Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTKISSMYGRITS 6 1 1½     1 1 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 3.10  
DIMITRI'S ROMANCE 5 2 33     2 2 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 122 5.00 3.10 P
MAKE IT A DOUBLE 3 6 54     3 3 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 117 10.00 9% 10.60 5.40 S
R TRUE SENSATION 4 4 65     610 4 (downs leonard )MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 18% 4.50 3.50  
MS BIG SPRING 1 3 2½     4 5 (badillo jo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.80 43% 1.30 3.10  
COMFORTABLE CAT 2 5 4     5 612¼ (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 8.60  
 
CT-2   09/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:15     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARNOUGHT 6 6 3 32   1nk 16 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 29% 2.50 4.00 W
JAXJAXXORJACKS 2 2 2 2½   2nk 26 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 25% 2.90 2.20 P
MASTER THIS 3 3 612¼ 610   6 3 (tobin l)ADAMS L 112 10.00 23% 3.30 2.70 S
IN JUBALATION 5 5 4 53   4 411 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 5.80  
STRONG LIL KOKORO 1 1 5 43   5 512 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 6.80  
OBANNON 4 4 1 1½   3 616½ (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 118 4.00 5.20  
 
CT-3   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23 :481       :543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY SPARROW 2 4 34     33 1¼ (myers larry)CECIL Y 121 30.00 23.40  
REAL APPEAL (GER) 1 5 55     4 2¼ (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 6% 15.90 1.00 P
POWER SONDE 4 2 2     2 31 (bourne lori)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 9% 9.80 3.70 S
WAGER WORTHY 5 1 1     1 4 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.50 6% 14.90 1.80  
CEDAR RUN'S FIRE 3 3 44     55 5 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 6.50  
SCR  EMBERLY               (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 0.60 55% 0.80    
SCR  MARLEESBEEBEE               (bowman d)LIMA FELINO 113 30.00    
 
CT-4   09/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:143     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEG UP 8 7 4 3   1½ 15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.00 1.50  
CHARITABLY GIFTED 3 1 1 2nk   2½ 25 (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 112 3.50 15% 5.50 3.30 P
DUKE OF CORK 4 5 66 5   3 3 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00 14% 6.00 11.40 S
MEGALODON'SREVENGE 7 8 7 6   54 47 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 30.00 33.60  
S S ALASKAN CRUZ 1 3 8 8   67 5 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.50 12.80  
CEDAR RUNS CASTLE 2 2 32 1nk   4 614 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.00 48% 1.10 3.00  
JUBA JUNIOR 6 6 2 4   88 723¼ (boggs joan)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 115 12.00 11.30  
FOURDIAMONDSPLEASE 5 4 54 78   7 824¼ (pennell)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 15.00 11.40  
 
CT-5   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:223 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMONSONDESURPRISE 1 5 1½     13 1 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 115 1.40 33% 2.00 0.90 W
SIENTE LA BRISA 8 1 3     33 2 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 6.70  
JUBA BABY 6 4 2½     23 32 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 32% 2.10 3.20 S
KNOBIESMAGICSONDE 3 6 7     7 4 (johnson jamey)ADAMS L 114 5.00 13% 6.60 6.50  
PRETTY CASTLE 7 3 5     45 56 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 14.90  
TAPTAP 5 7 88     8 67 (pyke joseph)LIMA FELINO 117 6.00 18.80  
PIPERS GOLD 4 2 4     58 714 (daniel o)RIOS-CONDE A 117 10.00 17.60  
BOWMANS LAZY GIRL 2 8 6     69 814 (bowman d)RODRIGUEZ V 124 50.00 41.50  
 
CT-6   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:22 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMAL DESTINY 6 1 1     13 12 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 0.20 60% 0.70 0.10 W
INSIDE RISK 4 6 74     3 22 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 24.90 P
RULING 1 5 2     23 33 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 7.70 S
FREEDOM IS RINGING 3 4 4     4 4 (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 12.00 35.80  
KUKULKAN (MEX) 7 2 5     7 512 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 47.50  
TANELEER 5 3 32     69 613¼ (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 30.00 39.60  
HEY CONGRATS 2 7 63     58 713¼ (brown ron)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 15% 5.70 8.00  
 
CT-7   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:223 :47       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THELADYISTRUE 5 3 5     5 1¾ (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 115 3.00 2.40  
RIVER REWARDS RVF 6 1 2½     2nk 2¾ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 12% 7.00 3.70 P
COUSIN WINNIE 1 5 42     31 3¾ (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 34% 1.90 1.80 S
ELLIES LIL CASTLE 2 6 1½     1nk 4 (casey w)LARROSA G 122 3.50 15% 5.60 5.80  
JUBA'S HOUSE 4 2 3½     4 54 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00 5.50  
GOT ANY 3 4 6     6 65 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 16.10  
 
CT-8   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:222 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLF CREEK PASS 2 5 12     11 11 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.50 3.50  
SKYFLY 1 6 22     21 21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 61% 0.60 1.20 P
11  MISS COREY 7 3 44     3 3 (badillo jona)BATISTA A 118 6.00 4.40  
GRAM'S GAL 6 2 55     46 4 (pennella rhe)MORALES KELVIN 122 8.00 8.80  
AWESOME INCENTIVE 4 7 6     67 56 (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 12.00 16.40  
13  LUNAR NOTION 8 1 34     56 6 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 118 12.00 6.00  
HOLIDAY CONNECTION 5 4 710     79 7 (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 12.00 29.50  
BETTER BOAT 3 8 812½     813½ 814¼ (downie loffli)ADAMS L 110 30.00 30.30  
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT               (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00    
SCR  LEAH'S LEGACY               (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  LUCKY US               (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 6% 16.60    
SCR  MISSING MY POINT               (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
SCR  SALTY SAUL               (mancilla ca)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50    
SCR  SUPERSNAKE               (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.