Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:144 1:292   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QIA 2 7 66 59 5 33 1½ (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 3.50 23% 3.30 2.90 W
UNESCORTED 5 3 31 3 2nk 2nk 2½ (urieta johan)HALDAR J 122 2.50 14% 6.10 2.20 P
1A  GRACIE DANCE 4 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 35 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 122 4.50 27% 2.70 2.50  
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 7 5 1½ 2nk 33 46 4 (langley)PILARES P 122 2.00 15% 5.50 2.10  
JUMP INTO SANITY 3 4 44 44 4 5 511¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 4.50 2.50  
SPYENTIST 1 6 7 610 613½ 618¼ 627¾ (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 6.00 25.00  
PRINCESS EM 6 1 56 714½ 718½ 723¼ 734¼ (doering mark)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00 58.40  
 
MVR-2   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY SACH 6 3 3.2 2nk   1½ 1 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 18% 4.40 3.20 W
NOT A GAME 3 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 30% 2.30 1.00 P
GOTIGER SPECIAL 4 4 5 4   4 3 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 5.00 12.00  
CALL PAPA 2 6 6 6   55 4 (feebeck thom)HALDAR J 126 3.00 18% 4.60 4.20  
CRY MACHO 5 2 1nk 3.2   32 5 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 4.90  
THEDUKE OF HAZZARD 1 5 4 5   67 612¾ (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 8% 11.60 17.20  
SCR  CAPE MARCO DRIVE               (lopez carlo)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
 
MVR-3   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:161 1:31   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME CLEARANCE 3 1 2 2 22 21 1 (silva fernand)BRACHO A 126 3.50 8% 12.30 4.50 W
I'M JAC'D 1 2 1 1 12 11 2 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 1.20 47% 1.20 0.20 P
SWEETER THAN HONEY 4 4 57 511½ 413 410 3 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 28.50  
AMERICA'S JAZZ 5 3 4 38 36 38 410 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 15.00 9.00  
BOLD NICKY 2 5 3 48 513 522 536 (londono odin)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 12.40  
SCR  KENZIE'S SONG               (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI ROYALTY               (pappada a)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
MVR-4   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:263   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY ISLAND 5 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 1 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 2.40  
YEARS AGO 1 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.00 5.30 P
FORTUNE BOUND 7 7 68 55 4 35 3 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 122 2.50 2.60 S
SCARRAZANO 6 2 43 43 33 45 4 (inirio carl)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 23% 3.30 2.30  
CONTESSINA 4 6 57 6 6 57 516¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 30% 2.40 15.00  
ST. LOUIE ARCH 2 5 711 713¼ 711¾ 714 622 (vickers)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 17% 4.90 18.80  
MO NIGHEAN DONN 3 3 31 3½ 5 612 735½ (tasso mark)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50 10.70  
 
MVR-5   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:223 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONISTIC 4 2 1 1   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 120 2.00 35% 1.90 1.10 W
R THREE ANGELS 1 1 2 2   2 2 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 1.40 43% 1.30 0.80 P
MISSION GIRL 3 4 57 3   37 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 21.50 S
SPICE ICE 2 5 47 48   4 414¼ (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 8.00 14.00  
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 5 3 3 58   511½ 515¼ (evans micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50 8.70  
 
MVR-6   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:223 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVIS 1 2 42 42   1nk 1¼ (gorham robert)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 1.60  
DANCIN AT MIDNIGHT 7 1 2½ 32   2nk 2¼ (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 2.50 53% 0.90 1.60 P
PULPIT'S PURRFECT 3 6 1½ 1   3.2 34 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 118 8.00 19% 4.20 4.20 S
DECO STRONG 5 4 6 56   4 4 (stites w)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 8.20  
KINGSTON TIME 8 5 54 67   6 58 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00 62.60  
L. A. STAR 2 8 8 8   5 611 (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00 89.30  
READY SEEKER 6 3 3½ 2   710¾ 715½ (ackerman d )LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.00 24.20  
CURRENT CLIMATE 4 7 7 79   812¾ 815½ (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00 8.10  
 
MVR-7   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO EBO 9 1 3½ 2½   1nk 1 (reid e)ORTIZ JR 117 5.00 4.10  
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 4 9 910¼ 9   45 2 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 1.20 P
DIVA TREVA 2 5 1nk 1½   2nk 3 (murphy travi)JORDAN R 117 6.00 31.20  
GUNFYRE GAL 7 7 66 89   7 4 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 4.00 51% 0.90 6.30  
PURITY 6 3 43 4   6 5 (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 10.00 6% 16.80 12.10  
VERY WEALTHY 8 2 77 6   5 69 (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 117 20.00 ######  
YOUR SO SILLEA 1 6 2nk 3½   3 7 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 5.90  
GIRL WITH A DREAM 3 4 5 5   88 810¾ (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 19% 4.30 4.80  
TALEOFREADYCHIANTI 5 8 8 7   9 913 (ackerman kelly)MCKEE J 117 20.00 44.10  
 
MVR-8   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEJANO TWIST 5 11 1113¼ 98   5 1½ (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 3.50  
KNOCKER DOWN 1 6 3.2 1   11 2½ (murphy travi)JORDAN R 117 4.00 4.10  
11  SCARAMOUCHE 11 1 5 4   21 3 (preciado guad)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.30 S
HOIST THE GOLD 7 9 911¼ 108   7 4 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50 3.90  
GOLDEN HORNET 4 5 1nk 2   4 5 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 117 10.00 19.60  
FAST JACK 6 8 4 3   3 6 (becker scott)FELICIANO R 117 10.00 28% 2.50 24.10  
10  FRIAR LAURENCE 10 2 7 6   8 7 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 117 15.00 21.20  
ROGER MCQUEEN 9 3 6 7   9 811½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00 37.60  
SHELTOWEE'S BALI 3 10 1012¼ 1112½   1014¾ 916½ (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 30.00 ######  
KY HOT BROWN 2 4 2nk 5   6 1016½ (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 117 30.00 ######  
VOLBEAT 8 7 8 8   1116¾ 1123½ (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 30.00 97.00  
 
MVR-9   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGIE D ORO 2 5 11 1½   13 1 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 125 2.50 27% 2.70 1.00 W
ALTISSIMO 6 4 53 56   5 2 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 23% 3.40 10.10 P
MORESTRIDE 4 2 31 3   23 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 2.00 29% 2.40 1.20 S
CHIEF RANDEL 5 1 4 4   46 410 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 59.50  
DUKE OF DARKNESS 3 3 21 2½   35 510½ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00 12.40  
MO DONT NO 1 6 64 69   711 613¼ (johnson l)MCKEE J 120 8.00 20.00  
OL' L B 7 8 7 79   611 715 (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 116 10.00 24.50  
NICK CAN FIX 8 7 89 811   816 818¼ (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 118 10.00 51.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.