Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - October 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURVE APPEAL Aug05 Jul15 May28 Apr22 Mar17 (rofe jean)RAMGEET R 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
HOOK THE CHAIN Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (boggs joanna)LIMA FELINO 113 2.00 19% 4.20    
VIEDMA Sep10 Aug25 Jun24 May28   (greaves verno)ADAMS L 108 10.00    
MISS LAUREN Sep15 May25 May13 Apr21   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
CEDAR RUN'S FIRE Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Jul22 Jul15 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
DIVA GAL Sep10 Aug06 Jun18 May28   (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 6.00    
 
CT-2   10/06/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S DO THIS Sep02 Aug12 Jul22     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
CASTLE TOY Sep23         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
ISLE BE THERE         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
SING A LULLABYE Sep23 Sep02       (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 2.00    
KEEP ON SPURRIN Sep17         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
SCR  XANTHE Sep23         (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTA Aug27 Jul16 Jun03 May12 Mar31 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.80 29% 2.50    
KING NEKIA Aug27 Aug04 Jul16 May26 May12 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.50    
WALK THE BANK Sep14 Aug27 Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
LOST IN MANHATTAN Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 Jun08 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
POSITIVE PHIL Sep07 Aug18 Jun28 Jun14 May30 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
TRINGALE Sep09 Jul14 Jun24 May06 Apr13 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
 
CT-4   10/06/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYS LANDING Sep16 Aug30       (lyster s)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
LECTRIC ROD         (mcgill sylvester)CECIL Y 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
BLUE AGAVE Sep16         (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00    
DREAM OF GOLD         (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
SUPER WICKED Sep16 Aug27 Aug05     (carson laura)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00    
HOVEL Sep15 Aug27       (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
MODELO RUBIA         (maldonado j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
BEAUTIFUL MICHELLE         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
CT-5   10/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN RIDGE Sep29 Aug20 Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.80 13% 6.90    
AUBURN MILL Sep15 Aug27 Jul14 Jun25 Jun09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
MOTI Sep14 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun22 (o'callahan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
MY CANDY BIZ Sep08 Aug18 Jul09 Jun16 May25 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
WATERLOO ROSE Sep21 Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 (tobin l)ADAMS L 107 50.00    
JAMMIN JIMTOWN Aug27 Jul14 Jun04 May11 Apr21 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Sep10 Aug20 Jul14 May18 Apr29 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
 
CT-6   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IHEARTRAINACOMN Sep10 Sep01 Aug11 Jul30 Jul15 (dillon jacob)MARRERO CARLOS 121 6.00 7% 12.60    
WEAVINYOUINTHEDUST Sep24 Aug19 Jul07 May28 Apr22 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 2.00    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Sep10 Aug25 Aug19 Jul15 Jul07 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Sep22         (johnson jamey)ADAMS L 114 2.50 35% 1.80    
ROO Sep24 Aug19 Jul07 May27 May13 (mcclure l)LARROSA G 121 30.00    
ALLI BOBBY Sep10 Jul30 Apr29     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 121 8.00 6% 16.30    
TAPTAP Sep22 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 Jun18 (pyke joseph)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 10.00    
SCR  FIRED UP Sep10 Apr29       (murphy jef)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00    
 
CT-7   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF CORK Sep22 Sep07 Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
THUNDER KITTEN Sep23 Sep09 Aug11 Jul23 Jul08 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
AIR MEDAL Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 May28 (pickett g)CULLUM W 118 10.00    
JUBA BOUND Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 Jun04 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
PERSONABLE Sep16 Jul29       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 5.00    
ENTRY TIME Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 Jun30 Jun04 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 7% 13.50    
MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Sep16 Aug29 Jul16 Jun18 May21 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00    
 
CT-8   10/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZNOW TIME Sep16         (covello and)RAMGEET R 122 20.00    
MALIBU BILLY         (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 19% 4.40    
TREJO Aug28 Jul24 Jul03 Jun24 May21 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
GABRIEL'S WING Sep16 Sep07 Aug09 Jul18   (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00    
TO THE TOP Sep16 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
SCR  CHROME HEIR Sep17         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 6.00 25% 3.00    
TAKE AIM         (jones e)CULLUM W 122 12.00    
ISLAND D'LITE Sep16 Sep05       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
MONEYFORNOTHING         (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
SCR  ONLY GET'N BETTER         (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.