The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Charles Town
Saturday - September 17, 2022
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CT-1   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
:221 :451       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENGUIN POWER 1 3 2½     1½ 12½ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 ★ 1.40  
3  NICO 3 5 42½     31½ 22½ (contreras javier)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.40 P
2  HYPOTHESIS 2 4 31½     41½ 33¾ (pickett g)MONTANO JOSE 125 1.80 28% 2.60 1.40 S
5  JEFFERSON NATIVE 5 1 1½     2½ 44¾ (dollinger-sthr linda)RAMGEET R 120 6.00 ★ 8.50  
4  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 4 2 54½     57½ 512½ (pickett g)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 6% 16.60 20.10  
 
CT-2   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
:241 :482 1:144     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 2 1 11½ 12   1nk 11 (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 ★ 1.80  
3  RAVIOLI MAMA 3 4 31½ 22   2nk 21 (scott l)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.00 P
5  OFFLEE GRAYSFUL 5 5 52¾ 35½   33 32½ (ovando moises)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 3.60  
7  BOCA BIRDIE 7 6 88¾ 811¼   87¾ 46¾ (pickett g)CULLUM W 122 12.00 25.70  
4  HUMMIN' THE FUNK 4 3 42½ 76¼   56 57½ (capuano dale)RAMGEET R 122 4.00 55% 0.80 2.60  
8  FASHION ICON 8 7 64¾ 55¾   45 68 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 ★ 4.90  
1  I B NASTY 1 2 21½ 45½   66¼ 713½ (racanelli j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 ★ 11.00  
6  WANTA BALLERINA 6 8 75¼ 65¾   77¾ 815 (lucas anthony)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00 78.50  
 
CT-3   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 8:02
:221 :462       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LIGHTNIN RUNNER 2 5 41¾     31½ 1¼ (rodriguez m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 17% 4.80 12.70 W
4  STRONG WILLED 4 1 2nk     1nk 2¼ (farrior anthony)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 20% 4.00 4.10 P
3  SAIL ON BREEZE 3 3 1nk     2nk 33¾ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 42% 1.40 0.20 S
5  CAT WITH A NOTION 5 2 3.2     44½ 410 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 ★ 26.10  
1  PURE NONSENSE 1 4 52¼     510½ 513¼ (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 ★ 12.20  
 
CT-4   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
:222 :461       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PAYMENGOLD 6 1 2nk     1nk 13 (johnson c)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 ★ 23.60  
5  XCELLENT START 5 2 32     31½ 23 (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 28% 2.60 2.30 P
3  JUBA'S NOTION 3 3 42½     42 35 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.00 29% 2.40 1.90 S
2  LORD OF CORK 2 4 55     55 46¼ (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00 ★ 16.70  
4  TEACHINTHERELEASE 4 5 1nk     2nk 57¼ (casey a)LARROSA G 120 2.50 22% 3.50 1.30  
1  AREYOUGONNAKISSME 1 6 68     68½ 611½ (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 23.00  
 
CT-5   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 9:02
:223 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WHERE IS MIKE 6 2 12     14½ 15 (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 7% 13.90 13.90 W
4  HESFIREDUP 3 3 22     24½ 25 (wohlers laura)LARROSA G 122 6.00 5.90  
8  CHROME HEIR 7 1 68½     59 36½ (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 44% 1.30 0.80 S
3  ALL ABOUT LUCKY 2 6 32     35 48 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00 3.50  
5  MO EH HENNESSY 4 4 42½     48½ 513¾ (farrior anthony)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 8.50  
1  MALIBU ROCK STAR 1 7 57½     610 613¾ (viands r)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 ★ 10.70  
6  CHET'S PACKIN HEAT 5 5 79     713 723¾ (malgarini tin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 7% 13.90 25.20  
SCR  KLIMT O'MATIC               (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 7% 13.90    
 
CT-6   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:234 :473 1:124     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DEMO DOCTOR 7 1 41½ 31   1½ 13¼ (klesaris p)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 ★ 3.00 DQ↓2
6  JUNGLE BEAST 5 7 31½ 51¼   2½ 23¼ (contreras javier)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.00 40% 1.50 0.60 W
4  HUMPTY GRUMPTY 3 6 52 41¼   41 33¾ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 9.50  
1  SHAMELESS RISK 1 2 21 2nk   3½ 46 (brown w)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 29% 2.50 5.30  
5  AKINGISALWAYSKING 4 4 75½ 74¼   53 510 (ovando moises)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 52.00  
7  E J'S REVENGE 6 5 63 62¾   63¼ 611½ (murtaugh j)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 25.00  
3  MISSIONSNINETYNINE 2 3 11 1nk   73¼ 718½ (mangual manolo)MORALES KELVIN 124 15.00 24.20  
SCR  SAN ANTONE               (magee kieron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  YES SIR ROBERT               (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 ★    
 
CT-7   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
:234 :472 1:121 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CANDY INVASION 7 8 78¼ 79 44½ 1nk 18½ (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 8% 12.10 2.00 W
4  FANCY CONCHO 4 5 31 42½ 31½ 32½ 28½ (grams c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 15% 5.60 4.80 P
5  NO CHANGE 5 4 41¼ 32½ 1nk 2nk 39¾ (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 51% 1.00 2.70 S
2  ISHIHARA 2 1 55¼ 57 54¾ 53¾ 412 (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 ★ 4.80  
1  MARTIN MAN 1 2 88½ 89½ 79¾ 69¾ 519¾ (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 17.00  
6  HERO'S MAN 6 6 2nk 1½ 2nk 43½ 622 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 6.00 6% 15.50 7.80  
3  COMMAND THE CAT 3 3 1nk 2½ 68¼ 710¼ 724 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 15.20  
8  ROAD SLEW 8 7 65¼ 67½ 89¾ 812¾ 824¼ (perez ernesto)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00 23.20  
 
CT-8   09/17/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT-10:32
:232 :473 1:144     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MARZ EXPRESS 6 6 2nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (farrior anthony)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 33.90  
11  JUBA'S PARADE 10 10 87¼ 33   2nk 2½ (casey a)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00 12.80  
4  AMELIA'S DREAM 4 5 66 75¼   54¾ 35½ (runco c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 ★ 10.40 S
10  JACKYSINTHECASTLE 9 8 108¾ 95¾   75¼ 46 (casey w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 48.00  
8  LIVANA 7 7 76¼ 43½   34 56½ (figgins l)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 8% 10.80 2.20  
1  BOUNDTOBEGREAT 1 1 1nk 2nk   44¼ 610½ (casey a)LARROSA G 122 6.00 10.70  
2  IMPRESSIONISM 2 2 55½ 85¼   96¾ 711 (runco c)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 35% 1.90 1.70  
3  KEEP ON SPURRIN 3 4 34 53¾   64¾ 812¼ (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 11.70  
5  APPEALING ROAD 5 3 44½ 64¼   86¼ 913¼ (perez ernesto)RAMGEET R 122 30.00 80.70  
9  PATTI BLUE EYES 8 9 98¼ 1010¼   1014¾ 1034¼ (farrior anthony)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 31% 2.30 5.70  
SCR  LET'S DO THIS               (pickett g)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.