Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLUME OF TRUST Nov15 Oct31 Oct13 Sep28 Sep12 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 121 3.00 8% 12.00    
2  WEEKENDER Aug23 Jul21 Jun28 May25 Apr28 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  THE PINK Z Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 Oct14 Sep21 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 14% 6.30    
4  ZAROSHA Nov15 Oct26 Oct14 Sep29 Sep05 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 10.00 ★    
5  CATMAN JACK Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 Sep14 Jun25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
6  DAWN'S LIGHT Nov12 Sep22       (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
7  HEIDI'S SINATRA Nov12 Nov03 Sep21 Aug30 Aug04 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
 
MVR-2   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OAKEN Nov09 Oct29 Aug13 Jul12 Jun25 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 1.80 48% 1.10    
2  RUN BUBBA RUN Aug24 Jun29 Apr09 Mar16   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00 ★    
3  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Nov12 Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 Aug04 (trevino stephen)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 29% 2.50    
4  PLATE IT UP Nov22 Nov03 Oct10 Sep22 Sep07 (gonzalez dona)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00    
5  PECKS NOT BAD Nov12 Sep28 Sep01 Jul22 Jun30 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 126 12.00    
6  EL MARRO Nov07 Jun01 May18 Apr28 Mar07 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 ★    
7  PRIVATE DRIVE Nov07 Oct25 Jun20 Jun01 May23 (rone mike)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY BALL Nov09 Oct22 Oct10 Sep27 Sep19 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
2  ALACRITOUS Nov09 Oct10 Sep13 Jul31 Jun17 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
3  IRISH UNITY Nov19 Nov09 Oct04 Sep27 Sep08 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
4  DAVID'S GEM Nov09 Oct07 Sep09 Aug28 Jul31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  AHIMELECH Nov09 Oct22 Oct13 Oct04 Sep08 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-4   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JETTIN PEGASUS Nov16 Oct29 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 ★    
2  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Nov21 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 (evans ii)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 38% 1.70    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Nov12 Oct29 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50    
4  NOT A WILD BRAT Oct31 Sep26 Sep14 Aug13 Jul20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 ★    
5  DANCIN' ROSIE Nov10 Sep14 Aug13 Aug01 Jul13 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  MOBIL MEISTER Nov12 Oct03 Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 (faulkner )CORREA L 124 5.00 9% 10.00    
 
MVR-5   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD OX Nov01 Sep13 Aug31 Jul07   (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Nov17 Nov01 Oct07 Aug26 Aug12 (bennett robert )FELICIANO R 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
3  KINGDOM DIAMOND Nov17 Nov01 Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
4  INTO GOLD Nov10 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Jul14 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 125 6.00    
5  DERBY INCLUDED Jul27 Jul01       (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GIBBY MY CORN Nov15 Oct31 Sep12 Aug24 Aug13 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
7  KETTLE KING Oct10 Sep22 Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 6% 16.30    
8  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Nov01 Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 (rettele r)CORREA L 123 15.00    
9  OHIO STRONG Nov01 Oct13 Sep13 Aug25 Aug09 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
MVR-6   12/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDANDCONTROL Oct31 Oct11 Sep02 Aug05 Jul19 (corrigan jim)FELICIANO R 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE Nov15 Oct06 Sep26 May06 Apr13 (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 5.00 ★    
3  PURDY PUMKIN Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 (dacosta j)CORREA L 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  LEWD Nov02 Oct05 Sep20 Aug28 Jul20 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 125 3.00 11% 8.00    
5  ORBIT BOUND Nov15 Oct26 Oct13 Oct06 May11 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
6  SAVE THE FLAG Nov22 Oct22 Sep23 Aug29 Aug20 (zook w)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL STAR JUSTICE Nov14 Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 9% 10.10    
2  JOCULARITY Nov10 Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul25 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00    
3  EXONERATED PREZ Nov14 Oct27 Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 6.00 ★    
4  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Nov14 Sep05 Aug17 Aug01 Jul13 (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 5.00 6% 14.60    
5  HEY SACH Nov21 Nov10 Oct26 Oct11 Sep26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  SUCCESSFULLY DONE Nov22 Nov11 Oct24 Sep27 Sep08 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 126 8.00    
7  REINSURE Oct27 Sep28 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-8   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVESOMEFORME Oct05 Sep01       (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 3.00    
1A  NEECHI Oct31         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  NO MORE MARGS         (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 117 15.00 ★    
3  ANGEL'S DESTINY Nov15         (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
4  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Nov15 Oct31 Oct05     (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  HERE COMES DOLLY Nov15 Oct10 Sep12 Aug24 Aug02 (minnock g)FELICIANO R 122 8.00 ★    
6  CHANEL SPIRIT Nov15 Oct31 Oct05 Aug24   (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  EMERSON JONES Nov15 Oct31 Oct05 Sep01 Aug13 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.