The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 01, 2022

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MVR-1   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:251 :492 1:151 1:292   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKENDER 2 2 3 21 11 117 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 37% 1.70 1.90 W
DAWN'S LIGHT 6 5 6 6 6 34 27 (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.80 P
VOLUME OF TRUST 1 3 1nk 31 31 238 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 8% 12.00 2.70 S
HEIDI'S SINATRA 7 7 7 7 7 77 410 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 35.40  
ZAROSHA 4 6 5 5 5 6510½ (poole m)BRACHO A 123 10.00 40.90  
CATMAN JACK 5 4 4 4 4 4611¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 6.80  
THE PINK Z 3 1 2nk 11 21 5718 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 14% 6.30 4.70  
 
MVR-2   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:232 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MARRO 5 1 21 2nk   1½ 11 (schuster robin)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 4.20  
RUN BUBBA RUN 1 6 57 5   521 (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00 2.70 P
PECKS NOT BAD 4 3 32 3   2½ 3(schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 126 12.00 11.50  
CHARLEE'S MAGIC 2 5 45 4   44(trevino g)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 29% 2.50 3.00  
PRIVATE DRIVE 6 2 11 1nk   31 5(rone mike)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.00 1.40  
PLATE IT UP 3 4 68 6   664 (gonzalez donaciano)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00 47.50  
SCR  OAKEN               (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
MVR-3   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:23 :453 :581     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID'S GEM 4 3 2½ 11   117 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 1.30  
ALACRITOUS 2 4 4 34   327 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 1.80 P
PLAY BALL 1 2 32 45   44 3(murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 124 6.00 18% 4.70 3.10 S
IRISH UNITY 3 1 1½ 21   2412 (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 19% 4.40 3.70  
SCR  AHIMELECH               (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-4   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:232 :472 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCIN' ROSIE 5 1 2 2   2½ 1(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 126 2.50 23% 3.30 0.80 W
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 2 3 1 1   1½ 2(evans ii)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 38% 1.70 2.00 P
JETTIN PEGASUS 1 6 6 5   53(suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 4.30 S
CHLOES ANGEL 3 4 53 4   3411¾ (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 12.40  
MOBIL MEISTER 6 2 43 6   6512¼ (faulkner c)CORREA L 124 5.00 9% 10.00 24.20  
NOT A WILD BRAT 4 5 32 3   4613 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 21.80  
 
MVR-5   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:233 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD OX 1 6 2nk 1½   1½ 1(gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 123 3.00 43% 1.30 0.90 W
KINGDOM DIAMOND 2 4 4 3   2½ 2(meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.50 9.80  
INTO GOLD 3 3 1nk 2½   33(diehl candace)SMITH DIOGDINABI 125 6.00 16.80  
OHIO STRONG 8 2 6 4   4411¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 14% 6.30 1.10  
DERBY INCLUDED 4 8 710¼ 710½   68 513¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.20  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 7 1 5 6   78 614½ (rettele richard)CORREA L 123 15.00 35.40  
GIBBY MY CORN 5 5 31 5   57 716½ (murillo alejandro)DIAZ I 124 10.00 41.60  
KETTLE KING 6 7 810¾ 813½   814 822 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 6% 16.30 42.10  
SCR  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE               (bennett c)FELICIANO R 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
MVR-6   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:252 :50 1:154 1:293   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 2 3 4 4 6 4¾ 1¼ (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 5.00 11.90  
SAVE THE FLAG 6 1 6 6 5 3½ 2¼ (zook w)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 3.50 P
COMMANDANDCONTROL 1 4 13 1½ 11 1nk 3½ (corrigan jim)FELICIANO R 124 3.50 28% 2.60 1.00 S
PURDY PUMKIN 3 2 23 3½ 4 2nk 4(dacosta jason)CORREA L 123 2.50 30% 2.40 4.10  
LEWD 4 5 5 5 3 55(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 125 3.00 11% 8.00 4.40  
ORBIT BOUND 5 6 33 2½ 21 6614¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 123 6.00 22.00  
 
MVR-7   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:232 :464 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL STAR JUSTICE 1 6 6 6   2½ 1(castillo jabdiel)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 9% 10.10 1.30 W
REINSURE 6 2 3.2 2nk   1½ 2(zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 22% 3.50 5.30 P
EXONERATED PREZ 3 5 5 4   3½ 3(tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 6.00 32.60 S
JOCULARITY 2 3 4 5   54(buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00 2.80  
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 4 1 2nk 3½   4510¼ (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 5.00 6% 14.60 5.70  
HEY SACH 5 4 1nk 1nk   6612 (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 25% 3.00 4.20  
SCR  SUCCESSFULLY DONE               (elliott l)ULLOA PATRICIO 126 8.00    
 
MVR-8   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:01
:231 :472 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NEECHI 7 2 1nk 1½   14 1(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 20% 4.10 2.70 W
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 3 6 4 32   24 2(rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.60 P
CHANEL SPIRIT 5 3 2nk 2½   34 3(cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 2.00 23% 3.40 1.90 S
SAVESOMEFORME 6 7 6 67   549 (gorham m)CORREA L 122 3.00 2.70  
NO MORE MARGS 1 5 5 53   47 511½ (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 117 15.00 14.60  
EMERSON JONES 8 1 3½ 42   69 613 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 6.00 8.40  
HERE COMES DOLLY 4 4 78 79   7714½ (minnock g)FELICIANO R 122 8.00 18.40  
ANGEL'S DESTINY 2 8 813 812½   817½ 828½ (flores israel)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 45.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.