The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Friday - October 14, 2022

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KEE-1   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
:224 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADEAU DE PAIX 6 3 2 2nk   11 14 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 2.92  
CATECHISM 3 2 1 1nk   324 (anderson l)JORDAN R 121 20.00 6% 14.70 6.22 P
GIRLS A BULLET 4 1 3 3   21 3(vance d)LANERIE J 121 8.00 7% 13.10 4.58 S
TACHLIS 5 6 5 42   44(glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 21.51  
DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE 2 5 6 69   557 (esquivel jesus)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 7.56  
SISTER'S GHOST 1 4 43 57   6610 (esquivel jesus)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 36% 1.80 1.18  
SCR  TAP N SWAY               (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
KEE-2   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
:23 :47 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY STAR 9 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 3.52  
11  RETAINED 10 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.00 77% 0.30 1.32 P
NATURAL RED 5 5 7 7   4311½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 21.68 S
SUITABLE 8 4 5 43   5412 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 6.36  
PHILHARMONIC 7 8 8 65   6513 (zito p)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 38.86  
GRIMES 3 6 4 3   37 613 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 4.67  
SAILOR'S CHANCE 4 11 10 8   814¾ 718 (ennis john)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00 17.83  
12  HENDRIX 11 7 3 5   710¾ 818¼ (morey e)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 30.53  
FULL MAG 1 10 1114¼ 1114¾   1018¾ 923½ (morey e)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00 40.06  
WARHORSE WEST 6 3 9 9   918¼ 1026½ (rone mike)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 49.78  
CHILI RED 2 9 6 10   1121¼ 1131 (mckeever andrew)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 33.58  
SCR  HILL OF TARA               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00    
SCR  TIZRIDE               (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:223 :461 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LI'L GRAZEN 2 7 6 5   22 1¾ (diodoro robertino)SANTANA JR 121 1.40 14% 6.30 3.78 W
AWESOME INDRA 3 3 11 11   12 2¾ (joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 3.22  
INVALUABLE 7 2 42 3   433 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.81 S
FOREIGN EXCHANGE 4 1 21 21   32 43 (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 19.86  
L. A. STAR 1 5 7 7   67 5(lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 47.86  
FRILLS 6 4 3 4   56 611¼ (leitch daniel)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 11% 8.00 3.32  
AFERDITA 5 6 52 6   711 719¼ (rone mike)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00 8% 12.00 10.08  
 
KEE-4   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:23 :462 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE KENTUCKY 2 3 1½ 1½   1nk 1hd (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 2.80  
STORMY PATTERN 7 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2hd (hess b)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 28% 2.50 1.27 P
DESOTO'S WAR 9 1 32 31   33(forster t)GILLIGAN JACK 121 3.00 19% 4.20 7.37 S
NOT YET CHARLIE 4 7 75 6   59 4(maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 6.21  
SAG HARBOR 3 4 4 42   47 5(matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00 9% 10.80 27.15  
HOT PASTRAMI 1 5 6 77   611½ 611½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 7.00  
CHASIN CHARLIE 6 8 911½ 812   714 717¾ (richardson tim)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 6% 16.20 56.66  
LUCKY PROMISE 5 9 811 912   815 820½ (vance d)COURT K 121 20.00 5% 18.70 40.17  
WEST WARPATH 8 6 5 54   916 928¾ (cano munoz)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 33.94  
 
