Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS BIG SPRING Aug13 Jul22 Jun18 May13 Apr07 (badillo jo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
2  COMFORTABLE CAT Aug08 Jul12       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
3  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Sep01 Jul22 Jun10 May19 Mar26 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00 9% 10.60    
4  R TRUE SENSATION Sep04 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jun10 (downs leonard )MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  DIMITRI'S ROMANCE Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jul08 Mar17 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 122 5.00 ★    
6  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Sep02 Jun23 May25 Apr29 Apr08 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 ★    
 
CT-2   09/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG LIL KOKORO Aug05 Jul23 May27 May05 Apr20 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 6.00 ★    
2  JAXJAXXORJACKS Sep07 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 May27 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
3  MASTER THIS Aug27 May27 May05 Apr20 Apr02 (tobin l)ADAMS L 112 10.00 23% 3.30    
4  OBANNON Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 118 4.00    
5  IN JUBALATION Apr27         (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 ★    
6  FEARNOUGHT Aug23 Aug09 Jul30 Jun09 Apr23 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
CT-3   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMBERLY Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 Jun02 Feb10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 0.60 55% 0.80    
2  REAL APPEAL (GER) Sep15 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
3  LADY SPARROW Sep02 Aug06 Jun18 May25 May11 (myers larry)CECIL Y 121 30.00 ★    
4  CEDAR RUN'S FIRE Sep02 Aug18 Jul22 Jul15 Jun18 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
5  POWER SONDE Aug25 Jul21 Jul02 May25 Apr28 (bourne lori)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  MARLEESBEEBEE Jun18 May23 May11 Mar26 Mar05 (bowman d)LIMA FELINO 113 30.00    
7  WAGER WORTHY Sep02 Aug12 Jul28 Jul07 May27 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.50 6% 14.90    
 
CT-4   09/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Sep07 Jul22 Jun04 May12 Mar10 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.50 ★    
2  CEDAR RUNS CASTLE Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
3  CHARITABLY GIFTED Sep09 Jul08 Jun18 Apr16 Mar19 (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 112 3.50 15% 5.50    
4  DUKE OF CORK Sep07 Aug27 Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
5  FOURDIAMONDSPLEASE Sep09 Aug05 Jul08 Jun09 May28 (pennell)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 15.00    
6  JUBA JUNIOR Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 Apr23 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00 ★    
7  MEGALODON'SREVENGE Jul22 Jun30 Jun04 May25 Apr14 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 30.00    
8  LEG UP Sep07 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun11 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.00    
 
CT-5   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun09 May19 (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.40 33% 2.00    
2  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 May12 (bowman d)RODRIGUEZ V 124 50.00    
3  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE         (johnson jamey)ADAMS L 114 5.00 13% 6.60    
4  PIPERS GOLD Sep06 Aug24 Aug14 Jul28   (daniel joh)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 10.00    
5  TAPTAP Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 Jun18 May28 (pyke joseph)LIMA FELINO 117 6.00 ★    
6  JUBA BABY         (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  PRETTY CASTLE Sep07 Aug19 Jul30 Jul21   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 ★    
8  SIENTE LA BRISA Sep01 Aug19 Jul21 Jun30   (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
 
CT-6   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULING Sep01 Aug11 Jun09 May26 May13 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 ★    
2  HEY CONGRATS Aug11 Jul28 Jun25 Jun10 May20 (brown ron)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
3  FREEDOM IS RINGING Jul08 Apr27 Mar23 Mar03 Feb18 (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 12.00 ★    
4  INSIDE RISK Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 Jun25 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 ★    
5  TANELEER Sep08 Aug20 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
6  PRIMAL DESTINY Aug28 Jul28 Jul08 Jun09 May13 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 0.20 60% 0.70    
7  KUKULKAN (MEX) Sep08 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul08 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN WINNIE Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 May28 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Sep09 Jul28 Jul01 Apr27 Apr09 (casey w)LARROSA G 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
3  GOT ANY Sep12 Aug19 Jul27 Jun08 May14 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 ★    
4  JUBA'S HOUSE Sep09 Jul30 Jun04 Apr27 Apr09 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.00    
5  THELADYISTRUE Sep09 Aug18 Jul23 Jun11 May21 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 ★    
6  RIVER REWARDS RVF Aug06 Jun10 May19 Apr20 Mar18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 12% 7.00    
 
CT-8   09/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY US Aug13 Jun25 Jun11 May26 Apr30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 6% 16.60    
2  SKYFLY Sep03 Aug27       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
3  WOLF CREEK PASS         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.50 ★    
4  BETTER BOAT Sep01 Jul28 Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 (downie loffli)ADAMS L 110 30.00    
SCR  LEAH'S LEGACY Sep11 Aug05 Jul13 Jun04 Apr08 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
6  AWESOME INCENTIVE May07 Apr21 Mar16 Feb17 Jan28 (mckee d)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 12.00    
7  HOLIDAY CONNECTION Sep01 Aug13 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 12.00    
8  GRAM'S GAL Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul14 Jun25 (pennella rhe)MORALES KELVIN 122 8.00    
SCR  MISSING MY POINT Sep03 Feb17 Jan27     (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  SUPERSNAKE Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 Jul16 (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
11  MISS COREY Aug20 Aug10 Jul01 Jun11 Apr21 (badillo jona)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
SCR  SALTY SAUL Aug31 Aug13 Jul29 Jul14 Jul01 (mancilla ca)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50    
13  LUNAR NOTION Jul21 Jul08 Jun18 May27 May06 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 118 12.00    
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT Jul30 Jun23 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.