Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - October 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANT STOP THIS MAN Sep14 Sep02 Aug19 Jul18 Jul05 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 ★    
2  MARTINKELLY Sep14 Aug19 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 14% 6.40    
3  SOUTH SEA Sep28 Aug06 Jul22 Jun05 May17 (rodriguez da)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  FIRE DOWN BELOW Aug27 Jul16 May26 May12 Mar31 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 ★    
5  HASHTAG WINNING Oct04 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul06 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-2   10/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPICALDEPRESSION Oct11 Sep14 Aug26 Jun15 May19 (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 4.00 13% 6.60    
2  PSYCHE Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Apr06 Mar15 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 15% 5.70    
3  ARDEAN Sep23 Aug31 Aug02 Jun11 May25 (bouchard lesl)PANAIJO JORGE 121 6.00 ★    
4  SHOYYOOKH Oct12 Aug31 Aug18     (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 ★    
5  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Oct10 Sep23 Aug18 Jul27 Jun11 (flores-coba)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 6.00    
6  SPECTACULLARI Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 Apr20   (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-3   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY Sep14 Aug24 Jun24 Jun11 May21 (ippolito mark)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 5% 17.50    
2  BLUEBERRY MASH Oct04 Sep14 Aug18 Jul29   (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 19% 4.10    
3  SPOOKY ONE Oct07 Jun29 Jun03 May13 Apr28 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
4  GANDI Oct04 Sep20 Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 ★    
5  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Aug24 Aug12 Jun27 Jun03 May17 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00    
6  DR ZRADA Sep20 Sep06 Aug02 Jul19 Jul12 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Oct07 Sep02 Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
8  MORNING MARCH Oct05 Sep09 Aug24 Jul27 Jul08 (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 20.00    
 
PEN-4   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOORAY FOR HARVEY Oct11 Sep23 Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00 ★    
2  ROCKET BLAST Sep23 Aug10 Jul15 Jul06 Jun10 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 ★    
3  KITTEN'S SOLUTION Oct04 Sep09 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 ★    
SCR  COURT AND SPARK Sep21 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 70% 0.40    
5  HIZAAM Oct10 Sep19 Sep07 Aug26 Aug07 (ramirez s)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANUKA BOBBY Sep27 Sep12 Aug24 Jun30 Jun10 (flores-coba)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 4.00 ★    
2  TIZ HANDSOME Oct04 Aug29 Aug08 Jul24 Jun10 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
3  AMERICAN ROCKY Oct14 Sep17 Jul29 Jul15 Jul03 (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 6.00    
SCR  LOYAL TO THE GAME Oct04 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul23 (graci a)CORA D 121 8.00 ★    
5  SCARY LARRY Sep02 Aug24 Jul21 Jun11 May13 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  DOUBLE TIME BAY Oct04 Sep21 Aug18 Jul13 Jun17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 ★    
7  IRON CLASH Oct04 Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 Jul15 (cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00    
 
PEN-6   10/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKEY'S JEWEL Oct14 Oct05 Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★    
2  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Sep14 Aug26 Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAYLOR'S BELLE Oct14 Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 (rodriguez m)RAMOS C 117 3.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  CALL ME JELLY ROLL Oct14 Sep21 Sep07 Aug01   (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
5  SMOKIN CLASS Oct14 Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 Jul08 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
SCR  MIA ANGELINA Oct14 May19 Apr21 Apr06 Mar04 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 ★    
7  CREEDIBILITY Sep08 Aug30 Aug12 Jul27 Jul11 (brown howar)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 3.50    
 
PEN-7   10/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTI Oct06 Sep14 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 56% 0.80    
2  RISQUE REBEL Oct10 Sep21 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 (arce josue)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 2.00 ★    
SCR  FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 Jun14 (englehart chri)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 ★    
4  VITESSE Oct11 Sep16 Aug31 Jul27 Jun17 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
5  BAVARIA Oct07 Sep22 Sep07 Aug10 Jul29 (rozell ron)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIFTH ELEMENT Oct12 Sep07 Aug25 Jul20 Jul08 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  ASK THE UMPIRE Oct07 Apr08       (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  MISTER ARANGUIZ Oct07 Sep16 Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Jul28 Jul08 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 ★    
5  JEKYLL ISLAND Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul15 (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 ★    
6  FATHEROFTHEBRIDES Sep11 Jul30       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.