Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADEAU DE PAIX 6 3 2 2nk   11 14 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 2.92  
CATECHISM 3 2 1 1nk   3 24 (anderson doug )JORDAN R 121 20.00 6% 14.70 6.22 P
GIRLS A BULLET 4 1 3 3   21 3 (vance d)LANERIE J 121 8.00 7% 13.10 4.58 S
TACHLIS 5 6 5 42   4 4 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 21.51  
DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE 2 5 6 69   5 57 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 7.56  
SISTER'S GHOST 1 4 43 57   6 610 (esquivel je)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 36% 1.80 1.18  
SCR  TAP N SWAY               (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
KEE-2   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY STAR 9 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 3.52  
11  RETAINED 10 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.00 77% 0.30 1.32 P
NATURAL RED 5 5 7 7   4 311½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 21.68 S
SUITABLE 8 4 5 43   5 412 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 6.36  
PHILHARMONIC 7 8 8 65   6 513 (zito p)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 38.86  
GRIMES 3 6 4 3   37 613 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 4.67  
SAILOR'S CHANCE 4 11 10 8   814¾ 718 (ennis john)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00 17.83  
12  HENDRIX 11 7 3 5   710¾ 818¼ (morey william )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 30.53  
FULL MAG 1 10 1114¼ 1114¾   1018¾ 923½ (morey)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00 40.06  
WARHORSE WEST 6 3 9 9   918¼ 1026½ (rone mike)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 49.78  
CHILI RED 2 9 6 10   1121¼ 1131 (mckeever an)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 33.58  
SCR  HILL OF TARA               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00    
SCR  TIZRIDE               (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L GRAZEN 2 7 6 5   22 1¾ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 121 1.40 14% 6.30 3.78 W
AWESOME INDRA 3 3 11 11   12 2¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 3.22  
INVALUABLE 7 2 42 3   4 33 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.81 S
FOREIGN EXCHANGE 4 1 21 21   32 43 (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 19.86  
L. A. STAR 1 5 7 7   67 5 (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 47.86  
FRILLS 6 4 3 4   56 611¼ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 11% 8.00 3.32  
AFERDITA 5 6 52 6   711 719¼ (rone mike)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00 8% 12.00 10.08  
 
KEE-4   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE KENTUCKY 2 3 1½ 1½   1nk 1hd (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 2.80  
STORMY PATTERN 7 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2hd (hess b)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 28% 2.50 1.27 P
DESOTO'S WAR 9 1 32 31   3 3 (forster t)GILLIGAN JACK 121 3.00 19% 4.20 7.37 S
NOT YET CHARLIE 4 7 75 6   59 4 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 6.21  
SAG HARBOR 3 4 4 42   47 5 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00 9% 10.80 27.15  
HOT PASTRAMI 1 5 6 77   611½ 611½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 7.00  
CHASIN CHARLIE 6 8 911½ 812   714 717¾ (richardson tim)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 6% 16.20 56.66  
LUCKY PROMISE 5 9 811 912   815 820½ (vance d)COURT K 121 20.00 5% 18.70 40.17  
WEST WARPATH 8 6 5 54   916 928¾ (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 33.94  
 
