Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - November 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TERPEYE Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Jul20 Jul09 (santaella-cald)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 ★    
2  STORMBEAM Sep20 Sep10 Aug30 Aug17 Jul16 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 122 2.50 ★    
3  SUSIKIN Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 Aug19 Jun02 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 6% 14.50    
4  HIPNOTIZADA Oct12 Aug25 Jul27 Jun27 May25 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  FAIRY DUST Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 Jul21 Jul07 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
6  HAY NINETEEN Sep14 Aug30 Jul09 Jun06 May10 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
 
PEN-2   11/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JADE'S DREAM Oct18 Oct06 Sep23 Sep04 Jul15 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 ★    
2  SOUPER EMPEROR Oct14 Mar20 Feb18 Jan28   (trombetta mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
3  MIDDLE EARTH Aug28 Jul07 Jun09 May21 Apr29 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
4  SWEEPIN HARD Oct07 Sep22 Aug17 Jun22 May27 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 ★    
5  SOUL STORY Oct11 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 (albright )VARGAS L 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
PEN-3   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEETA Oct11 Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 Jun01 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
2  LITTLE FOUR Oct15 Sep23 Sep04 Aug18   (deiter kelly )TREJOS JOSEPH 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
3  MARIMBA Oct18 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28   (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
4  ALL THE WAY MAE Oct21 Aug24 Aug12 Jun24 May26 (deiter kell)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 12.00    
5  MORE TO FOLLOW Oct18 Oct04 Sep01 Jul01   (harigeorgiou )LEAHEY HANNAH 116 30.00    
6  CIRCLE OF COURAGE Oct06 Sep23 Aug26 Jul21 Jun16 (lawrence )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
7  HIDDEN SPRINGS Oct21 Oct01 Aug09 Jul11 Jun23 (bentley fennek)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  PERFECT MOVE Sep14 Sep04 Aug13 Jul04 May26 (nunley randy)WHITNEY G 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
9  MS KAYS COWGIRL Oct11 Aug31 Aug12 Jun23 May30 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
 
PEN-4   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST GOT HITCHED Oct19 Oct04 Sep27 Sep13 Aug16 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
2  VISHNU Oct05 Sep22 Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 4.50 ★    
3  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jun15 (martin r)LLOYD W 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMERICAN FLEET Oct17 Oct05 Sep26 Sep05 Aug29 (santaella-c)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 8.00    
5  EDICT (ARG) Oct21 Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug11 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  BOSSY CAT Oct21 Aug17 Jul28 Jun10 May11 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00    
7  DICK THE BRUISER Oct21 Aug17 Jul19 Jul04 Jun14 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00    
8  CORT'N ASONG Oct21 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 May20 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-5   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE WEATHER Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 Jun03 (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 119 12.00    
2  LIFE DON'T OWE YOU Oct12 Sep25 Sep07 Aug22 Jul27 (potts g)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 ★    
3  SUNSHINE MAX Oct05 Sep09 Aug24 Aug04 Jul27 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 14% 6.40    
4  TRIBAL NOTION Oct18 Sep09 Aug24 Jul29 Jul06 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  LIVE FIRE Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 Aug11   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
6  UNCLE BUDDY Oct18 Sep14 Aug24 Jul22 Jun29 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-6   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUNELLA Aug27 Jul31 Jul10 Jun02 May14 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  SPUNKY ZOEY Oct05 Aug18 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 5.00 6% 15.70    
3  BRAMBLE BUSH Aug29 Aug03 Jul01 May27 May04 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
SCR  DECISIVE CAUSE Oct01 Sep21 Aug31 Aug02 Jul12 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAPIT'S GIRL Oct14 Aug30 Aug21 Jul03 Jan05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  POLISHED GEM Oct21 Oct14 Oct01 Aug24 Aug04 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 ★    
7  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 Aug12 Apr28 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
 
PEN-7   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERHANU Oct11 Sep15 Sep01 Jun26 Jun02 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 ★    
2  SIR ROCKPORT Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jun03 (synnefias panag)WHITNEY G 124 1.50 41% 1.50    
3  COMMISSIONER BIGGS Oct11 Sep15 Aug24 Jul06 Jun11 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 6% 15.60    
4  PAPA TONY Oct11 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul21 (dimitriou e)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
5  THE GREAT CASBY Oct11 Aug31 Aug04 Jul01 Jun11 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BEST CANDY Oct18 Oct04 Sep07 Aug17 Jul15 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 ★    
2  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Oct14 Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Jun01 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 ★    
3  SPIKES SHIRL Oct14 Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  ODDS ON Oct01 Sep19 Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50 ★    
5  VENOMOUS STATE Sep23 Sep14 Aug19 Jul06 Jun09 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 70% 0.40    
6  HOORAY FOR HARVEY Oct11 Sep23 Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
7  EQUAL JUSTICE Oct18 Sep23 Sep08 Jul29 Jun30 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
8  GRAND WISER Oct15 Oct08 Sep14 Aug17   (maymo j)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.