Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP INTO SANITY Nov07 Oct24 Sep29 Sep20   (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 4.50    
1A  GRACIE DANCE Nov07 Oct24 Oct13     (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
SPYENTIST Oct03 Sep11 Sep03     (pappada a)STANLEY O 122 6.00    
QIA Nov07 Oct05       (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
UNESCORTED Nov07 Oct16       (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
PRINCESS EM Oct29 Oct05 Sep20     (doering mark)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00    
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Nov07 Oct13 Oct05     (langley j)PILARES P 122 2.00 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-2   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEDUKE OF HAZZARD Jun30 May26 May16 Apr15 Mar26 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 8% 11.60    
CALL PAPA Nov10 Oct26 Oct04 Sep23 Sep16 (feebeck thomas)HALDAR J 126 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Oct04 Sep21 Sep02 Aug19 Jul13 (lopez carlos )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
NOT A GAME Sep20 Aug29 Jul25 Jul11 Jun30 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
GOTIGER SPECIAL Oct27 Sep28 Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 124 5.00    
CRY MACHO Nov10 Sep21 Sep08 Aug29 Aug03 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
HEY SACH Nov10 Oct26 Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 18% 4.40    
 
MVR-3   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M JAC'D Nov07 Oct22 Oct04 Sep14 Aug30 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 1.20 47% 1.20    
BOLD NICKY Nov07 Oct22       (londono j)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00    
GIMME CLEARANCE Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 Sep06 Jul29 (silva fernando)BRACHO A 126 3.50 8% 12.30    
SWEETER THAN HONEY Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
AMERICA'S JAZZ Nov07         (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 15.00    
SCR  KENZIE'S SONG Nov07 Oct10 Sep14     (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Nov07 Oct03 Sep14     (pappada a)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
MVR-4   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEARS AGO Nov02 Sep10 Aug06 Jul08 Jun19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.00    
ST. LOUIE ARCH Nov02 Oct18 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 (vickers r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
MO NIGHEAN DONN Nov01 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 May30 (tasso mark)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.50    
CONTESSINA Nov07 Oct10 Sep18 Aug26 Jun29 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 30% 2.40    
CANDY ISLAND Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 Jul10   (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
SCARRAZANO Nov02 Oct10 Sep17 Aug14 Jul10 (inirio carlos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
FORTUNE BOUND Oct29 Oct05 Sep13 May18   (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 122 2.50    
 
MVR-5   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R THREE ANGELS Oct29 Oct04 Aug26 Aug13 Jul19 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
SPICE ICE Oct26 Oct04 Sep15 Aug13 Aug01 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 8.00    
MISSION GIRL Oct31 Oct05 Aug29 May18 Apr25 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
LIONISTIC Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 Aug04 Jun20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
THE DEVIL'S DREAM Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug04 (evans michael)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50    
 
MVR-6   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVIS Oct29 Oct06 Sep08 Aug09 Jul20 (gorham m)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
L. A. STAR Oct14 Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 (lucas t )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00    
PULPIT'S PURRFECT Sep07 Aug06 Jul11 May07 Mar26 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
CURRENT CLIMATE Nov01 Oct09 Aug26 Aug03 Jul09 (elliott miche)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00    
DECO STRONG Oct19 Sep10 Aug19 Jun17 Apr28 (stites w)AVILES YAN 120 3.00    
READY SEEKER Oct17 Jan15       (ackerman ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.00    
DANCIN AT MIDNIGHT Oct22 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 Jul12 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
KINGSTON TIME Oct18 Oct10 Sep20 Sep13 Aug30 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00    
 
MVR-7   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR SO SILLEA Oct15 Oct01 Aug07 Jul10   (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00    
DIVA TREVA Nov13 Oct13 Sep11 Aug05 Jul09 (murphy travis )JORDAN R 117 6.00    
GIRL WITH A DREAM Mar05 Feb05       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
MY KENTUCKY GIRL Oct29 Sep04 Jul23 Jun05 Apr02 (wong jonathan)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50    
TALEOFREADYCHIANTI Oct11 Sep16 Aug24 Jun18 May06 (ackerman kelly)MCKEE J 117 20.00    
PURITY Sep07 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 May25 (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 10.00 6% 16.80    
GUNFYRE GAL Oct25 Sep30 Aug22 Jul12 Jun14 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 4.00 51% 0.90    
VERY WEALTHY Oct29 Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 Aug07 (lucas t )BATISTA ALBERTO 117 20.00    
DISCO EBO Oct07 Aug22 Jul16 Mar08 Feb05 (reid e)ORTIZ JR 117 5.00    
 
MVR-8   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKER DOWN Nov12 Oct28 Oct14 Sep09 Aug14 (murphy travis )JORDAN R 117 4.00    
KY HOT BROWN Nov02 Oct06 Sep13 Aug22 Aug11 (wilson jr)GONZALEZ A 117 30.00    
SHELTOWEE'S BALI Nov06 Oct30 Oct24 Oct10 Jul10 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 117 30.00    
GOLDEN HORNET Nov06 Oct01 Aug13 Jul19   (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 117 10.00    
TEJANO TWIST Oct14 Sep21 Sep10 Aug07 Jul03 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50    
FAST JACK Oct29 Sep16 Aug12 Jul22 Jun28 (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 10.00 28% 2.50    
HOIST THE GOLD Oct22 Sep21 Sep03 Jul31 Jul03 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50    
VOLBEAT Oct24 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 Aug02 (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 30.00    
ROGER MCQUEEN         (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 6.00    
10  FRIAR LAURENCE Oct22 Sep24 Aug14 Jul17 Jan22 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 117 15.00    
11  SCARAMOUCHE Sep24 Aug23 Aug03 Jul02 May21 (preciado guadal)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-9   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DONT NO Oct29 Oct14 Sep27 Sep06 Jul26 (johnson l)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
DOUGIE D ORO Oct29 Oct04 Aug13 Jul26 Jun25 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
DUKE OF DARKNESS Oct25 Oct03 Aug16 Jul15 Jun25 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00    
MORESTRIDE Oct29 Oct04 Jul26 Jul14 Jun21 (rone mike)RIVERA R 126 2.00 29% 2.40    
CHIEF RANDEL Nov06 Oct14 Oct04 Sep06 Aug13 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
ALTISSIMO Oct29 Oct04 Sep06 Aug13 Jul18 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
OL' L B Nov09 Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 116 10.00    
NICK CAN FIX Oct29 Oct13 Apr05     (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.