Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENGUIN POWER Aug26 Jul16 Jun11 Apr23 Jan29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 ★    
2  HYPOTHESIS Aug26 Jul16 Jun11     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 125 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  NICO Aug26 Jul16 Jun11 Feb26 Jan26 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Jul16 Jul08 Jun17 Jun09 May26 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00 6% 16.60    
5  JEFFERSON NATIVE Aug26 Aug13 Jul14 Jun09 May14 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 120 6.00 ★    
 
CT-2   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I B NASTY Sep01 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 ★    
2  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jul15 Jun24 May07 Apr16 Mar26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 ★    
3  RAVIOLI MAMA Sep01 Jul30 Jun23 Jun03   (scott l)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HUMMIN' THE FUNK Sep09 Aug19 Jul09 May07 Mar18 (capuano dal)RAMGEET R 122 4.00 55% 0.80    
5  OFFLEE GRAYSFUL Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50    
6  WANTA BALLERINA Aug12 Jul23 Jun11 Apr28 Jan22 (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00    
7  BOCA BIRDIE Sep01 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun02 (pickett g)CULLUM W 122 12.00    
8  FASHION ICON Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 May12 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 ★    
 
CT-3   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE NONSENSE Aug27         (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 ★    
2  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Jul02         (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  SAIL ON BREEZE Aug12         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 42% 1.40    
4  STRONG WILLED Sep02         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  CAT WITH A NOTION Sep02 Aug12 Jul22     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 ★    
 
CT-4   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Sep03 Aug13       (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
2  LORD OF CORK Sep03 Aug13 Jul02     (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00 ★    
3  JUBA'S NOTION Sep03 Aug13 Jul23     (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
4  TEACHINTHERELEASE Jul23 Jul02       (casey a)LARROSA G 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  XCELLENT START Aug13         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
6  PAYMENGOLD Aug13 Jul02       (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 ★    
 
CT-5   09/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU ROCK STAR         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  KLIMT O'MATIC         (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 7% 13.90    
3  ALL ABOUT LUCKY Aug17 Jul10 Jun10     (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00    
4  HESFIREDUP Aug22 Jul27 Jul09 May23 Apr26 (wohlers laura)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
5  MO EH HENNESSY Sep04         (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
6  CHET'S PACKIN HEAT         (malgarini mawin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 7% 13.90    
7  WHERE IS MIKE         (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 7% 13.90    
8  CHROME HEIR         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
CT-6   09/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMELESS RISK Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 May21 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  YES SIR ROBERT Sep02 Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 May22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 ★    
3  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Aug25 Aug06 Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 124 15.00    
4  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Aug26 Jul16 Jun25 May21 May05 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
5  AKINGISALWAYSKING Aug30 Aug17 Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
6  JUNGLE BEAST Aug26 Jul23 May12 Apr16 Mar26 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  E J'S REVENGE Sep05 Aug26 Aug15 Jul20 Jul11 (murtaugh an)RAMGEET R 120 12.00    
SCR  SAN ANTONE Sep11 Mar11 Feb27 Feb18 Jan28 (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00 ★    
9  DEMO DOCTOR Aug12 May30 Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 ★    
 
CT-7   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTIN MAN Aug20 Jul28 Jun25 Jun03 May14 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
2  ISHIHARA Jun16 May18 Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 ★    
3  COMMAND THE CAT Aug26 Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 May26 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
4  FANCY CONCHO Aug26 Aug06 Jun16 May14 Apr23 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 15% 5.60    
5  NO CHANGE Aug26 Jul28 Jun16 May13 Apr23 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
6  HERO'S MAN Aug26 Jul28 Jul15 Jun16 Apr23 (casey w)LARROSA G 120 6.00 6% 15.50    
7  CANDY INVASION Aug26 Jul28 Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.50 8% 12.10    
8  ROAD SLEW Aug26 Aug11 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
 
CT-8   09/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUNDTOBEGREAT Sep02         (casey a)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
2  IMPRESSIONISM Sep02         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  KEEP ON SPURRIN         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00    
4  AMELIA'S DREAM Sep02         (runco jef)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 ★    
5  APPEALING ROAD Sep02 Aug12 Jul22     (perez ernes)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
6  MARZ EXPRESS Sep05 Jul02       (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
SCR  LET'S DO THIS Sep02 Aug12 Jul22     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00 ★    
8  LIVANA Sep02 Aug09 Jul12     (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 8% 10.80    
9  PATTI BLUE EYES Sep02 Aug12       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 31% 2.30    
10  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Sep02 Aug12       (casey w)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
11  JUBA'S PARADE Sep02         (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.