422   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACULLARI 6 6 68 57 3 1 1 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 38% 1.60 3.20 W
TROPICALDEPRESSION 1 5 45 6 65 3 2 (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 4.00 13% 6.60 2.70 P
PSYCHE 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 2 3 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 15% 5.70 1.70 S
ARDEAN 3 2 3 34 44 4 415½ (bouchard leslye)PANAIJO JORGE 121 6.00 17.90  
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 5 4 5 46 5 610½ 519½ (flores-coba f)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 6.00 10.20  
SHOYYOOKH 4 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 510 627 (carpio erin)CORA D 122 6.00 3.90  
 
PEN-3   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 7 4 4 2nk   1½ 1 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 11% 7.80 5.50 W
GANDI 4 1 2½ 1nk   2½ 2 (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 12.30 P
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 5 7 31 31   34 38 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 0.70  
SPOOKY ONE 3 3 5 65   49 413½ (albright ge)VARGAS L 120 10.00 32.10  
BLUEBERRY MASH 2 6 710½ 7   611 513½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 19% 4.10 15.80  
MORNING MARCH 8 2 1½ 5   510½ 619 (gordon-watson a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 20.00 46.80  
DR ZRADA 6 5 6 44   7100 7100 (rodriguez miguel )BOWMAN ADAM 122 3.00 32% 2.10 2.40  
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY               (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 5% 17.50    
 
PEN-4   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIZAAM 3 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1 (ramirez silvino)PANAIJO JORGE 122 3.00 1.30 DQ↓2
ROCKET BLAST 1 3 3 1nk   1nk 2 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 1.40  
KITTEN'S SOLUTION 2 1 1nk 3   3 3 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 1.70 S
SCR  COURT AND SPARK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 70% 0.40    
SCR  HOORAY FOR HARVEY               (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00    
 
PEN-5   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ HANDSOME 2 1 1 11   13 1 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 51% 1.00 0.70 W
SCARY LARRY 4 2 2 21   23 2 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 18% 4.60 1.80 P
MANUKA BOBBY 1 3 35 35   36 3 (flores-coba f)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 4.00 4.60 S
AMERICAN ROCKY 3 4 4 4   411 414 (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 6.00 15.10  
IRON CLASH 5 5 512½ 511   514 517½ (cifarelli fran)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00 19.70  
SCR  DOUBLE TIME BAY               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
SCR  LOYAL TO THE GAME               (graci a)CORA D 121 8.00    
 
PEN-6   10/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:144 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKEY'S JEWEL 1 4 5 45 43 1nk 16 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 2.20  
SMOKIN CLASS 4 1 13 1 12 2nk 26 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00 6.70  
PRIDE IN THE BIZ 2 2 23 2 22 32 39 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.90 S
CREEDIBILITY 5 3 34 34 3 4 413 (brown howard )OCASIO JONATHAN 124 3.50 2.40  
TAYLOR'S BELLE 3 5 4 5 58 510 513¾ (rodriguez mig)RAMOS C 117 3.00 10% 8.70 1.40  
SCR  CALL ME JELLY ROLL               (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  MIA ANGELINA               (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00    
 
PEN-7   10/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:133 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTI 1 4 32 3 2nk 1½ 13 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 56% 0.80 1.30 W
RISQUE REBEL 2 2 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 23 (arce josue)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 2.00 1.80 P
VITESSE 3 3 43 4 4 3 3 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 12% 7.30 1.50 S
BAVARIA 4 1 2 2½ 34 4 420¾ (rozell ron)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 22.40  
SCR  FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR               (englehart chris)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50    
 
PEN-8   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATHEROFTHEBRIDES 6 3 11 13   12 11 (spina charl)VARGAS L 123 12.00 3.60  
JEKYLL ISLAND 5 2 33 3   22 21 (stowers michel)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 8.00 P
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 4 6 4 23   34 36 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 0.60 S
FIFTH ELEMENT 1 5 67 610½   410 411¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 43% 1.30 7.60  
MISTER ARANGUIZ 3 4 55 510   512 520½ (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00 35.80  
ASK THE UMPIRE 2 1 21 49   616½ 628¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 26% 2.80 6.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.