Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - November 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:214 :453 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY NINETEEN 6 2 2 2   2 1 (brown howa)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00 4.30  
TERPEYE 1 6 614½ 59   3 2 (santaella-calder)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 2.70 P
HIPNOTIZADA 4 1 1 1   1 32 (beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 1.80 33% 2.00 0.90 S
STORMBEAM 2 5 513 6   5 4 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 122 2.50 5.70  
FAIRY DUST 5 3 46 46   47 59 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 22% 3.50 15.90  
SUSIKIN 3 4 3 3   6 611 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 6% 14.50 42.50  
 
PEN-2   11/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12 1:384   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JADE'S DREAM 1 5 3 33 1nk 1½ 1¼ (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 0.80 DQ↓3
MIDDLE EARTH 3 1 2½ 2 2nk 2½ 2¼ (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 39% 1.60 6.90 W
SOUPER EMPEROR 2 2 1½ 1 3.2 31 3¾ (trombetta michae)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 2.40 P
SWEEPIN HARD 4 3 5 5 5 511 4 (jacklin theodo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 16.40  
SOUL STORY 5 4 4 4 4 410 5 (albright ge)VARGAS L 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.90  
 
PEN-3   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:142 1:413   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN SPRINGS 7 1 2nk 11 12 1 13 (bentley fenneka)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 21% 3.80 1.70 W
CIRCLE OF COURAGE 6 2 5 3 22 2 23 (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 2.50  
CEETA 1 3 3 42 4 3 3 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 17% 4.80 7.00 S
LITTLE FOUR 2 5 85 74 7 610 411¼ (deiter kell)VARGAS L 124 10.00 6% 15.60 21.10  
ALL THE WAY MAE 4 9 9 8 57 59 512½ (deiter kelly )CORUJO LEONARDO 119 12.00 18.90  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 9 8 6 9 8 713 618¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 6.90  
MARIMBA 3 6 75 63 34 48 724 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 14% 6.10 5.50  
MORE TO FOLLOW 5 4 1nk 21 67 820 833½ (harigeorgiou ko)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 30.00 ######  
PERFECT MOVE 8 7 4 5 913¼ 925 941½ (nunley randy)WHITNEY G 123 8.00 11% 7.80 17.20  
 
PEN-4   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:13 1:392   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORT'N ASONG 8 1 12 1 13 1 1 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 3.50 24% 3.10 4.20 W
VISHNU 2 2 22 2 23 2 2 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 4.50 6.00 P
EDICT (ARG) 5 5 5 5 46 37 3 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.10 S
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 3 6 6 6 613½ 514 411 (martin r)LLOYD W 124 20.00 5% 19.00 66.80  
DICK THE BRUISER 7 3 32 35 35 411½ 511¾ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 4.60  
BOSSY CAT 6 8 7 711½ 714½ 617 612¼ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00 11.20  
JUST GOT HITCHED 1 7 88 811½ 814½ 722 721¾ (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 13% 6.80 43.70  
AMERICAN FLEET 4 4 43 4 511½ 824½ 825½ (santaella-calder)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 8.70  
 
PEN-5   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE BUDDY 5 1 1 11   1 1 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 48% 1.10 0.70 W
TRIBAL NOTION 4 2 4 3   35 2 (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 4.30 P
SUNSHINE MAX 3 5 2 21   2 3 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 14% 6.40 2.70 S
LIFE DON'T OWE YOU 2 4 32 44   45 49 (potts g)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 7.30  
NICE WEATHER 1 3 5 512   511 511 (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 119 12.00 20.10  
SCR  LIVE FIRE               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
PEN-6   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAMBLE BUSH 3 6 6 4   3.2 1¾ (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 14.00  
BRUNELLA 1 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 2¾ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20 P
TAPIT'S GIRL 4 5 3.2 1nk   2nk 33 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 27% 2.70 1.90 S
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 6 4 5¾ 54   5 4 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 5.70  
SPUNKY ZOEY 2 2 1nk 31   4 59 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00 6% 15.70 15.80  
POLISHED GEM 5 1 4¼ 6   6 612 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 6.10  
SCR  DECISIVE CAUSE               (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ROCKPORT 2 1 2½ 11   1 1¾ (synnefias panagio)WHITNEY G 124 1.50 41% 1.50 0.70 W
PAPA TONY 4 2 3½ 3   2 2¾ (dimitriou e)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 17% 4.90 3.10 P
BERHANU 1 5 1½ 21   33 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 2.50 S
THE GREAT CASBY 5 3 510½ 5   49 4 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 14.00  
COMMISSIONER BIGGS 3 4 4 4   5 5 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 6% 15.60 16.80  
 
PEN-8   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENOMOUS STATE 4 4 4 2½   2nk 1 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 70% 0.40 1.20 W
WAHOOWA WAHOOWA 2 2 1½ 1½   1nk 2 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 4.00 P
SPIKES SHIRL 3 5 54 5   4 33 (ferreira fern)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 4.00 S
GRAND WISER 7 3 31 3½   32 4 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 6.30  
THE BEST CANDY 1 7 712 712¾   5 5 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 8.60  
EQUAL JUSTICE 6 1 2½ 4   6 6 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 8.80  
HOORAY FOR HARVEY 5 6 610 612½   7 7 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 41.80  
SCR  ODDS ON               (arriagada juan)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.