KEE-5   10/14/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
:23 :461 1:114 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY PUCHI 3 1 6 710 6 21¾ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 25% 3.00 1.70 W
ISN'T SHE LOVELY 8 5 1 1 12 12¾ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 5.96  
12  QUEEN JUDITH 11 12 1212¾ 1214¾ 98 83(casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 13% 6.60 10.04 S
QUARIA BRAVA 1 3 9 911¼ 7 64(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 65.70  
HERINGTON ROCKET 9 7 76 6 8 75(brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 27% 2.70 3.26  
PRECURSORY 6 8 54 58 5 563 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 8.12  
10  DUPLICITOUS 10 6 4 48 4 43 7(hawley wesley)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 30.00 31.29  
SENSITIVITY 4 4 2 2 22 38(caramori caio)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8.69  
LIVY B 7 11 1110¾ 1112¾ 12 1197 (leonard iii)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 75.98  
AIZU 5 9 8 810¼ 11 1010(nihei michelle)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 8% 11.50 35.26  
13  WAYWARDNESS 12 10 3 34 3 911(lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00 40.07  
THREE TIPSY CHIX 2 2 10 1012¾ 10 1210¼ 1213 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 20.00 34.43  
SCR  CHIONE               (devaux cherie)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THROMBOCYTOPENIA               (obert danielle)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
:222 :454 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEJANO TWIST 2 6 66 55   31 11 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 7.72  
KNOCKER DOWN 1 2 21 2   11 21 (anderson l)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00 22.98  
PEACEFUL WATERS 3 3 11 1   21 3(stall m)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.20 34% 1.90 1.05 S
COPPOLA 5 5 31 3   4411¾ (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 20% 4.00 5.15  
SURFER DUDE 7 1 43 4   5513½ (stewart dallas)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 15.93  
STRAVA 4 4 5 65   68 613½ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 23% 3.40 4.66  
STONEVICIOUS 6 8 7 711   712 716¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 54.00  
MAKE IT BIG 8 7 88 814   818 837¼ (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 6.63  
SCR  BOISE               (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/14/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
:232 :492 1:153 1:393   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AROUND THE SUN 3 1 3 32 3 21¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 15.86  
WATCH THIS MUNNY 4 6 1 1½ 1nk 12¾ (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 5.90  
BOLTORO 7 9 98 9 96 631 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 5% 19.00 2.29 S
PAINT ME PERFECT 5 7 6 64 6 74(margolis r)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 43.67  
14  BOLT FOR ALLISON 11 4 53 4 4 45(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 11.36 DH
SELF CONFIDENT 1 3 4 5 5 55(mcgaughey iii)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 33% 2.00 1.59 DH
10  AMERICAN ODALISQUE 8 8 86 8 7 87(caramori caio)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00 32.66  
MYSTIFY 6 5 2 2½ 2nk 33 8(davis christopher)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 11.93  
NOBLE BERNADETTE 2 2 7 75 8 99(wilkes r)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 28.91  
12  DREAM ROLE 10 11 1010 10 10 1010(mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 27.91  
11  FREEFORM 9 10 1111½ 11 11 1111¾ 1112¼ (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 51.87  
SCR  CALLIE'S GRIT               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  DOT MARIE               (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 119 20.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS               (faircloth aveory)CANUTO THIAGO 119 50.00    
SCR  STAY LOST               (casse w)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  SUN BEE               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
KEE-8   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
:23 :463 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  STROBE 9 2 1½ 1   14 16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 32% 2.10 0.38 W
CLASSIC MOMENT 3 1 2½ 3   24 26 (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 19.99  
ANGKOR 6 7 42 4   36 3(bauer a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 12% 7.40 13.81 S
LET MY PEOPLE GO 5 5 74 5   5410¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 35.97  
MAHAAMEL 4 4 52 7   67 511¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 31% 2.20 5.76  
IGNITIS 1 8 86 9   79 613¼ (lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 64.00  
10  AMERICAN ICON 8 10 10 8   810 713¾ (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 11.58  
13  SPARTY SENSE 10 6 31 2   4814¾ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 64.83  
DRIVE FOR FUN 7 9 63 6   910¼ 915½ (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 30.17  
EMPERADOR 2 3 9 1012¼   1012¼ 1016¾ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 26.31  
SCR  APPEAL DENIED               (foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY               (jones larry)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
SCR  OVERBORE               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/14/2022 7920ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
:252 :501 1:152 1:404 2:051 2:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) 4 52 3 32 21 11 11 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50 5% 19.00 6.66 W
TEMPLE 8 63 5 53 6 73 21 (maker j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 10.00 23.31 P
13  HIGHEST HONORS 12 1010 9 8 43(brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 29% 2.40 8.20 S
CHANNEL MAKER 6 2½ 2 21 4 21 4(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 12.12  
10  BALTHUS (IRE) 10 98 8 9 84 5(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 6.22  
MIRA MISSION 7 3½ 4 4 3 52 6(wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 41% 1.40 1.85  
12  CELLIST 11 464 6 7 97(arnold r)LANERIE J 123 30.00 52.65  
RED KNIGHT 2 1211 11 10 108(maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00 7.14  
ARKLOW 1 875 7 53 69(cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 6.47  
ACCREDIT 5 1½ 1 11 11 310(matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 30.32  
ADMISSION OFFICE 3 1112 12 1211¼ 1110¼ 1112 (lynch a)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 36.94  
BRITISH ROYALTY 9 79 107 11 1213¼ 1219¾ (minshall j)SANTANA JR 121 30.00 82.03  
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY               (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 123 15.00    
SCR  KEYSTONE FIELD               (maker j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY               (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
SCR  TIME FOR TROUBLE               (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00    
 
KEE-10   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
:224 :47 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMANZO 6 8 7 33   21(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 37% 1.70 1.53 W
10  AWESOME CHARGE 8 2 21 21   32 2(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.21 P
11  IMPENETRABLE 9 1 11 11   135 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 14% 6.10 3.24 S
12  PUDGE BOY PALACE 10 4 86 54   546 (combs bentley)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 4.60  
RIKIO 2 3 3 4   45(cline c)MCKEE J 121 30.00 46.37  
LUCKY DUDE 1 10 97 99   67 6(anderson l)JORDAN R 121 8.00 9% 10.40 19.28  
SOUTHERN SENSE 5 5 6 87   811 710¼ (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 16.48  
ROBUST 3 6 54 6   7810½ (lyster s)LANERIE J 121 20.00 21.51  
BODIEFUL 7 7 44 77   915 920¾ (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 52.22  
COOPER TIME 4 9 1019 1029   1045 1073 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 16% 5.50 5.48  
SCR  MASTER GAME               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00    
SCR  PER DIEM               (cash l)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
SCR  SILVESTRE               (cambray ignacio)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
SCR  STRINGS               (demeritte larry)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  WILLACY               (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.