KEE-5   10/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:114 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY PUCHI 3 1 6 710 6 2 1¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 25% 3.00 1.70 W
ISN'T SHE LOVELY 8 5 1 1 12 1 2¾ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 5.96  
12  QUEEN JUDITH 11 12 1212¾ 1214¾ 98 8 3 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 13% 6.60 10.04 S
QUARIA BRAVA 1 3 9 911¼ 7 6 4 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 65.70  
HERINGTON ROCKET 9 7 76 6 8 7 5 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 27% 2.70 3.26  
PRECURSORY 6 8 54 58 5 5 63 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 8.12  
10  DUPLICITOUS 10 6 4 48 4 43 7 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 30.00 31.29  
SENSITIVITY 4 4 2 2 22 3 8 (caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8.69  
LIVY B 7 11 1110¾ 1112¾ 12 11 97 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 75.98  
AIZU 5 9 8 810¼ 11 10 10 (nihei michelle)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 8% 11.50 35.26  
13  WAYWARDNESS 12 10 3 34 3 9 11 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00 40.07  
THREE TIPSY CHIX 2 2 10 1012¾ 10 1210¼ 1213 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 20.00 34.43  
SCR  CHIONE               (devaux che)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THROMBOCYTOPENIA               (obert danielle)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEJANO TWIST 2 6 66 55   31 11 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 7.72  
KNOCKER DOWN 1 2 21 2   11 21 (anderson l)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00 22.98  
PEACEFUL WATERS 3 3 11 1   21 3 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.20 34% 1.90 1.05 S
COPPOLA 5 5 31 3   4 411¾ (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 20% 4.00 5.15  
SURFER DUDE 7 1 43 4   5 513½ (stewart da)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 15.93  
STRAVA 4 4 5 65   68 613½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 23% 3.40 4.66  
STONEVICIOUS 6 8 7 711   712 716¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 54.00  
MAKE IT BIG 8 7 88 814   818 837¼ (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 6.63  
SCR  BOISE               (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :492 1:153 1:393   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AROUND THE SUN 3 1 3 32 3 2 1¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 15.86  
WATCH THIS MUNNY 4 6 1 1½ 1nk 1 2¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 5.90  
BOLTORO 7 9 98 9 96 6 31 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 5% 19.00 2.29 S
PAINT ME PERFECT 5 7 6 64 6 7 4 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 43.67  
14  BOLT FOR ALLISON 11 4 53 4 4 4 5 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 11.36 DH
SELF CONFIDENT 1 3 4 5 5 5 5 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 33% 2.00 1.59 DH
10  AMERICAN ODALISQUE 8 8 86 8 7 8 7 (caram)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00 32.66  
MYSTIFY (GB) 6 5 2 2½ 2nk 33 8 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 11.93  
NOBLE BERNADETTE 2 2 7 75 8 9 9 (wilkes r)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 28.91  
12  DREAM ROLE 10 11 1010 10 10 10 10 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 27.91  
11  FREEFORM 9 10 1111½ 11 11 1111¾ 1112¼ (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 51.87  
SCR  CALLIE'S GRIT               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  DOT MARIE               (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 119 20.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS               (faircloth aveor)CANUTO THIAGO 119 50.00    
SCR  STAY LOST               (casse w)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SUN BEE               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
KEE-8   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :463 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  STROBE 9 2 1½ 1   14 16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 32% 2.10 0.38 W
CLASSIC MOMENT 3 1 2½ 3   24 26 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 19.99  
ANGKOR 6 7 42 4   36 3 (bauer a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 12% 7.40 13.81 S
LET MY PEOPLE GO 5 5 74 5   5 410¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 35.97  
MAHAAMEL (IRE) 4 4 52 7   67 511¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 31% 2.20 5.76  
IGNITIS 1 8 86 9   79 613¼ (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 64.00  
10  AMERICAN ICON 8 10 10 8   810 713¾ (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 11.58  
13  SPARTY SENSE 10 6 31 2   4 814¾ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 64.83  
DRIVE FOR FUN 7 9 63 6   910¼ 915½ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 30.17  
EMPERADOR 2 3 9 1012¼   1012¼ 1016¾ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 26.31  
SCR  APPEAL DENIED               (foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY               (jones larry)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
SCR  OVERBORE               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/14/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:252 :501 1:152 1:404 2:051 2:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) 4 52 3 32 21 11 11 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50 5% 19.00 6.66 W
TEMPLE 8 63 5 53 6 73 21 (maker michael)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 10.00 23.31 P
13  HIGHEST HONORS 12 10 10 9 8 4 3 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 29% 2.40 8.20 S
CHANNEL MAKER 6 2½ 2 21 4 21 4 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 12.12  
10  BALTHUS (IRE) 10 9 8 8 9 84 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 6.22  
MIRA MISSION 7 3½ 4 4 3 52 6 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 41% 1.40 1.85  
12  CELLIST 11 4 64 6 7 9 7 (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 30.00 52.65  
RED KNIGHT 2 12 11 11 10 10 8 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00 7.14  
ARKLOW 1 8 75 7 53 6 9 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 6.47  
ACCREDIT 5 1½ 1 11 11 3 10 (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 30.32  
ADMISSION OFFICE 3 11 12 12 1211¼ 1110¼ 1112 (lynch brian )HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 36.94  
BRITISH ROYALTY 9 7 9 107 11 1213¼ 1219¾ (minshall b)SANTANA JR 121 30.00 82.03  
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY               (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 123 15.00    
SCR  KEYSTONE FIELD               (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY               (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
SCR  TIME FOR TROUBLE               (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00    
 
KEE-10   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMANZO 6 8 7 33   2 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 37% 1.70 1.53 W
10  AWESOME CHARGE 8 2 21 21   32 2 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.21 P
11  IMPENETRABLE 9 1 11 11   1 35 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 14% 6.10 3.24 S
12  PUDGE BOY PALACE 10 4 86 54   5 46 (combs bentley)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 4.60  
RIKIO 2 3 3 4   4 5 (cline c)MCKEE J 121 30.00 46.37  
LUCKY DUDE 1 10 97 99   67 6 (anderson doug )JORDAN R 121 8.00 9% 10.40 19.28  
SOUTHERN SENSE 5 5 6 87   811 710¼ (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 16.48  
ROBUST 3 6 54 6   7 810½ (lyster s)LANERIE J 121 20.00 21.51  
BODIEFUL 7 7 44 77   915 920¾ (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 52.22  
COOPER TIME 4 9 1019 1029   1045 1073 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 16% 5.50 5.48  
SCR  MASTER GAME               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00    
SCR  PER DIEM               (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
SCR  SILVESTRE               (cambray ignacio)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
SCR  STRINGS               (demeritte larry)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  WILLACY               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.