The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 21, 2022

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MVR-1   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:45
:243 :481 1:144 1:292   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QIA 2 7 66 59 5 33 1½ (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 3.50 23% 3.30 2.90 W
UNESCORTED 5 3 31 3 2nk 2nk 2½ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 2.50 14% 6.10 2.20 P
1A  GRACIE DANCE 4 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 35 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 122 4.50 27% 2.70 2.50  
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 7 5 1½ 2nk 33 46 4(langley joshua)PILARES P 122 2.00 15% 5.50 2.10  
JUMP INTO SANITY 3 4 44 44 4 5511¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 4.50 2.50  
SPYENTIST 1 6 7 610 613½ 618¼ 627¾ (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 6.00 25.00  
PRINCESS EM 6 1 56 714½ 718½ 723¼ 734¼ (doering mark)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00 58.40  
 
MVR-2   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
:234 :472 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY SACH 6 3 3.2 2nk   1½ 1(casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 18% 4.40 3.20 W
NOT A GAME 3 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 2(bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 30% 2.30 1.00 P
GOTIGER SPECIAL 4 4 5 4   43(trevino g)DIAZ I 124 5.00 12.00  
CALL PAPA 2 6 6 6   55 4(feebeck h)HALDAR J 126 3.00 18% 4.60 4.20  
CRY MACHO 5 2 1nk 3.2   32 5(londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 4.90  
THEDUKE OF HAZZARD 1 5 4 5   67 612¾ (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 8% 11.60 17.20  
SCR  CAPE MARCO DRIVE               (lopez a)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
 
MVR-3   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:251 :494 1:161 1:31   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME CLEARANCE 3 1 2 2 22 21 1(silva fernando)BRACHO A 126 3.50 8% 12.30 4.50 W
I'M JAC'D 1 2 1 1 12 11 2(vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 1.20 47% 1.20 0.20 P
SWEETER THAN HONEY 4 4 57 511½ 413 410 3(lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 28.50  
AMERICA'S JAZZ 5 3 4 38 36 38 410 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 15.00 9.00  
BOLD NICKY 2 5 3 48 513 522 536 (londono j)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 12.40  
SCR  KENZIE'S SONG               (crumley jevon)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI ROYALTY               (pappada a)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
MVR-4   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
:242 :48 1:13 1:263   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY ISLAND 5 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 1(galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 2.40  
YEARS AGO 1 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 2(rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.00 5.30 P
FORTUNE BOUND 7 7 68 55 4 35 3(sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 122 2.50 2.60 S
SCARRAZANO 6 2 43 43 33 45 4(inirio carlos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 23% 3.30 2.30  
CONTESSINA 4 6 57 6 6 57 516¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 30% 2.40 15.00  
ST. LOUIE ARCH 2 5 711 713¼ 711¾ 714 622 (vickers t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 17% 4.90 18.80  
MO NIGHEAN DONN 3 3 31 3½ 5 612 735½ (tasso mark)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 10.70  
 
MVR-5   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:33
:223 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONISTIC 4 2 1 1   11(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 120 2.00 35% 1.90 1.10 W
R THREE ANGELS 1 1 2 2   22(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 1.40 43% 1.30 0.80 P
MISSION GIRL 3 4 57 3   37 3(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 21.50 S
SPICE ICE 2 5 47 48   4414¼ (calderon ivan)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 8.00 14.00  
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 5 3 3 58   511½ 515¼ (evans ii)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50 8.70  
 
MVR-6   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
:223 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVIS 1 2 42 42   1nk 1¼ (gorham m)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 1.60  
DANCIN AT MIDNIGHT 7 1 2½ 32   2nk 2¼ (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 2.50 53% 0.90 1.60 P
PULPIT'S PURRFECT 3 6 1½ 1   3.2 34 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 118 8.00 19% 4.20 4.20 S
DECO STRONG 5 4 6 56   44(stites w)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 8.20  
KINGSTON TIME 8 5 54 67   658 (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00 62.60  
L. A. STAR 2 8 8 8   5611 (lucas wayne)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00 89.30  
READY SEEKER 6 3 3½ 2   710¾ 715½ (ackerman kelly)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.00 24.20  
CURRENT CLIMATE 4 7 7 79   812¾ 815½ (elliott l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00 8.10  
 
MVR-7   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:33
:222 :451 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO EBO 9 1 3½ 2½   1nk 1(reid e)ORTIZ JR 117 5.00 4.10  
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 4 9 910¼ 9   45 2(wong jonathan)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 1.20 P
DIVA TREVA 2 5 1nk 1½   2nk 3(murphy swan)JORDAN R 117 6.00 31.20  
GUNFYRE GAL 7 7 66 89   74(servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 4.00 51% 0.90 6.30  
PURITY 6 3 43 4   65(rone mike)RIVERA R 117 10.00 6% 16.80 12.10  
VERY WEALTHY 8 2 77 6   569 (lucas wayne)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 20.00 ######  
YOUR SO SILLEA 1 6 2nk 3½   37(sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 5.90  
GIRL WITH A DREAM 3 4 5 5   88 810¾ (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 19% 4.30 4.80  
TALEOFREADYCHIANTI 5 8 8 7   9913 (ackerman kelly)MCKEE J 117 20.00 44.10  
 
MVR-8   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:03
:214 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEJANO TWIST 5 11 1113¼ 98   51½ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 3.50  
KNOCKER DOWN 1 6 3.2 1   11 2½ (murphy swan)JORDAN R 117 4.00 4.10  
11  SCARAMOUCHE 11 1 5 4   21 3(preciado guadalupe)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.30 S
HOIST THE GOLD 7 9 911¼ 108   74(stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50 3.90  
GOLDEN HORNET 4 5 1nk 2   45(rivelli larry)BAIRD T 117 10.00 19.60  
FAST JACK 6 8 4 3   36(becker scott)FELICIANO R 117 10.00 28% 2.50 24.10  
10  FRIAR LAURENCE 10 2 7 6   87(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 117 15.00 21.20  
ROGER MCQUEEN 9 3 6 7   9811½ (rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00 37.60  
SHELTOWEE'S BALI 3 10 1012¼ 1112½   1014¾ 916½ (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 30.00 ######  
KY HOT BROWN 2 4 2nk 5   61016½ (wilson jr)GONZALEZ A 117 30.00 ######  
VOLBEAT 8 7 8 8   1116¾ 1123½ (wilson jr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 30.00 97.00  
 
MVR-9   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:222 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGIE D ORO 2 5 11 1½   13 1(sparks s)FELICIANO R 125 2.50 27% 2.70 1.00 W
ALTISSIMO 6 4 53 56   52(zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 23% 3.40 10.10 P
MORESTRIDE 4 2 31 3   23 3(rone mike)RIVERA R 126 2.00 29% 2.40 1.20 S
CHIEF RANDEL 5 1 4 4   46 410 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 59.50  
DUKE OF DARKNESS 3 3 21 2½   35 510½ (galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00 12.40  
MO DONT NO 1 6 64 69   711 613¼ (johnson l)MCKEE J 120 8.00 20.00  
OL' L B 7 8 7 79   611 715 (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 116 10.00 24.50  
NICK CAN FIX 8 7 89 811   816 818¼ (trevino g)DIAZ I 118 10.00 51.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.