Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - October 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:152     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LAUREN 4 4 31 2nk   1½ 1 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 42% 1.40 0.60 W
HOOK THE CHAIN 2 5 4 31   2½ 2 (boggs joanna)LIMA FELINO 113 2.00 19% 4.20 3.40 P
CEDAR RUN'S FIRE 5 2 1nk 1nk   3 312½ (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 14.00 S
VIEDMA 3 3 69 57   512½ 415½ (greaves verno)ADAMS L 108 10.00 27.10  
DIVA GAL 6 6 5 4   47 515½ (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 6.00 8.30  
CURVE APPEAL 1 1 2nk 6   614 618¼ (rofe jean)RAMGEET R 120 3.00 14% 6.30 4.40  
 
CT-2   10/06/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:221 :462       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP ON SPURRIN 5 1 21     22 1 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 6.00 4.30  
SING A LULLABYE 4 2 11     12 2 (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 2.00 2.30 P
LET'S DO THIS 1 4 34     35 37 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.50 23% 3.30 3.40 S
CASTLE TOY 2 3 4     47 4 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 27.10  
ISLE BE THERE 3 5 520½     520 516 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 53% 0.90 1.10  
SCR  XANTHE               (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRINGALE 6 4 11 1nk   11 13 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 1.90  
POSITIVE PHIL 5 5 31 3.2   21 23 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 22% 3.50 3.60 P
WALK THE BANK 3 1 4 4   4 3 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 118 15.00 24.30  
KING NEKIA 2 6 6 5   54 47 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.50 4.40  
LOST IN MANHATTAN 4 2 56 6   68 5 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 13% 6.90 8.80  
PROTA 1 3 21 2nk   3 610 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.80 29% 2.50 2.00  
 
CT-4   10/06/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :474       :544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LECTRIC ROD 2 8 5     4 1nk (mcgill sylvester)CECIL Y 122 8.00 11% 8.40 5.80 W
MODELO RUBIA 7 1 2½     1½ 2nk (maldonado j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 35% 1.80 6.10 P
HOVEL 6 4 6     6 3 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 6.10  
JOYS LANDING 1 7 3½     3 4 (lyster s)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 7.00  
SUPER WICKED 5 2 1½     2½ 53 (carson laura)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 5.00  
DREAM OF GOLD 4 6 7     7 6 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 3.50 23% 3.30 3.30  
BLUE AGAVE 3 5 4¾     55 710½ (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00 6.70  
BEAUTIFUL MICHELLE 8 3 8     812½ 815¾ (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00 11% 8.40 6.50  
 
CT-5   10/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:253 :504 1:16 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUBURN MILL 2 1 1 12 11 12 1¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 3.60  
JAMMIN JIMTOWN 6 7 7 7 42 22 2¾ (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 12% 7.30 3.90 P
MOTI 3 6 65 5 21 3 3 (o'callahan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 53% 0.90 3.40 S
NORTHERN RIDGE 1 2 3 33 53 610 412½ (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.80 13% 6.90 1.30  
MY CANDY BIZ 4 4 2 22 32 49 514¼ (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00 33.30  
RRACE DAY WARRIOR 7 3 54 6 6 510 615¼ (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 10.30  
WATERLOO ROSE 5 5 44 4 7 720 736¾ (tobin l)ADAMS L 107 50.00 47.40  
 
CT-6   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:154     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IHEARTRAINACOMN 1 1 42 32   1nk 1 (dillon jacob)MARRERO CARLOS 121 6.00 7% 12.60 4.90 W
JUJU ON DA BEAT 3 3 53 6   3 2 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 121 3.50 30% 2.30 3.40 P
ALLI BOBBY 6 6 6 5   6 36 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 121 8.00 6% 16.30 3.60 S
WEAVINYOUINTHEDUST 2 2 11 2nk   2nk 4 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 2.00 2.60  
TAPTAP 7 7 7 7   7 59 (pyke joseph)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 10.00 7.10  
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE 4 4 21 1nk   5 611 (johnson jamey)ADAMS L 114 2.50 35% 1.80 4.20  
ROO 5 5 32 4   4 712½ (mcclure l)LARROSA G 121 30.00 68.90  
SCR  FIRED UP               (murphy jef)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00    
 
CT-7   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERSONABLE 5 5 2 4   32 1 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 5.00 3.50  
JUBA BOUND 4 4 1 1nk   1½ 2 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.50 27% 2.70 3.60 P
ENTRY TIME 6 6 3 2nk   2½ 34 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 7% 13.50 3.20 S
MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE 7 7 55 32   4 4 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00 4.50  
DUKE OF CORK 1 3 4 6   614½ 519 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 22.50  
THUNDER KITTEN 2 2 6 57   513½ 619½ (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.50  
AIR MEDAL 3 1 716¼ 724½   730½ 749¾ (pickett g)CULLUM W 118 10.00 33.90  
 
CT-8   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU BILLY 2 3 3 4   1nk 1¾ (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 19% 4.40 4.10 W
ISLAND D'LITE 7 5 2½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 36% 1.80 1.20 P
TREJO 3 2 1½ 2nk   36 3 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 5.90  
GABRIEL'S WING 4 6 5 3.2   4 411¼ (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00 2.80  
TAKE AIM 6 7 7 610¼   713¼ 519 (jones e)CULLUM W 122 12.00 45.80  
TO THE TOP 5 4 6 710¼   512¾ 619 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 65.00  
TIZNOW TIME 1 1 4 5   613¼ 725½ (covello and)RAMGEET R 122 20.00 29.20  
MONEYFORNOTHING 8 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 8.70  
SCR  CHROME HEIR               (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ONLY GET'N BETTER               (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.