Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :451       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENGUIN POWER 1 3 2½     1½ 1 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 1.40  
NICO 3 5 4     3 2 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.40 P
HYPOTHESIS 2 4 3     4 3 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 125 1.80 28% 2.60 1.40 S
JEFFERSON NATIVE 5 1 1½     2½ 4 (dollinger-sth)RAMGEET R 120 6.00 8.50  
GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 4 2 5     5 512½ (pickett crystal)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 6% 16.60 20.10  
 
CT-2   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:144     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 2 1 1 12   1nk 11 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 1.80  
RAVIOLI MAMA 3 4 3 22   2nk 21 (scott l)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.00 P
OFFLEE GRAYSFUL 5 5 5 3   33 3 (ovando m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 3.60  
BOCA BIRDIE 7 6 8 811¼   8 4 (pickett g)CULLUM W 122 12.00 25.70  
HUMMIN' THE FUNK 4 3 4 7   56 5 (capuano dale)RAMGEET R 122 4.00 55% 0.80 2.60  
FASHION ICON 8 7 6 5   45 68 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 4.90  
I B NASTY 1 2 2 4   6 713½ (racanelli m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 11.00  
WANTA BALLERINA 6 8 7 6   7 815 (lucas ant)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00 78.50  
 
CT-3   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:221 :462       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNIN RUNNER 2 5 4     3 1¼ (rodriguez angel)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 17% 4.80 12.70 W
STRONG WILLED 4 1 2nk     1nk 2¼ (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 20% 4.00 4.10 P
SAIL ON BREEZE 3 3 1nk     2nk 3 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 42% 1.40 0.20 S
CAT WITH A NOTION 5 2 3.2     4 410 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 26.10  
PURE NONSENSE 1 4 5     510½ 513¼ (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 12.20  
 
CT-4   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:222 :461       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYMENGOLD 6 1 2nk     1nk 13 (johnson c)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 23.60  
XCELLENT START 5 2 32     3 23 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 28% 2.60 2.30 P
JUBA'S NOTION 3 3 4     42 35 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.00 29% 2.40 1.90 S
LORD OF CORK 2 4 55     55 4 (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00 16.70  
TEACHINTHERELEASE 4 5 1nk     2nk 5 (casey a)LARROSA G 120 2.50 22% 3.50 1.30  
AREYOUGONNAKISSME 1 6 68     6 611½ (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 23.00  
 
CT-5   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:223 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE IS MIKE 6 2 12     1 15 (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 7% 13.90 13.90 W
HESFIREDUP 3 3 22     2 25 (wohlers laura)LARROSA G 122 6.00 5.90  
CHROME HEIR 7 1 6     59 3 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 44% 1.30 0.80 S
ALL ABOUT LUCKY 2 6 32     35 48 (rodriguez angel)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00 3.50  
MO EH HENNESSY 4 4 4     4 513¾ (farrior )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 8.50  
MALIBU ROCK STAR 1 7 5     610 613¾ (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 10.70  
CHET'S PACKIN HEAT 5 5 79     713 723¾ (malgarini mawing )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 7% 13.90 25.20  
SCR  KLIMT O'MATIC               (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 7% 13.90    
 
CT-6   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:124     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMO DOCTOR 7 1 4 31   1½ 1 (klesaris robe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 3.00 DQ↓2
JUNGLE BEAST 5 7 3 5   2½ 2 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.00 40% 1.50 0.60 W
HUMPTY GRUMPTY 3 6 52 4   41 3 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 9.50  
SHAMELESS RISK 1 2 21 2nk   3½ 46 (brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 29% 2.50 5.30  
AKINGISALWAYSKING 4 4 7 7   53 510 (ovando m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 52.00  
E J'S REVENGE 6 5 63 6   6 611½ (murtaugh andr)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 25.00  
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 2 3 11 1nk   7 718½ (mangual manolo)MORALES KELVIN 124 15.00 24.20  
SCR  SAN ANTONE               (magee kieron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00    
SCR  YES SIR ROBERT               (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
 
CT-7   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY INVASION 7 8 7 79 4 1nk 1 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 8% 12.10 2.00 W
FANCY CONCHO 4 5 31 4 3 3 2 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 15% 5.60 4.80 P
NO CHANGE 5 4 4 3 1nk 2nk 3 (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 51% 1.00 2.70 S
ISHIHARA 2 1 5 57 5 5 412 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 4.80  
MARTIN MAN 1 2 8 8 7 6 519¾ (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 17.00  
HERO'S MAN 6 6 2nk 1½ 2nk 4 622 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 6.00 6% 15.50 7.80  
COMMAND THE CAT 3 3 1nk 2½ 6 710¼ 724 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 15.20  
ROAD SLEW 8 7 6 6 8 812¾ 824¼ (perez ern)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00 23.20  
 
CT-8   09/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:144     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARZ EXPRESS 6 6 2nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (farrior anthony)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 33.90  
11  JUBA'S PARADE 10 10 8 33   2nk 2½ (casey joh)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00 12.80  
AMELIA'S DREAM 4 5 66 7   5 3 (runco jeff )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 10.40 S
10  JACKYSINTHECASTLE 9 8 10 9   7 46 (casey w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 48.00  
LIVANA 7 7 7 4   34 5 (figgins ollie )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 8% 10.80 2.20  
BOUNDTOBEGREAT 1 1 1nk 2nk   4 610½ (casey a)LARROSA G 122 6.00 10.70  
IMPRESSIONISM 2 2 5 8   9 711 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 35% 1.90 1.70  
KEEP ON SPURRIN 3 4 34 5   6 812¼ (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 11.70  
APPEALING ROAD 5 3 4 6   8 913¼ (perez ernesto)RAMGEET R 122 30.00 80.70  
PATTI BLUE EYES 8 9 9 1010¼   1014¾ 1034¼ (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 31% 2.30 5.70  
SCR  LET'S DO THIS               (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.